Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Communist / Communism
95%
▲ 9
94¢
95¢
$1.05
1.3K
Save America Act
95%
94¢
95¢
$1.05
101
El-Sayed
94%
▲ 1
93¢
95¢
$1.05
2.8K
Dividend / Stimulus
89%
▼ 1
84¢
94¢
$1.06
150
Stock Market
89%
▲ 10
88¢
90¢
$1.11
590
Hottest
84%
▼ 8
80¢
87¢
$1.15
459
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating
83%
▼ 2
81¢
85¢
$1.18
516
Ford / General Motors / GM
82%
▲ 17
80¢
84¢
$1.19
739
Canada / Canadian
81%
▼ 5
77¢
85¢
$1.18
83.00
Supreme Court
80%
▲ 9
65¢
80¢
$1.25
856
Sleepy Joe
80%
▲ 1
77¢
82¢
$1.22
132
Nuclear (3+ times)
79%
▲ 11
56¢
69¢
$1.45
258
Made in America / American Made
79%
▲ 4
66¢
80¢
$1.25
60.00
Barack Hussein Obama
79%
▲ 5
77¢
81¢
$1.23
767
Auto Worker / Autoworker
79%
▲ 4
70¢
81¢
$1.23
186
Russia / Ukraine
76%
▼ 6
72¢
80¢
$1.25
109
Kamala
70%
▲ 13
55¢
70¢
$1.43
22.00
Iran (5+ times)
67%
▲ 5
63¢
71¢
$1.41
668
Hormuz
65%
40¢
58¢
$1.72
28.00
AI / Artificial Intelligence
58%
▲ 3
43¢
55¢
$1.82
786
Israel / Israeli
54%
▼ 5
49¢
59¢
$1.69
182
Gulf of America
45%
▼ 14
41¢
49¢
$2.04
630
Deport / Deported / Deportation
38%
▲ 6
35¢
40¢
$2.50
959
America First
36%
▲ 22
31¢
41¢
$2.44
365
Blockade
29%
▼ 17
28¢
40¢
$2.50
316
Drill Baby Drill
23%
▲ 3
23¢
38¢
$2.63
31.00
Fraud (3+ times)
19%
▼ 16
18¢
19¢
$5.26
97.00
Fentanyl
16%
▲ 3
13¢
18¢
$5.56
26.00
Peace in the Middle East
3%
▼ 1
2¢
3¢
$33.33
1.1K
Ceasefire
2%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
9.0K
Crypto / Bitcoin
2%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
3.2K
Event does not qualify
2%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
1.9K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.