Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Azure
90%
77¢
88¢
$1.14
325
Copilot
86%
81¢
90¢
$1.11
31.00
Frontier
77%
72¢
81¢
$1.23
GitHub
71%
67¢
75¢
$1.33
Agent 365
71%
67¢
74¢
$1.35
Foundry
64%
59¢
69¢
$1.45
224
Autopilot
53%
36¢
51¢
$1.96
92.00
Cowork
52%
47¢
57¢
$1.75
19.00
Cybersecurity
52%
48¢
56¢
$1.79
128
OpenAI
45%
32¢
45¢
$2.22
19.00
Anthropic / Claude
36%
33¢
39¢
$2.56
NVIDIA
36%
33¢
39¢
$2.56
Sovereign Cloud
36%
36¢
51¢
$1.96
86.00
Scout
22%
17¢
27¢
$3.70
33.00
Mistral
22%
17¢
26¢
$3.85
Event does not qualify
4%
3¢
5¢
$20.00
92.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Satya Nadella Says AI Agents Need a ‘Kill Switch’ to Prevent DamageMashable India · 2 days agoMicrosoft CEO Satya Nadella warns businesses about AI agent security risks and stresses the need for access controls, audit logs and emergency kill switches. Satya Nadella Says AI Agents Need a âKill Switchâ to Prevent Damage Microsoft…
Microsoft Ignite 2024: The Biggest News In AI, Copilots, Agentscrn.com · 5 days agoMicrosoft Copilot Actions, AI agents inside SharePoint and a new Azure AI Foundry experience are among the big reveals. Microsoft Copilot Actions prompt templates. Artificial intelligence agents inside SharePoint. And a new Azure AI…
Luiz Inacio Lula Da SilvaPOLITICO · 34 h agoNews, Analysis and Opinion from POLITICO 10/25/2026 12:01 AM EDT 10/04/2026 08:21 PM EDT 10/03/2026 07:30 PM EDT 10/01/2026 04:59 AM EDT 07/26/2026 06:29 PM EDT By ALI BIANCO and ERIC BAZAIL-EIMIL 01/03/2026 09:02 AM EST Updated 01/03/2026…
Sunday Night Football: Chiefs vs. Seahawks discussionYahoo Sports · 22 h agoThe NFL Week 7 slate of Sunday games will cap off with a Sunday Night Football matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs (5-0) and the Seattle Seahawks (3-3). The Chiefs lead the all-time series between these teams, 34-19, and have won four…
Trump administration moves to nix TSA union contract — againPOLITICO · 37 h agoA prior attempt was halted by a federal judge. A badge is seen on the uniform of a TSA agent at a security checkpoint at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on Nov. 6 in SeaTac, Washington. | Lindsey Wasson/AP 12/12/2025 7:24 PM EST The…
Rapper Bobby Shmurda Arrested In Narcotics, Shootings ProbeCBS News · 37 h agoDecember 17, 2014 / 9:21 PM EST / CBS New York NEW YORK (CBSNewYork) -- New York rapper Bobby Shmurda was arrested at a Midtown recording studio Wednesday, following a long-term NYPD investigation related to narcotics and shootings…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions