Politicians odds

Every Politicians market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.

128 open markets · $1.4M traded today

Trending politicians markets

What will Trump say this week? (Before Oct 26, 2026)

100%Cuba / Cuban
  • Cuba / Cuban100%▲ 44
  • Ceasefire100%▲ 80
  • Cybersecurity / Cyber Security100%
  • Bibi / Netanyahu68%▼ 10
19 more
  • Rigged Election / Stolen Election48%▼ 28
  • TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome36%▼ 9
  • Autopen / Auto Pen28%▼ 10
  • Tomahawk22%▼ 14
  • Zohran / Mamdani20%▼ 3
  • Houthi20%▼ 12
  • Stupid Question19%▼ 19
  • Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice10%▼ 4
  • Peace in the Middle East10%▲ 4
  • UFO / UAP10%▲ 4
  • Zacharia9%▲ 1
  • Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis8%▼ 79
  • Golden Dome8%▲ 1
  • Crypto / Bitcoin8%
  • Antifa7%▼ 5
  • Uranium5%▼ 1
  • Epstein4%▼ 1
  • Prediction Market / Predictive Market3%▼ 2
  • Make Iran Great Again2%▼ 2
KalshiCloses Mon 10:00 AM ET · $74.6K today · $98.4K traded

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?

99%Transgender
  • Transgender99%▲ 4
  • Save America Act97%
  • Dividend / Stimulus97%
  • Stock Market96%▲ 6
28 more
  • Hottest95%▲ 2
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating94%
  • Nuclear (3+ times)88%▲ 15
  • Sleepy Joe88%▲ 2
  • Barack Hussein Obama86%▲ 24
  • Supreme Court86%▲ 21
  • Russia / Ukraine84%▲ 27
  • Kamala83%▲ 25
  • Blockade78%▲ 50
  • Keisha Lance Bottoms77%▲ 13
  • Gulf of America76%▲ 14
  • America First73%▲ 55
  • Hormuz72%▲ 27
  • Iran (5+ times)71%▲ 14
  • Made in America / American Made71%▲ 14
  • Marjorie64%▲ 47
  • Hyundai62%▼ 1
  • Rigged Election55%▲ 21
  • Israel / Israeli28%▲ 11
  • Drill Baby Drill28%▲ 7
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence24%▲ 2
  • Fraud (3+ times)21%▼ 2
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation20%▼ 5
  • Fentanyl18%▲ 8
  • Ceasefire8%▲ 4
  • Peace in the Middle East2%▼ 2
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
  • Event does not qualify2%
KalshiCloses Nov 7 · $33.2K today · $92.2K traded

What will Trump say during his rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?

95%Save America Act
  • Save America Act95%▲ 3
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating91%▲ 3
  • Gulf of America84%▲ 7
  • China / Chinese83%
31 more
  • Nuclear (3+ times)81%▲ 4
  • Barack Hussein Obama79%▲ 11
  • ICE79%▲ 30
  • Tariff (3+ times)77%▼ 7
  • Supreme Court76%▲ 10
  • Sanctuary76%▲ 61
  • Sleepy Joe75%▲ 31
  • Drill Baby Drill72%▲ 3
  • Russia / Ukraine70%▲ 22
  • Kamala67%▲ 4
  • France65%▲ 15
  • Iran (5+ times)64%▼ 5
  • Hormuz62%▲ 31
  • America First61%▲ 42
  • Made in America / American Made55%▼ 5
  • Blockade42%▲ 11
  • Electricity41%▲ 11
  • Data Center39%▲ 9
  • Trump Account35%▲ 15
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence34%▲ 29
  • Israel / Israeli34%▼ 10
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation29%▲ 12
  • Fraud (3+ times)16%▲ 6
  • Windmill16%▼ 6
  • Social Security (5+ times)14%▼ 7
  • Fentanyl14%▼ 8
  • Palestine / Palestinian10%▲ 3
  • Ceasefire6%▲ 5
  • Event does not qualify3%▼ 2
  • Peace in the Middle East2%▲ 1
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%▲ 1
KalshiCloses Nov 10 · $13.7K today · $71.3K traded

What companies will Trump say in October? (Before Nov 1, 2026)

