What countries will Trump say in October? (Before Nov 1, 2026)
KalshiMentions › PoliticiansCloses Nov 1 · $2.5K today · $68.8K traded · $56.2K at stake · prices read 19 min ago
The odds
100%Iceland / Icelandic
Iceland / Icelandic100%▲ 4
Argentina / Argentinian99%
Australia / Australian76%▲ 3
UAE / United Arab Emirates72%
Panama / Panamanian55%▼ 1
Kuwait / Kuwaiti37%▲ 3
Bahrain / Bahraini29%
South Africa / South African22%▼ 1
Belgium / Belgian20%▲ 1
Paraguay / Paraguayan18%
Sudan / Sudanese17%▲ 8
Jamaica / Jamaican13%▲ 1
1 more
Hungary / Hungarian7%▼ 9
How the odds have moved
Iceland / Icelandic: 100% on Oct 20, 100% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Iceland / Icelandic
100%
▲ 4
99¢
26.5K
✓ Japan / Japanese
99%
$1.01
340
✓ India / Indian
99%
$1.01
3.3K
✓ Mexico / Mexican
99%
$1.01
119
✓ France / French
99%
$1.01
1.2K
✓ Brazil / Brazilian
99%
$1.01
282
✓ United Kingdom / British
99%
▼ 1
$1.01
820
✓ Italy / Italian
99%
$1.01
4.7K
✓ Germany / German
99%
$1.01
144
✓ Qatar / Qatari
99%
$1.01
2.4K
✓ South Korea / South Korean
99%
$1.01
469
✓ Spain / Spanish
99%
$1.01
418
✓ Taiwan / Taiwanese
99%
$1.01
4.9K
✓ Colombia / Colombian
99%
$1.01
1.3K
✓ Turkey / Turkish
99%
$1.01
499
✓ Poland / Polish
99%
$1.01
85.00
✓ Egypt / Egyptian
99%
$1.01
3.4K
✓ North Korea / North Korean
99%
$1.01
225
✓ Denmark / Danish
99%
$1.01
5.9K
✓ Switzerland / Swiss
99%
$1.01
2.4K
Argentina / Argentinian
99%
86¢
$1.01
678
✓ Norway / Norwegian
99%
$1.01
1.3K
✓ Afghanistan / Afghan
99%
$1.01
367
✓ Somalia / Somali
99%
$1.01
345
✓ Congo / Congolese
99%
$1.01
694
✓ Palestine / Palestinian
99%
$1.01
398
✓ Yemen / Yemeni
99%
$1.01
1.3K
✓ Cuba / Cuban
99%
▼ 1
$1.01
1.2K
✓ Ireland / Irish
87%
$1.15
531
Australia / Australian
76%
▲ 3
71¢
80¢
$1.25
724
UAE / United Arab Emirates
72%
68¢
75¢
$1.33
423
Panama / Panamanian
55%
▼ 1
50¢
60¢
$1.67
643
Kuwait / Kuwaiti
37%
▲ 3
32¢
42¢
$2.38
661
Bahrain / Bahraini
29%
16¢
29¢
$3.45
1.5K
South Africa / South African
22%
▼ 1
21¢
22¢
$4.55
2.7K
Belgium / Belgian
20%
▲ 1
15¢
25¢
$4.00
1.4K
Paraguay / Paraguayan
18%
15¢
20¢
$5.00
967
Sudan / Sudanese
17%
▲ 8
12¢
22¢
$4.55
2.1K
Jamaica / Jamaican
13%
▲ 1
8¢
17¢
$5.88
129
Hungary / Hungarian
7%
▼ 9
4¢
15¢
$6.67
568
✓ Canada / Canadian
—
✓ Saudi Arabia / Saudi Arabian
—
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
