What will Trump say in October? (Before Nov 1, 2026)

Kalshi Mentions › Politicians Closes Nov 1 · $6.9K today · $89.6K traded · $76.3K at stake · prices read 7 min ago

The odds

100%Autism
  • Autism100%
  • Fat shot / Ozempic21%▼ 7
  • Antifa20%▼ 5
  • UFO / UAP17%▼ 33
  • Golden Dome14%▼ 4
  • Peace in the Middle East13%
  • Peptide7%▼ 3
  • Make Iran Great Again6%

How the odds have moved

Autism: 100% on Oct 20, 100% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Autism 100% 99¢ 27.1K
✓ Greenland 99% $1.01 2.7K
✓ Zohran / Mamdani 99% $1.01 2.3K
✓ Barack Hussein Obama 99% $1.01 2.8K
✓ Newscum 99% ▼ 1 $1.01 4.9K
✓ Cognitive 99% $1.01 10.1K
✓ Predict / Prediction 99% ▼ 1 $1.01 6.6K
✓ Pelosi 99% ▼ 1 $1.01 2.3K
✓ Filibuster 99% $1.01 3.6K
✓ Epstein 99% ▲ 82 $1.01 4.4K
✓ UFC 99% $1.01 2.5K
✓ Third Term 99% $1.01 5.2K
✓ Moon 99% $1.01 1.6K
✓ Space Force 99% $1.01 910
✓ Ceasefire 99% $1.01 4.7K
✓ Who are you with / Where are you from 99% $1.01 789
✓ Deal / Settle / Settled 99% $1.01 910
✓ Dividend / Stimulus 99% $1.01 1.1K
✓ Aluminum 99% $1.01 4.1K
Fat shot / Ozempic 21% ▼ 7 17¢ 24¢ $4.17 737
Antifa 20% ▼ 5 17¢ 22¢ $4.55 1.2K
UFO / UAP 17% ▼ 33 16¢ 17¢ $5.88 859
Golden Dome 14% ▼ 4 11¢ 16¢ $6.25 5.4K
Peace in the Middle East 13% 12¢ 13¢ $7.69 1.9K
Peptide 7% ▼ 3 6¢ 7¢ $14.29 1.8K
Make Iran Great Again 6% 5¢ 6¢ $16.67 3.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Trump

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  • Florida’s new TrumpPOLITICO · 5 h agoThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. By DASHA BURNS, WILL STEAKIN and ADAM WREN 10/23/2026 06:05 AM EDT With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner Happy Friday. As Election Day bears…
  • Canada’s Trump Fixation FadesNational Review · 4 h agoReunion with Rome: An Orthodox Perspective Why Assisted Suicide Failed in Britain Could This Time Be Different on Ukraine? After trade talks between the U.S. and Canada collapsed in August, there were fears a new cold war would break out…
  • President Trump continues midterm election ralliesCBS News · 2 h agoCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6:30pm CBS News Miami 6:30pm CBS News New York Weekend 6:30pm CBS Philadelphia at 6:30pm KDKA News Weekends 6:30pm CBS News Texas 5:30pm
  • Trump blames European immigration policies for unrestFox News · 3 h agoThe Big Weekend Show' co-host Johnny Joey Jones weighs in on the riots spreading across France on ‘The Big Weekend Show.’ ... Trump blames European immigration policies for unrest 'The Big Weekend Show' co-host Johnny Joey Jones weighs in…
  • Trump leans into Islamophobic rhetoric at Michigan rallyNBC News · 2 h agoPresident Donald Trump embraced Islamophobic rhetoric Sunday as he rallied in Port Huron, Michigan, in support of the state’s Republican candidates, including the GOP Senate nominee, former Rep. Mike Rogers. Trump alleged that Abdul…
  • Trump attacks Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan campaign stopCBS News · 2 h agoCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6:30pm CBS News Miami 6:30pm CBS Philadelphia at 6:30pm KDKA News Weekends 6:30pm CBS News Texas 5:30pm
  • Rapper Nikki Minaj joins Trump onstage at Michigan rallyBBC News · 2 h agoRapper Nikki Minaj said President Donald Trump has "changed the energy of the country" as she joined him at a Michigan rally to stump for Republicans ahead of the nationwide midterm elections. "He's given us a future to look forward to,"…
  • Obama MOCKS Trump's White House renovationsFox News · 12 h agoFormer President Barack Obama mocked President Donald Trump's White House renovations during a campaign rally for Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan. Obama MOCKS Trump's White House renovations Former President Barack Obama mocked President Donald…
  • Melania Trump helps secure localized ceasefire in Ukrainian cityFox News · 3 h agoFox News chief foreign correspondent Trey Yingst reports on first lady Melania Trump's role in helping secure a localized ceasefire in a Ukrainian city to allow for civilian evacuations and the distribution of humanitarian aid on 'Fox News…
  • Trump demands Ilhan Omar immediately resign from CongressFox News · 8 h agoThe 'Ruthless Podcast' co-hosts discuss the latest on the Ilhan Omar controversy as she faces two federal investigations. 'Fox & Friends Weekend' co-hosts also weigh in on a report comparing the president to Hitler over the probes. Trump…
  • Trump calls Michigan Senate candidate El-Sayed a ‘jihadist’Fox News · 4 h agoPresident Donald Trump speaks at a rally in Port Huron, Michigan, about Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed, his family’s alleged support for terrorist organizations and Trump’s characterization of El-Sayed as a ‘jihadist.’ Trump…
  • Trump casts his midterm ballot early in FloridaNBC News · 8 h agoWEST PALM BEACH, Fla. — President Donald Trump cast his ballot in the midterm elections Saturday, saying he voted for all Republicans in Florida before speaking at a Georgia rally. Trump and first lady Melania Trump arrived at their West…

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All politicians ›

What will Trump say this week? (Before Oct 26, 2026)

99%Bibi / Netanyahu
  • Bibi / Netanyahu99%▲ 40
  • Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis2%▼ 6
  • TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome1%▼ 26
14 more
  • Tomahawk1%▼ 10
  • Crypto / Bitcoin1%▼ 3
  • Antifa1%▼ 7
  • Autopen / Auto Pen<1%▼ 21
  • Zohran / Mamdani<1%▼ 7
  • Stupid Question<1%▼ 16
  • Zacharia<1%▼ 5
  • Houthi<1%▼ 10
  • Golden Dome<1%▼ 6
  • Uranium<1%▼ 4
  • Peace in the Middle East<1%▼ 5
  • UFO / UAP<1%▼ 5
  • Prediction Market / Predictive Market<1%▼ 1
  • Make Iran Great Again<1%▼ 1
KalshiCloses tomorrow 10:00 AM ET · $16K today

What will Bernie say during his rally in Michigan?

100%AI / Artificial Intelligence
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence100%
  • Billionaire (5+ times)100%
  • Corrupt / Corruption100%
20 more
  • Iran / Iranian100%
  • Housing / Rent100%
  • Minimum Wage100%
  • Trump (5+ times)100%
  • Climate100%
  • Midterm100%
  • Robot / Robotic / Robotics100%
  • Data Center100%
  • Israel / Netanyahu1%
  • AIPAC1%
  • Social Security1%
  • Crypto / Cryptocurrency1%
  • China / Chinese1%
  • Altman1%
  • Immigrant / Immigration1%
  • Socialist / Socialism1%
  • Student Loan / Student Debt1%
  • Zohran / Mamdani1%
  • ChatGPT / OpenAI1%
  • Event does not qualify1%
KalshiCloses Nov 8 · $35.4K today

What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?

96%Cheat / Cheater / Cheating
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating96%▲ 3
  • Save America Act94%▼ 1
  • Barack Hussein Obama89%▲ 2
32 more
  • America First88%▲ 18
  • Sleepy Joe86%▼ 2
  • Sanctuary85%▲ 2
  • Iran (5+ times)84%▲ 4
  • France83%▲ 1
  • China / Chinese82%▼ 2
  • Tariff (3+ times)80%▼ 1
  • Supreme Court77%▼ 8
  • Drill Baby Drill76%▲ 9
  • ICE75%▼ 11
  • Nuclear (3+ times)73%▼ 13
  • Hormuz72%▲ 5
  • Russia / Ukraine72%▼ 4
  • Made in America / American Made71%▲ 1
  • Kamala65%▼ 11
  • Gulf of America65%▼ 7
  • Data Center51%▲ 16
  • Blockade48%▼ 11
  • Electricity40%▼ 18
  • Israel / Israeli38%▲ 2
  • Trump Account26%▼ 6
  • Fraud (3+ times)25%▲ 5
  • Social Security (5+ times)25%▼ 1
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation23%▼ 7
  • Windmill22%▲ 6
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence20%▼ 16
  • Fentanyl14%▼ 6
  • Palestine / Palestinian8%▼ 1
  • Ceasefire8%▼ 7
  • Event does not qualify3%▼ 1
  • Peace in the Middle East2%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
KalshiCloses Nov 10 · $14.6K today

What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?

88%Marjorie Traitor Greene
  • Marjorie Traitor Greene88%▼ 8
  • Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck70%▲ 17
  • Slopadopolous / Slopadopolus70%▲ 1
10 more
  • Piggy50%
  • Fat Slob34%▼ 1
  • Low Energy26%▲ 2
  • Crazy Nancy25%
  • Crazy Bernie20%▲ 2
  • Fake Tapper16%▼ 2
  • Little Communist14%
  • Biden Crime Family13%▲ 2
  • Rocket Man11%▼ 1
  • Comrade Kamala10%▼ 1
KalshiCloses Jan 1, 2027 · $7.4K today

What will Trump say during his rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?

95%Save America Act
  • Save America Act95%
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating93%▲ 2
  • Barack Hussein Obama90%▲ 5
32 more
  • Iran (5+ times)85%▲ 17
  • Nuclear (3+ times)83%
  • Sanctuary83%▲ 3
  • China / Chinese81%▼ 2
  • Supreme Court80%▼ 2
  • Sleepy Joe79%▲ 1
  • France79%▲ 2
  • Gulf of America78%▼ 9
  • Tariff (3+ times)76%▼ 1
  • Hormuz75%▲ 4
  • America First75%▲ 12
  • ICE74%▼ 1
  • Russia / Ukraine71%▲ 6
  • Drill Baby Drill70%▼ 2
  • Kamala63%▲ 3
  • Made in America / American Made62%▼ 2
  • Blockade42%▼ 10
  • Data Center39%▲ 3
  • Electricity38%▲ 13
  • Israel / Israeli35%▼ 1
  • Trump Account26%▼ 8
  • Fraud (3+ times)23%▲ 2
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation20%▼ 3
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence17%▼ 19
  • Fentanyl16%▲ 2
  • Windmill15%▲ 3
  • Social Security (5+ times)14%▼ 1
  • Palestine / Palestinian6%▼ 6
  • Ceasefire5%▼ 1
  • Event does not qualify3%
  • Peace in the Middle East2%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
KalshiCloses Nov 10 · $7K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions