Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Save America Act
97%
96¢
97¢
$1.03
37.2K
China / Chinese
96%
95¢
96¢
$1.04
1.7K
Nuclear (3+ times)
93%
92¢
93¢
$1.08
3.6K
Ilhan / Omar
93%
92¢
93¢
$1.08
6.1K
America First
93%
92¢
93¢
$1.08
3.8K
Iran (5+ times)
92%
91¢
92¢
$1.09
5.5K
Tariff (3+ times)
90%
89¢
91¢
$1.10
2.4K
Hormuz
85%
84¢
85¢
$1.18
2.1K
Made in America / American Made
81%
77¢
84¢
$1.19
2.2K
Supreme Court
75%
73¢
76¢
$1.32
2.0K
Russia / Ukraine
74%
72¢
76¢
$1.32
2.8K
Gulf of America
74%
73¢
75¢
$1.33
5.1K
ICE
72%
68¢
75¢
$1.33
1.9K
Kamala
63%
62¢
63¢
$1.59
2.9K
Veteran
55%
54¢
56¢
$1.79
2.5K
Elon / Musk
55%
53¢
56¢
$1.79
4.6K
Data Center
38%
37¢
39¢
$2.56
9.6K
Israel / Israeli
37%
36¢
38¢
$2.63
3.3K
Blockade
29%
28¢
30¢
$3.33
3.3K
Electricity
27%
26¢
28¢
$3.57
3.6K
Insurance
26%
24¢
27¢
$3.70
3.5K
Fraud (3+ times)
25%
23¢
26¢
$3.85
5.0K
AI / Artificial Intelligence
24%
23¢
24¢
$4.17
9.2K
Drill Baby Drill
21%
20¢
21¢
$4.76
929
Social Security (5+ times)
17%
16¢
17¢
$5.88
5.0K
Trump Account
13%
12¢
13¢
$7.69
4.7K
Deport / Deported / Deportation
13%
12¢
13¢
$7.69
7.8K
Windmill
11%
10¢
11¢
$9.09
1.4K
Fentanyl
10%
9¢
10¢
$10.00
5.2K
Palestine / Palestinian
9%
8¢
9¢
$11.11
2.1K
Hegseth
7%
6¢
8¢
$12.50
1.4K
Ceasefire
4%
3¢
4¢
$25.00
12.0K
Crypto / Bitcoin
2%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
24.9K
Peace in the Middle East
1%
1¢
$100.00
27.0K
Event does not qualify
1%
1¢
$100.00
15.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