100%Amazon / AMZN
  • Amazon / AMZN100%
  • Paramount / PSKY100%
  • ChatGPT / OpenAI68%▲ 2
  • X / Twitter58%▼ 28
17 more
  • BBC55%▲ 17
  • Honda / HMC46%
  • Chevron / CVX41%▲ 4
  • Oracle / ORCL38%▼ 2
  • Anthropic / Claude36%▼ 8
  • ExxonMobil / XOM30%▼ 8
  • Turning Point25%▼ 2
  • Caterpillar21%▲ 1
  • Netflix / NFLX19%▲ 5
  • JPMorgan / JPM16%▼ 6
  • BlackRock15%▲ 7
  • Mastercard / MA14%▼ 3
  • Verizon13%▲ 4
  • Airbnb / ABNB12%
  • DoorDash / DASH12%▼ 10
  • Qualcomm / QCOM11%▼ 5
  • Rigetti / RGTI4%▼ 1
KalshiCloses Nov 1 · $4.7K today · $114K traded
BA+0.43%BLK-1.67%CAT-2.42%

What will Trump say in October? (Before Nov 1, 2026)

100%Predict / Prediction
  • Predict / Prediction100%
  • Autism100%
  • UFO / UAP44%▲ 29
  • Fat shot / Ozempic41%▼ 3
6 more
  • Antifa31%▼ 8
  • Golden Dome22%▼ 1
  • Epstein15%▲ 1
  • Peace in the Middle East14%▼ 4
  • Peptide10%▲ 1
  • Make Iran Great Again6%▼ 2
KalshiCloses Nov 1 · $246 today · $79.4K traded

What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan?

98%El-Sayed
  • El-Sayed98%
  • Communist / Communism97%
  • Save America Act96%
  • Stock Market94%▲ 1
28 more
  • Dividend / Stimulus94%▼ 1
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating93%▲ 3
  • Hottest87%▲ 1
  • Barack Hussein Obama86%▲ 8
  • Auto Worker / Autoworker84%▲ 17
  • Canada / Canadian83%▼ 1
  • Sleepy Joe82%▼ 1
  • Ford / General Motors / GM82%
  • Supreme Court79%▲ 14
  • Nuclear (3+ times)78%▼ 1
  • Russia / Ukraine77%▲ 10
  • Kamala72%▲ 3
  • Made in America / American Made71%▲ 6
  • Iran (5+ times)70%▲ 6
  • America First70%▲ 52
  • Hormuz67%▲ 26
  • Blockade62%▲ 30
  • Gulf of America47%▲ 10
  • Israel / Israeli46%▼ 9
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence28%▲ 4
  • Drill Baby Drill22%▼ 1
  • Fentanyl20%▲ 5
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation17%▼ 5
  • Fraud (3+ times)17%▼ 2
  • Ceasefire4%▲ 2
  • Peace in the Middle East3%
  • Event does not qualify3%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
KalshiCloses Nov 8 · $13.6K today · $51.4K traded

What countries will Trump say in October? (Before Nov 1, 2026)

100%Cuba / Cuban
  • Cuba / Cuban100%▲ 52
  • Argentina / Argentinian99%
  • Iceland / Icelandic95%▼ 5
  • UAE / United Arab Emirates72%▼ 5
10 more
  • Australia / Australian68%
  • Panama / Panamanian56%▼ 2
  • Kuwait / Kuwaiti31%▼ 6
  • Paraguay / Paraguayan25%▼ 20
  • South Africa / South African23%▼ 2
  • Belgium / Belgian17%▼ 1
  • Hungary / Hungarian12%▼ 4
  • Bahrain / Bahraini12%▼ 18
  • Jamaica / Jamaican12%▲ 9
  • Sudan / Sudanese9%▼ 14
KalshiCloses Nov 1 · $710 today · $64.9K traded

What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?

92%Save America Act
  • Save America Act92%▼ 4
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating90%▲ 14
  • Barack Hussein Obama86%▲ 17
  • ICE86%▲ 3
31 more
  • Sleepy Joe85%▲ 5
  • Gulf of America85%▲ 9
  • China / Chinese84%▲ 2
  • Nuclear (3+ times)81%▲ 1
  • Supreme Court80%▲ 6
  • Tariff (3+ times)79%▲ 3
  • Sanctuary77%▲ 20
  • Russia / Ukraine76%▲ 7
  • Kamala75%▲ 9
  • France73%▲ 1
  • Drill Baby Drill73%▲ 4
  • Iran (5+ times)69%▲ 14
  • Made in America / American Made67%▲ 15
  • America First60%▲ 38
  • Hormuz57%▲ 16
  • Blockade48%▲ 9
  • Electricity48%▲ 26
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation40%▲ 21
  • Israel / Israeli36%▼ 5
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence35%▼ 9
  • Windmill31%▲ 2
  • Trump Account30%▲ 7
  • Data Center30%▼ 2
  • Social Security (5+ times)25%▲ 4
  • Fentanyl21%▼ 4
  • Fraud (3+ times)16%▼ 2
  • Palestine / Palestinian9%▲ 2
  • Ceasefire8%▲ 5
  • Event does not qualify4%
  • Peace in the Middle East2%▼ 2
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
KalshiCloses Nov 10 · $5.2K today · $18.8K traded

What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? (Oct 28, 2026)

94%Central Bank
  • Central Bank94%▲ 1
  • Good Day94%▼ 1
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence81%▼ 1
  • Productivity81%▲ 1
43 more
  • Shock81%▲ 3
  • Restrictive80%▲ 1
  • Uncertainty78%▲ 4
  • Independent / Independence68%▼ 1
  • Balance Sheet66%▲ 1
  • Inflation Expectation63%
  • Geopolitical58%▲ 1
  • Oil57%▼ 4
  • President56%▲ 1
  • Credit52%▼ 3
  • Anchor / Anchored50%▲ 1
  • Dollar41%▲ 1
  • Commodity41%▲ 1
  • Family Fight / Family Feud40%▲ 2
  • Projection37%
  • Pandemic30%
  • Unchanged29%
  • Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas21%
  • Softening19%▼ 2
  • Probability12%▼ 1
  • Iran12%
  • Risk Management12%▼ 1
  • Recession9%
  • Good Afternoon9%▼ 2
  • QT / Quantitative Tightening8%
  • Dissent8%
  • Volatility8%
  • Diesel8%
  • QE / Quantitative Easing7%
  • Trump7%
  • Shutdown / Shut Down7%▲ 1
  • Tax7%▲ 1
  • Stagflation5%▲ 2
  • Gold4%
  • Consumer Confidence4%▲ 1
  • Egg4%
  • National Debt3%
  • Renovation3%
  • Crypto / Cryptocurrency3%
  • ADP2%▼ 1
  • Bitcoin2%▼ 1
  • Japan / Japanese / Yen2%
  • Event does not qualify1%
KalshiCloses Thu 10:00 AM ET · $243 today · $42.8K traded

What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?

100%Crooked Hillary
  • Crooked Hillary100%▲ 14
  • Marjorie Traitor Greene80%
  • Slopadopolous / Slopadopolus69%▲ 14
  • Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck53%▼ 26
10 more
  • Piggy51%▼ 1
  • Low Energy25%▲ 1
  • Fat Slob25%▼ 13
  • Crazy Bernie24%▲ 5
  • Crazy Nancy24%▲ 3
  • Fake Tapper18%▼ 2
  • Biden Crime Family16%▼ 1
  • Rocket Man15%▼ 1
  • Little Communist14%
  • Comrade Kamala11%
KalshiCloses Jan 1, 2027 · $7.4K today · $31.2K traded

What will Obama say during his midterm rally in Ohio?

89%Trump (2+ times)
  • Trump (2+ times)89%▲ 3
  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability89%▲ 4
  • Democracy89%▲ 7
  • Healthcare87%▲ 7
21 more
  • Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional87%▼ 2
  • Tax86%▲ 7
  • Billionaire85%▲ 7
  • Tariff80%▲ 5
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence79%▲ 8
  • Union / Unionize79%▲ 10
  • ICE79%▼ 3
  • Iran / Iranian77%▼ 3
  • Inflation77%▼ 4
  • Immigration / Immigrant77%▲ 6
  • Social Security69%▲ 2
  • Michelle67%▲ 7
  • Biden32%▼ 18
  • Vance32%▼ 14
  • Ballroom / Pool30%▼ 3
  • Chicago28%▼ 19
  • Minimum Wage27%▼ 6
  • China / Chinese25%▼ 7
  • Abortion20%▼ 19
  • 25014%▼ 7
  • Event does not qualify3%▼ 1
KalshiCloses Nov 7 · $2.6K today · $5.5K traded

What will Bernie say during his rally in Duluth?

90%AI / Artificial Intelligence
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence90%▲ 5
  • Housing / Rent84%▼ 3
  • Corrupt / Corruption83%▲ 7
  • Iran / Iranian82%▲ 2
17 more
  • Billionaire (5+ times)72%
  • Climate71%
  • Trump (5+ times)71%
  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline70%▲ 4
  • Midterm70%▲ 4
  • Social Security69%▲ 17
  • Israel / Netanyahu68%▼ 5
  • Data Center59%▼ 13
  • Robot / Robotic / Robotics59%▲ 2
  • Trillionaire42%▲ 21
  • Immigrant / Immigration32%▼ 1
  • China / Chinese32%▲ 9
  • Socialist / Socialism22%
  • Student Loan / Student Debt10%▼ 11
  • Zohran / Mamdani10%
  • ChatGPT / OpenAI6%▼ 3
  • Event does not qualify4%▲ 2
KalshiCloses Nov 7 · $1.4K today · $2K traded

What will the White House Press Secretary say in the next press briefing? (Before Feb 1, 2027)

80%Trump (3+ times)
  • Trump (3+ times)80%
  • Economy / Economic58%
  • Democrat55%▲ 14
  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline54%
18 more
  • Russia / Ukraine49%
  • Iran / Iranian46%▼ 15
  • Election / Midterm42%
  • Inflation42%▼ 16
  • Border36%
  • Nuclear36%
  • Venezuela34%
  • Fake News34%
  • China / Chinese32%
  • Illegal Alien31%
  • Biden30%
  • Leavitt30%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence27%▼ 9
  • Fraud23%▼ 44
  • California9%▼ 9
  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability8%▼ 14
  • Event does not qualify/occur7%▲ 2
  • Crypto / Bitcoin6%
KalshiCloses Feb 1, 2027 · $41 today · $4.2K traded

What will Bernie say during his rally in Wisconsin?

86%Housing / Rent
  • Housing / Rent86%▲ 15
  • Corrupt / Corruption81%▲ 17
  • Minimum Wage75%▲ 14
  • Midterm72%▲ 2
16 more
  • Billionaire (5+ times)72%▲ 2
  • Iran / Iranian72%▼ 1
  • Trump (5+ times)70%▲ 8
  • Data Center68%▲ 16
  • Israel / Netanyahu66%▲ 13
  • Social Security65%▲ 30
  • Climate62%▲ 14
  • Robot / Robotic / Robotics44%▼ 6
  • Immigrant / Immigration38%▲ 14
  • Altman27%▲ 1
  • China / Chinese25%
  • Trillionaire23%▼ 9
  • Zohran / Mamdani22%
  • Student Loan / Student Debt16%▼ 4
  • ChatGPT / OpenAI4%▼ 4
  • Event does not qualify3%▲ 1
KalshiCloses Nov 8 · $593 today · $1.1K traded

What will Hailey Bieber say during NYT DealBook Summit?

78%Rhode
  • Rhode78%
  • Skincare / Skin Care75%
  • Makeup60%▲ 5
  • e.l.f. / Elf45%
9 more
  • Acquired / Acquisition31%
  • Adanola30%
  • Billion26%
  • Lip Tint25%
  • Pocket Bronze25%
  • Highlight Milk25%
  • Skylrk25%
  • Fragrance25%
  • Event does not qualify6%
KalshiCloses Dec 2 · $5.2K traded

What will Jay Parikh say during GitHub Universe Keynote?

86%Copilot
  • Copilot86%▲ 1
  • Open Source78%▲ 2
  • Agent / Agentic71%▲ 5
  • Frontier61%
10 more
  • Visual Studio Code / VS Code56%▲ 1
  • MCP / Model Context Protocol53%▲ 12
  • Foundry46%
  • Memory43%▲ 14
  • Codex / OpenAI32%
  • Cybersecurity32%▲ 1
  • Claude / Anthropic31%▲ 1
  • GitHub Advanced Security25%
  • Vibe Code / Vibe Coding22%▲ 1
  • Event does not qualify6%
KalshiCloses Nov 11 · $84 today · $3K traded
ULCC-6.79%

What will Mike Sicilia say during Oracle AI World keynote?

81%Health / Healthy
  • Health / Healthy81%▲ 1
  • Fusion Claw79%▼ 7
  • Oracle Cloud Infrastructure / OCI72%
  • Automation70%▲ 8
11 more
  • Spectrum70%
  • AI Agent Studio63%▼ 1
  • Multicloud / Multi-cloud62%▼ 1
  • OpenAI / ChatGPT45%
  • QSRP40%▲ 8
  • Sovereign39%▲ 1
  • NVIDIA27%▼ 12
  • Debt21%▲ 5
  • Backlog13%▼ 2
  • Stargate8%▲ 1
  • Event does not qualify4%
KalshiCloses Nov 9 · $34 today · $1.7K traded
ORCL+0.49%NVDA-0.59%

What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?

75%Economy / Economic
  • Economy / Economic75%
  • Democrat74%▲ 17
  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability70%▲ 12
  • Fraud65%
16 more
  • Trump (3+ times)63%
  • Working Class / Middle Class62%
  • Iran / Iranian56%▼ 7
  • Inflation56%▲ 25
  • Biden56%▲ 31
  • Nuclear54%▲ 14
  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline52%▼ 14
  • 2028 / Campaign51%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence44%▼ 28
  • China / Chinese42%
  • America First42%
  • Tariff35%
  • Data Center26%▲ 8
  • Manufacture / Manufacturing25%
  • Healthcare22%▲ 1
  • Event does not qualify8%▲ 6
KalshiCloses Dec 2 · $202 today · $429 traded

What will Mamdani say during NYT DealBook Summit?

84%Afford / Affordable / Affordability
  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability84%
  • Safe / Safer / Safety78%
  • Trump / President73%
  • Home / Housing70%
15 more
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence58%
  • Socialist / Socialism55%▲ 4
  • Midterm / Election53%
  • Tax53%▲ 1
  • Childcare / Child Care51%▼ 4
  • NYPD45%▼ 11
  • ICE44%
  • Landlord / Tenant43%
  • Wall Street43%▲ 1
  • Budget / Deficit39%
  • Grocery36%
  • Immigrant / Immigration27%
  • Billionaire26%▼ 1
  • Free Bus / Fast & Free23%▲ 1
  • Event does not qualify6%
KalshiCloses Dec 2 · $25 today · $999 traded

What will Vlad Tenev say during NYT DealBook Summit?

78%AI / Artificial Intelligence
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence78%
  • Tokenized / Tokenization76%▲ 1
  • Prediction Market71%
  • Active Trader / Active Trading63%
13 more
  • Crypto / Cryptocurrency62%
  • Sport57%
  • Perp / Perpetual55%
  • Social55%
  • Retire / Retirement47%▼ 3
  • Option42%
  • Bank / Banking40%
  • Agent / Agentic38%
  • Bitcoin34%
  • Credit Card34%
  • Kalshi12%
  • Gold (3+ times)11%
  • Event does not qualify5%
KalshiCloses Dec 2 · $40 today · $868 traded

What will Sam Altman say during NYT DealBook Summit?

81%Safe / Safer / Safety
  • Safe / Safer / Safety81%
  • Astra67%
  • Compute62%
  • Regulation / Regulate / Regulatory62%
11 more
  • AGI58%
  • China / Chinese52%
  • Hugging Face47%
  • Valuation / IPO46%▲ 3
  • Data Center43%▲ 10
  • Privacy42%
  • Open Source38%
  • Elon / Grok33%
  • Nvidia32%
  • IP / Intellectual Property32%
  • Event does not qualify6%▲ 1
KalshiCloses Dec 2 · $3 today · $475 traded
NVDA-0.59%AGBK+4.26%

What will Snowflake CEO say during his agentic enterprise keynote?

80%Disney
  • Disney80%
  • CoWork / Snowflake Intelligence75%
  • Automated / Automation72%
  • CoCo70%
12 more
  • Claude / Anthropic57%
  • Postgres40%▲ 6
  • Open Source38%▼ 1
  • Iceberg33%
  • MCP / Model Context Protocol31%
  • AWS / Amazon Web Service28%
  • Azure27%
  • OpenAI / ChatGPT26%
  • Competition19%
  • Horizon Catalog17%
  • Databricks6%
  • Event does not qualify4%
KalshiCloses Nov 17 · $35 today · $94 traded
SNOW+3.65%DIS-0.54%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.