Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Billionaire (5+ times)
90%
77¢
90¢
$1.11
105
Corrupt / Corruption
89%
77¢
89¢
$1.12
71.00
Midterm
87%
83¢
91¢
$1.10
786
Housing / Rent
85%
74¢
85¢
$1.18
265
Trump (5+ times)
85%
72¢
85¢
$1.18
314
Minimum Wage
84%
68¢
84¢
$1.19
102
Climate
80%
69¢
81¢
$1.23
160
Iran / Iranian
74%
73¢
74¢
$1.35
23.00
Israel / Netanyahu
72%
69¢
74¢
$1.35
51.00
Social Security
64%
53¢
64¢
$1.56
201
Data Center
64%
61¢
67¢
$1.49
448
Robot / Robotic / Robotics
57%
53¢
62¢
$1.61
138
China / Chinese
48%
43¢
52¢
$1.92
265
Socialist / Socialism
47%
34¢
47¢
$2.13
46.00
Immigrant / Immigration
28%
24¢
33¢
$3.03
127
Altman
18%
21¢
32¢
$3.13
171
ChatGPT / OpenAI
18%
14¢
21¢
$4.76
252
Student Loan / Student Debt
10%
6¢
14¢
$7.14
81.00
Zohran / Mamdani
9%
4¢
13¢
$7.69
14.00
Event does not qualify
8%
4¢
12¢
$8.33
272
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders hits campaign trail with Abdul El-Sayed in MichiganFox News · 8 h agoDemocratic Senate candidate El-Sayed delivers remarks to supporters at a campaign rally alongside Bernie Sanders in Grand Rapids, Michigan, just days ahead of the critical midterm elections. WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders hits campaign trail…
Bernie Sanders to rally with Abdul El-Sayed during two-day Michigan tourWWMT · 12 h agoGRAND RAPIDS, Mich. — Senator Bernie Sanders (D - Vt.) is joining the list of political leaders visiting Michigan ahead of the state's Nov. 3 Midterm Election. Sunday, at the start of his two-day tour, Sanders is slated to rally with U.S…
Abdul El-Sayed takes swipe at Trump ahead of Michigan rallyFox News · 17 h agoDemocratic Senate nominee in Michigan Abdul El-Sayed tells reporters on eve of president's rally that Trump will praise tariffs, Iran war and 'big ugly bill' during Michigan visit. Abdul El-Sayed takes swipe at Trump ahead of Michigan…
Trump attacks Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan campaign stopCBS News · 6 h agoCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6:30pm CBS News Miami 6:30pm CBS Philadelphia at 6:30pm KDKA News Weekends 6:30pm CBS News Texas 5:30pm
President Trump speaks out against Abdul El-Sayed in MichiganCBS News · 7 h agoCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6:30pm CBS News Miami 6:30pm CBS News New York Weekend 6:30pm CBS Philadelphia at 6:30pm KDKA News Weekends 6:30pm CBS News Texas 5:30pm
WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders rallies with Minnesota Democrats in DuluthFox News · 31 h agoSen. Bernie Sanders joins Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Attorney General Keith Ellison at a Duluth, Minnesota, get-out-the-vote campaign rally. WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders rallies with Minnesota Democrats in Duluth Sen. Bernie Sanders joins…
Obama seeks to shore up Abdul El-Sayed with Black voters at Michigan rallyNBC News · 28 h agoFormer President Barack Obama rallied for Michigan’s Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed in Detroit on Saturday as the bitterly fought contest could come down to the city’s substantial Black vote. “We’re clear about the choice in this…
WATCH LIVE: Barack Obama rallies with Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson in DetroitFox News · 33 h agoFormer President Barack Obama joins Democratic candidates Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson at a campaign rally in Detroit. WATCH LIVE: Barack Obama rallies with Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson in Detroit Former President Barack Obama…
Trump Attacks Abdul El-Sayed Over Muslim FaithPolitical Wire · 7 h ago“President Donald Trump used a campaign rally to intensify his attacks on Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed, his Muslim faith and his Egyptian heritage, repeatedly portraying the Michigan-born Democrat as sympathetic to Islamic extremism…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
