What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa?

Kalshi Mentions › Politicians Closed Fri 9:10 AM ET · $707K today · $767K traded · $617K at stake

Settled Transgender, Save America Act, Dividend / Stimulus

The last odds before it closed

—
  • ✓ Transgender99%▲ 1
  • ✓ Save America Act99%▲ 3
  • ✓ Dividend / Stimulus99%▲ 4
  • ✓ Hottest99%▲ 10
  • ✓ Stock Market99%▲ 5
  • ✓ Nuclear (3+ times)99%▲ 20
  • ✓ Kamala99%▲ 28
  • ✓ Sleepy Joe99%▲ 9
  • ✓ Barack Hussein Obama99%▲ 24
  • ✓ Iran (5+ times)99%▲ 30
  • ✓ Supreme Court99%▲ 19
  • ✓ E1599%▲ 21
21 more
  • ✓ Hormuz99%▲ 65
  • ✓ Steel99%▲ 18
  • ✓ Russia / Ukraine99%▲ 33
  • ✓ Estate Tax / Death Tax99%▲ 12
  • ✓ Ethanol99%▲ 31
  • ✓ America First99%▲ 70
  • ✓ Gulf of America99%▲ 61
  • ✓ Blockade99%▲ 65
  • Healthcare1%▼ 91
  • Made in America / American Made1%▼ 62
  • Israel / Israeli1%▼ 41
  • Corn1%▼ 60
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence1%▼ 33
  • Drill Baby Drill1%▼ 41
  • Fraud (3+ times)1%▼ 13
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation1%▼ 14
  • Fentanyl1%▼ 19
  • Ceasefire1%▼ 2
  • Peace in the Middle East1%▼ 1
  • Crypto / Bitcoin1%▼ 1
  • Event does not qualify1%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Transgender: 97% on Oct 20, 99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Last odds Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ Transgender 99% 176.2K
✓ Save America Act 99% 184.2K
✓ Dividend / Stimulus 99% 54.1K
✓ Hottest 99% 15.9K
✓ Stock Market 99% 21.8K
✓ Nuclear (3+ times) 99% 18.1K
✓ Kamala 99% 16.2K
✓ Sleepy Joe 99% 17.7K
✓ Barack Hussein Obama 99% 22.0K
✓ Iran (5+ times) 99% 30.2K
✓ Supreme Court 99% 14.7K
✓ E15 99% 18.3K
✓ Hormuz 99% 17.9K
✓ Steel 99% 33.9K
✓ Russia / Ukraine 99% 13.8K
✓ Estate Tax / Death Tax 99% 33.9K
✓ Ethanol 99% 25.8K
✓ America First 99% 28.0K
✓ Gulf of America 99% 17.9K
✓ Blockade 99% 6.2K
✗ Healthcare 1% 60.0K
✗ Made in America / American Made 1% 26.7K
✗ Israel / Israeli 1% 27.1K
✗ Corn 1% 63.3K
✗ AI / Artificial Intelligence 1% 63.1K
✗ Drill Baby Drill 1% 35.7K
✗ Fraud (3+ times) 1% 49.7K
✗ Deport / Deported / Deportation 1% 66.8K
✗ Fentanyl 1% 12.7K
✗ Ceasefire 1% 135.0K
✗ Peace in the Middle East 1% 49.9K
✗ Crypto / Bitcoin 1% 124.2K
✗ Event does not qualify 1% 30.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Midterm Rally, Sioux City

Search ›
  • Obama blames Trump for voter frustrations in first of two midterm ralliescnn.com · 20 h agoThe former president described the second Trump administration as ‘two years of chaos and cruelty and corruption and incompetence’ ... Obama blames Trump for voter frustrations in first of two midterm rallies The former president described…
  • Obama fires up Democrats at midterm rally in ClevelandFox News · 22 h agoFormer President Barack Obama returned to the campaign circuit Saturday during a midterm rally in Ohio for U.S. Senate candidate Sherrod Brown and gubernatorial candidate Amy Acton. Obama fires up Democrats at midterm rally in Cleveland…
  • WATCH LIVE: Trump casts his ballot in Palm Beach before departing for midterm rally in Perry, GAFox News · 23 h agoPresident Trump is expected to cast his ballot in Palm Beach before departing for a campaign rally in Perry, Georgia. WATCH LIVE: Trump casts his ballot in Palm Beach before departing for midterm rally in Perry, GA President Trump is…
  • Hope scores in season opener for Sioux City, Metros drop Saturday showdown with Dubque 4-1Yahoo Sports · 27 h agoSIOUX CITY, Iowa (KCAU) – Sioux City Metros forward JJ Hope found the back of the net to get the scoring started for the home team, but it was Dubuque spoiling the team’s season opener with a 4-1 victory at the IBP Ice Center. Sioux City…
  • Saints Vs. Sioux CityTelegraphHerald.com · 17 h agoTelegraphHerald.com The Saints Caden Dabrowski score on Sioux City's Hugo Severgardh during their USHL matchup with Sioux City at ImOn Arena in Dubuque on Saturday, Oct.24, 2026. Dubuque leaders seek federal designation to spur downtown…
  • Close Up: Trump visits Sioux City; Senate candidates talk costsKCCI · 79 min agoPresident Trump visits Sioux City ahead of Election Day, while Iowa Senate candidates Ashley Hinson and Josh Turek present competing plans to address rising costs. President Trump visits Sioux City ahead of Election Day, while Iowa Senate…
  • In first midterm rally, Obama blasts Trump administrationThe Washington Post · 21 h agoDemocrats have embraced the former president as their most effective closing messenger in the final weeks of the high-stakes midterm campaign. Former president Barack Obama returned to the campaign trail Saturday and tore into his…
  • fire in south sioux city apartment@fox5vegas · 15 h agoFOX5 Vegas fire in south sioux city apartment Former student speaks about school security guard charged with voyeurism in Tempe 3 shot at Tempe Halloween house party, police say Diocese of Lafayette places priest on leave amid decades-old…
  • Firefighters called to South Sioux City neighborhood@ktivnews · 20 h agoKTIV SOUTH SIOUX CITY, Neb. (KTIV) - Firefighters were called to 1712 F St. in South Sioux City, Nebraska on Saturday, Oct. 24. The public are being asked to avoid the area. This is a Developing Story; KTIV will provide an update once more…
  • Car crashes into gravestones at Floyd Cemetery in Sioux City@ktivnews · 19 h agoKTIV Car crashes into gravestones at Floyd Cemetery in Sioux City Daughters of the Nile hold annual luncheon fundraiser for Shriners Children’s
  • LIVE NOW: Trump Participates in Midterm Rally in Perry, GeorgiaEpochTV · 20 h agoPresident Donald Trump participates in a midterm election rally hosted by Trump 47 Committee, Inc. at 7 p.m. ET on Oct. 24 in Perry, Georgia. LIVE NOW: Trump Participates in Midterm Rally in Perry, Georgia
  • WATCH LIVE: Trump Holds Midterm Rally in Perry, GeorgiaThe Gateway Pundit · 20 h agoPresident Trump will speak at a midterm rally in Perry, Georgia, tonight for Senate nominee Mike Collins and gubernatorial nominee Rick Jackson. Trump is holding the rally at the Guardian Centers of Georgia, a training complex for military…

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All politicians ›

What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan?

98%Communist / Communism
  • Communist / Communism98%▲ 1
  • El-Sayed98%
  • Save America Act97%▲ 1
29 more
  • Dividend / Stimulus97%▲ 3
  • Stock Market96%▲ 1
  • Barack Hussein Obama95%▲ 5
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating94%▲ 1
  • Canada / Canadian94%▲ 10
  • Hottest93%▲ 1
  • Sleepy Joe90%▲ 9
  • Nuclear (3+ times)89%▲ 7
  • Supreme Court86%▼ 2
  • Auto Worker / Autoworker85%▲ 5
  • Made in America / American Made85%▲ 15
  • America First84%▲ 21
  • Ford / General Motors / GM78%▼ 5
  • Iran (5+ times)77%▲ 4
  • Hormuz72%▲ 6
  • Russia / Ukraine72%▼ 8
  • Kamala66%▼ 15
  • Gulf of America62%▼ 9
  • Blockade45%▼ 16
  • Israel / Israeli38%▼ 17
  • Fraud (3+ times)36%▲ 13
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence22%▼ 8
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation16%▲ 1
  • Drill Baby Drill14%▼ 7
  • Fentanyl11%▼ 9
  • Ceasefire6%▼ 2
  • Peace in the Middle East1%▼ 1
  • Crypto / Bitcoin1%▼ 1
  • Event does not qualify1%▼ 1
KalshiCloses Nov 8 · $126K today

What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?

94%Save America Act
  • Save America Act94%▼ 1
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating93%▲ 4
  • Sleepy Joe88%
32 more
  • Barack Hussein Obama88%▲ 2
  • Nuclear (3+ times)87%▲ 4
  • ICE84%▼ 2
  • China / Chinese83%▼ 1
  • Supreme Court83%▼ 1
  • Tariff (3+ times)82%▲ 3
  • France82%▲ 6
  • Sanctuary82%▲ 1
  • Iran (5+ times)79%▲ 5
  • America First78%▲ 17
  • Russia / Ukraine72%▼ 5
  • Made in America / American Made68%▲ 9
  • Kamala68%▼ 6
  • Gulf of America68%▼ 5
  • Hormuz66%▲ 9
  • Drill Baby Drill64%▼ 4
  • Electricity57%▲ 10
  • Blockade56%▼ 4
  • Data Center43%▲ 6
  • Israel / Israeli32%▼ 7
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence29%▼ 5
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation28%▼ 2
  • Trump Account27%▼ 4
  • Social Security (5+ times)25%▼ 1
  • Fraud (3+ times)22%▲ 3
  • Windmill20%▲ 2
  • Fentanyl14%▼ 6
  • Ceasefire12%▼ 2
  • Palestine / Palestinian7%▼ 1
  • Event does not qualify3%▼ 1
  • Peace in the Middle East2%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
KalshiCloses Nov 10 · $9.2K today

What will Trump say this week? (Before Oct 26, 2026)

100%Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice
  • Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice100%▲ 90
  • Bibi / Netanyahu32%▼ 29
  • Stupid Question19%▲ 5
15 more
  • TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome16%▼ 12
  • Autopen / Auto Pen14%▼ 9
  • Zohran / Mamdani8%▼ 2
  • Houthi6%▼ 7
  • Tomahawk5%▼ 8
  • Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis5%▼ 4
  • Golden Dome4%▼ 3
  • Antifa4%▼ 5
  • Peace in the Middle East4%▼ 2
  • Zacharia3%▼ 5
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%▼ 2
  • UFO / UAP2%▼ 6
  • Uranium1%▼ 4
  • Prediction Market / Predictive Market1%▼ 1
  • Make Iran Great Again1%▼ 2
KalshiCloses tomorrow 10:00 AM ET · $129K today

What will Bernie say during his rally in Wisconsin?

100%Altman
  • Altman100%▲ 70
  • Billionaire (5+ times)100%▲ 28
  • Housing / Rent100%▲ 14
18 more
  • Iran / Iranian100%▲ 28
  • Corrupt / Corruption100%▲ 26
  • Trump (5+ times)100%▲ 25
  • Israel / Netanyahu100%▲ 34
  • Social Security100%▲ 27
  • Data Center100%▲ 36
  • Minimum Wage100%▲ 24
  • Midterm100%▲ 28
  • Robot / Robotic / Robotics100%▲ 52
  • China / Chinese100%▲ 63
  • Socialist / Socialism100%▲ 82
  • Immigrant / Immigration100%▲ 73
  • ChatGPT / OpenAI100%▲ 94
  • Climate1%▼ 71
  • Student Loan / Student Debt1%▼ 18
  • Trillionaire1%▼ 23
  • Zohran / Mamdani1%▼ 16
  • Event does not qualify1%▼ 3
KalshiCloses Nov 8 · $35.3K today

What will Bernie say during his rally in Duluth?

100%AI / Artificial Intelligence
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence100%▲ 7
  • Billionaire (5+ times)100%▲ 23
  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline100%▲ 20
18 more
  • Housing / Rent100%▲ 14
  • Iran / Iranian100%▲ 16
  • Corrupt / Corruption100%▲ 17
  • Trump (5+ times)100%▲ 30
  • Israel / Netanyahu100%▲ 36
  • Climate100%▲ 24
  • Robot / Robotic / Robotics100%▲ 44
  • China / Chinese100%▲ 63
  • Immigrant / Immigration100%▲ 77
  • Trillionaire100%▲ 44
  • Social Security1%▼ 62
  • Data Center1%▼ 54
  • Midterm1%▼ 66
  • Socialist / Socialism1%▼ 21
  • Student Loan / Student Debt1%▼ 13
  • Zohran / Mamdani1%▼ 18
  • ChatGPT / OpenAI1%▼ 6
  • Event does not qualify1%▼ 8
KalshiCloses Nov 7 · $22.7K today

What will Mike Rogers say during Meet the Press?

100%Diesel
  • Diesel100%▲ 72
  • Manufacturing100%▲ 24
  • Canada / Canadian100%▲ 44
8 more
  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline1%▼ 56
  • Obama1%▼ 11
  • China / Chinese1%▼ 18
  • Russia / Russian / Putin1%▼ 13
  • Nuclear1%▼ 56
  • Trump (3+ times)1%▼ 17
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence1%▼ 25
  • SpaceX / Elon1%▼ 12
KalshiCloses Nov 8 · $7.5K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions