What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?

Kalshi Mentions › Politicians Closes Nov 10 · $9.8K today · $35.3K traded · $27.8K at stake · prices read 11 min ago

The odds

94%Cheat / Cheater / Cheating
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating94%▲ 4
  • Save America Act92%▼ 3
  • Sleepy Joe88%
  • Barack Hussein Obama88%▲ 2
  • Nuclear (3+ times)87%▲ 4
  • Supreme Court84%
  • Tariff (3+ times)83%▲ 4
  • ICE83%▼ 3
  • France82%▲ 6
  • Sanctuary82%▲ 3
  • China / Chinese79%▼ 5
  • Iran (5+ times)79%▲ 6
23 more
  • America First76%▲ 15
  • Gulf of America71%▼ 2
  • Russia / Ukraine70%▼ 8
  • Made in America / American Made69%▲ 14
  • Kamala69%▼ 5
  • Hormuz69%▲ 14
  • Drill Baby Drill64%▼ 4
  • Blockade60%
  • Electricity59%▲ 6
  • Data Center42%▲ 6
  • Israel / Israeli33%▼ 4
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence29%▼ 6
  • Trump Account28%▼ 2
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation26%▼ 4
  • Social Security (5+ times)25%▼ 1
  • Fraud (3+ times)24%▲ 7
  • Windmill22%▲ 3
  • Fentanyl16%▼ 5
  • Ceasefire14%▲ 1
  • Palestine / Palestinian8%▼ 1
  • Event does not qualify3%▼ 1
  • Peace in the Middle East2%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%

How the odds have moved

Cheat / Cheater / Cheating: 79% on Oct 21, 94% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating 94% ▲ 4 93¢ 94¢ $1.06 994
Save America Act 92% ▼ 3 89¢ 94¢ $1.06 4.2K
Sleepy Joe 88% 87¢ 88¢ $1.14 1.0K
Barack Hussein Obama 88% ▲ 2 85¢ 90¢ $1.11 2.2K
Nuclear (3+ times) 87% ▲ 4 86¢ 87¢ $1.15 1.5K
Supreme Court 84% 82¢ 86¢ $1.16 1.7K
Tariff (3+ times) 83% ▲ 4 82¢ 84¢ $1.19 770
ICE 83% ▼ 3 80¢ 85¢ $1.18 878
France 82% ▲ 6 80¢ 83¢ $1.20 2.3K
Sanctuary 82% ▲ 3 81¢ 82¢ $1.22 3.9K
China / Chinese 79% ▼ 5 74¢ 84¢ $1.19 123
Iran (5+ times) 79% ▲ 6 76¢ 81¢ $1.23 2.8K
America First 76% ▲ 15 75¢ 76¢ $1.32 5.7K
Gulf of America 71% ▼ 2 67¢ 75¢ $1.33 1.4K
Russia / Ukraine 70% ▼ 8 68¢ 71¢ $1.41 1.3K
Made in America / American Made 69% ▲ 14 66¢ 72¢ $1.39 1.7K
Kamala 69% ▼ 5 62¢ 73¢ $1.37 1.1K
Hormuz 69% ▲ 14 68¢ 70¢ $1.43 1.1K
Drill Baby Drill 64% ▼ 4 63¢ 64¢ $1.56 3.1K
Blockade 60% 56¢ 63¢ $1.59 524
Electricity 59% ▲ 6 55¢ 62¢ $1.61 888
Data Center 42% ▲ 6 40¢ 43¢ $2.33 2.4K
Israel / Israeli 33% ▼ 4 31¢ 34¢ $2.94 321
AI / Artificial Intelligence 29% ▼ 6 28¢ 30¢ $3.33 594
Trump Account 28% ▼ 2 25¢ 32¢ $3.13 2.0K
Deport / Deported / Deportation 26% ▼ 4 25¢ 26¢ $3.85 3.0K
Social Security (5+ times) 25% ▼ 1 24¢ 25¢ $4.00 210
Fraud (3+ times) 24% ▲ 7 21¢ 26¢ $3.85 1.1K
Windmill 22% ▲ 3 21¢ 22¢ $4.55 2.5K
Fentanyl 16% ▼ 5 15¢ 16¢ $6.25 2.3K
Ceasefire 14% ▲ 1 12¢ 15¢ $6.67 2.1K
Palestine / Palestinian 8% ▼ 1 7¢ 9¢ $11.11 1.9K
Event does not qualify 3% ▼ 1 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 935
Peace in the Middle East 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 7.7K
Crypto / Bitcoin 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 4.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Lubbock, Texas

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100%Communist / Communism
  • Communist / Communism100%▲ 3
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating100%▲ 6
  • Stock Market100%▲ 5
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  • Nuclear (3+ times)100%▲ 19
  • Sleepy Joe100%▲ 19
  • El-Sayed100%▲ 2
  • Iran (5+ times)100%▲ 27
  • Hormuz100%▲ 36
  • Russia / Ukraine100%▲ 20
  • Canada / Canadian100%▲ 16
  • Israel / Israeli100%▲ 48
  • Ford / General Motors / GM100%▲ 17
  • Dividend / Stimulus99%▲ 10
  • Save America Act98%▲ 2
  • Hottest90%▼ 2
  • Made in America / American Made76%▲ 7
  • America First73%▲ 11
  • Barack Hussein Obama73%▼ 18
  • Gulf of America71%▲ 1
  • Supreme Court69%▼ 19
  • Auto Worker / Autoworker60%▼ 21
  • Kamala43%▼ 37
  • Blockade28%▼ 32
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence13%▼ 17
  • Drill Baby Drill13%▼ 10
  • Fraud (3+ times)9%▼ 14
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation9%▼ 8
  • Fentanyl9%▼ 10
  • Ceasefire6%▼ 3
  • Peace in the Middle East1%▼ 1
  • Crypto / Bitcoin1%▼ 1
  • Event does not qualify1%▼ 1
KalshiCloses Nov 8 · $233K today

What will Trump say this week? (Before Oct 26, 2026)

100%Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice
  • Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice100%▲ 90
  • Bibi / Netanyahu34%▼ 30
  • Stupid Question19%▲ 3
15 more
  • TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome12%▼ 15
  • Zohran / Mamdani7%▼ 4
  • Autopen / Auto Pen6%▼ 16
  • Antifa5%▼ 6
  • Tomahawk4%▼ 12
  • Houthi4%▼ 16
  • Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis4%▼ 5
  • Crypto / Bitcoin4%
  • Zacharia2%▼ 5
  • Golden Dome2%▼ 5
  • Uranium2%▼ 3
  • Peace in the Middle East2%▼ 8
  • UFO / UAP1%▼ 6
  • Prediction Market / Predictive Market1%▼ 1
  • Make Iran Great Again1%▼ 2
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What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?

87%Marjorie Traitor Greene
  • Marjorie Traitor Greene87%▲ 11
  • Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck75%▲ 22
  • Slopadopolous / Slopadopolus70%▲ 1
10 more
  • Piggy50%▼ 2
  • Fat Slob35%▲ 10
  • Low Energy26%▲ 1
  • Crazy Nancy24%
  • Crazy Bernie19%
  • Little Communist13%▼ 1
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What will Trump say during his rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?

95%Save America Act
  • Save America Act95%
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating91%▲ 1
  • Barack Hussein Obama88%▲ 7
32 more
  • China / Chinese83%▲ 3
  • Supreme Court82%▲ 6
  • Nuclear (3+ times)82%▲ 1
  • Gulf of America82%▼ 5
  • France81%▲ 10
  • Sanctuary81%▲ 2
  • Sleepy Joe79%▲ 2
  • Tariff (3+ times)76%▲ 1
  • ICE76%▲ 3
  • Iran (5+ times)75%▲ 7
  • Hormuz74%▲ 7
  • Drill Baby Drill71%▼ 1
  • America First70%▲ 9
  • Kamala66%▲ 4
  • Made in America / American Made65%▲ 8
  • Russia / Ukraine64%
  • Blockade58%▲ 9
  • Data Center44%▲ 8
  • Israel / Israeli32%▼ 4
  • Electricity31%▲ 6
  • Trump Account30%▼ 4
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence28%▼ 4
  • Fraud (3+ times)26%▲ 9
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation21%▼ 1
  • Fentanyl15%▲ 1
  • Social Security (5+ times)14%▼ 1
  • Windmill13%▲ 1
  • Palestine / Palestinian11%▲ 2
  • Ceasefire5%▼ 1
  • Event does not qualify3%
  • Peace in the Middle East2%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
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What companies will Trump say in October? (Before Nov 1, 2026)

100%Amazon / AMZN
  • Amazon / AMZN100%
  • Paramount / PSKY100%
  • Honda / HMC70%▲ 24
18 more
  • X / Twitter64%▲ 2
  • ChatGPT / OpenAI48%▼ 15
  • BBC40%▲ 3
  • Oracle / ORCL37%▲ 5
  • Anthropic / Claude34%
  • Chevron / CVX31%▼ 27
  • ExxonMobil / XOM25%▼ 5
  • Caterpillar24%▼ 5
  • Turning Point24%▼ 1
  • JPMorgan / JPM23%▲ 2
  • BlackRock19%▲ 3
  • Qualcomm / QCOM14%▲ 3
  • Airbnb / ABNB12%
  • DoorDash / DASH12%▲ 1
  • Mastercard / MA12%▼ 8
  • Verizon11%▲ 2
  • Netflix / NFLX10%▼ 9
  • Rigetti / RGTI4%
KalshiCloses Nov 1 · $5.3K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions