Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Last odds
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✓ Altman
99%
2.1K
✓ Billionaire (5+ times)
99%
3.0K
✓ Housing / Rent
99%
1.1K
✓ Iran / Iranian
99%
918
✓ Corrupt / Corruption
99%
1.3K
✓ Trump (5+ times)
99%
2.2K
✓ Israel / Netanyahu
99%
1.7K
✓ Social Security
99%
3.2K
✓ Data Center
99%
5.1K
✓ Minimum Wage
99%
1.2K
✓ Midterm
99%
2.7K
✓ Robot / Robotic / Robotics
99%
1.9K
✓ China / Chinese
99%
2.4K
✓ Socialist / Socialism
99%
2.3K
✓ Immigrant / Immigration
99%
2.2K
✓ ChatGPT / OpenAI
99%
4.3K
✗ Climate
1%
43.4K
✗ Student Loan / Student Debt
1%
34.6K
✗ Trillionaire
1%
8.4K
✗ Zohran / Mamdani
1%
3.4K
✗ Event does not qualify
1%
5.8K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions