What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?
1%Kamala
- Kamala1%▼ 85
- Russia / Ukraine1%▼ 89
- Hyundai1%▼ 49
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What will the White House Press Secretary say in the next press briefing? (Before Feb 1, 2027)
The odds
73%Trump (3+ times)
- Trump (3+ times)73%▼ 7
- Economy / Economic59%▲ 1
- Democrat55%
- Russia / Ukraine49%
- Election / Midterm45%
- Iran / Iranian43%
- Inflation41%▼ 5
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline38%▼ 16
- Border36%
- Nuclear36%
- Venezuela34%
- Fake News34%
11 more
- China / Chinese32%▼ 1
- Illegal Alien31%▼ 1
- Biden30%
- Leavitt30%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence27%
- Fraud18%▼ 5
- ICE18%
- Afford / Affordable / Affordability13%▲ 5
- Event does not qualify/occur9%▼ 1
- California9%
- Crypto / Bitcoin6%
How the odds have moved
Trump (3+ times): 78% on Oct 20, 73% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 25, 8 AM ETTrump (3+ times): 80% → 73%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump (3+ times) | 73% | ▼ 7 | 68¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | 2.6K |
| Economy / Economic | 59% | ▲ 1 | 37¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 190 |
| Democrat | 55% | 41¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 94.00 | |
| Russia / Ukraine | 49% | 22¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 58.00 | |
| Election / Midterm | 45% | 23¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 60.00 | |
| Iran / Iranian | 43% | 38¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 210 | |
| Inflation | 41% | ▼ 5 | 42¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 224 |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 38% | ▼ 16 | 38¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 573 |
| Border | 36% | 33¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 64.00 | |
| Nuclear | 36% | 35¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 110 | |
| Venezuela | 34% | 9¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 55.00 | |
| Fake News | 34% | 14¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 30.00 | |
| China / Chinese | 32% | ▼ 1 | 29¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 1.0K |
| Illegal Alien | 31% | ▼ 1 | 27¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 61.00 |
| Biden | 30% | 28¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | 95.00 | |
| Leavitt | 30% | 21¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 61.00 | |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 27% | 22¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 41.00 | |
| Fraud | 18% | ▼ 5 | 13¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 56.00 |
| ICE | 18% | 13¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | ||
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 13% | ▲ 5 | 8¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 45.00 |
| Event does not qualify/occur | 9% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 14.4K |
| California | 9% | 5¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 120 | |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 10.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: White House Press Secretary
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Weekly quiz: How long did Katie Zacharia last as White House press secretary?This week, cities across France were hit by a night of violent protests, the UK government approved the controversial Jackdaw gas field, and Tesla unveiled a flying car. Quiz collated by Ben Fell. Fancy some more? Try last week's quiz, or… -
Ex-White House press secretary Katie Zacharia flaunts six-pack in sunny SoCal after firingKatie Zacharia — and her amazing six-pack abs — have been spotted in public for the first time since leaving the White House. The former White House press secretary and mom of four wore orange-colored workout leggings and a purple sports… -
Karoline Leavitt says she's helping Trump pick the next White House press secretarySpeaking from experience, Leavitt said the position is a "tough job." Former White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt says she is helping President Donald Trump find his next press secretary after Katie Zacharia lasted only five days… -
Who will take over as White House Press Secretary?LiveNOW from FOX After Katie Zachariah left the job as White House Press Secretary, questions remain over who will step into the role, especially with the approaching midterm elections and the ongoing conflict with Iran. Martha Kumar at… -
George Santos Just Threw His Hat In The Ring For White House Press Secretary—And The Reactions Are PricelessAfter Katie Zacharia was fired as White House press secretary after just five days on the job, disgraced former Republican Rep. George Santos decided to throw his name in the mix to replace her—and the mockery was swift. Zacharia opened… -
Ex-Fox News host could be next White House press secretary after Katie Zacharia firingPresident Donald Trump is said to be searching for a new White House press secretary, with a former Fox News reporter reportedly under consideration for the position. Trump, 80, seemingly rushed his decision on who would succeed his… -
I worked for 3 White House press secretaries — here’s some advice for the next oneThe Washington Post The name on the room will be watching. It is a friendly gaze — and an exacting one. The U.S. has just watched the shortest press secretary tenure in its history: five days. Soon, someone new will stand at that podium… -
Ex-Fox News host in running to be next White House press secretary after Katie Zacharia firingPresident Donald Trump is reportedly on the hunt for a new White House press secretary, and an ex-Fox News reporter is said to be in the running for the role. Trump, 80, appeared to have hastily made his decision on who would replace his… -
Donald Trump could replace Karoline Leavitt with former model Elizabeth Pipko as White House press secretary: reportFormer swimsuit model and Republican spokesperson Elizabeth Pipko has emerged as a long-shot pick on prediction markets to become President Donald Trump's next White House press secretary following another shake-up in his administration's… -
Katie Zacharia Reveals Her Biggest Lessons From 5-Day White House Press Secretary StintKatie Zacharia has spoken about her brief stint as the White House press secretary and revealed the biggest lesson she learnt in her time at the Oval Office. She was abruptly fired on October 16, five days after she joined as the press… -
Ex White House press secretary Katie Zacharia has last laugh as she’s spotted working out in sunny SoCalEx-White House Press Secretary Katie Zacharia Has the Last Laugh as She’s Spotted Working Out in Sunny Southern California Working in the White House press office can be demanding, with constant media attention, tough questions, and the… -
Trump's first White House press secretary Sean Spicer advised him on next pick after Katie Zacharia row: ‘Focus on duties'Donald Trump’s first White House press secretary, Sean Spicer, has cautioned the US President against focusing too heavily on appearance and political loyalty when selecting his next spokesperson after Katie Zacharia’s departure from the…
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All politicians ›What will Trump say this week? (Before Oct 26, 2026)
100%Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice
- Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice100%▲ 89
- Bibi / Netanyahu37%▼ 27
- Stupid Question34%▲ 17
15 more
- Autopen / Auto Pen19%▼ 5
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome16%▼ 14
- Zohran / Mamdani10%▼ 1
- Houthi9%▼ 9
- Antifa9%▲ 1
- Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis8%▼ 1
- Tomahawk6%▼ 7
- Peace in the Middle East5%▼ 1
- Golden Dome4%▼ 3
- Crypto / Bitcoin4%▼ 1
- Zacharia3%▼ 5
- UFO / UAP2%▼ 5
- Make Iran Great Again2%▼ 1
- Uranium1%▼ 4
- Prediction Market / Predictive Market1%▼ 1
What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan?
98%El-Sayed
- El-Sayed98%
- Communist / Communism97%
- Cheat / Cheater / Cheating97%▲ 3
29 more
- Save America Act97%▲ 1
- Dividend / Stimulus97%▲ 3
- Stock Market96%▲ 1
- Sleepy Joe96%▲ 14
- Barack Hussein Obama95%▲ 4
- Hottest94%▲ 1
- Canada / Canadian94%▲ 3
- Nuclear (3+ times)92%▲ 10
- Supreme Court89%▲ 5
- Made in America / American Made87%▲ 17
- Auto Worker / Autoworker84%▲ 2
- America First84%▲ 19
- Iran (5+ times)81%▲ 9
- Ford / General Motors / GM77%▼ 6
- Hormuz76%▲ 11
- Russia / Ukraine72%▼ 8
- Gulf of America70%▲ 5
- Kamala65%▼ 17
- Blockade49%▼ 13
- Fraud (3+ times)38%▲ 14
- Israel / Israeli28%▼ 25
- AI / Artificial Intelligence20%▼ 11
- Fentanyl14%▼ 7
- Drill Baby Drill11%▼ 11
- Deport / Deported / Deportation11%▼ 5
- Ceasefire5%▼ 3
- Peace in the Middle East2%
- Crypto / Bitcoin2%▲ 1
- Event does not qualify1%▼ 2
What will Bernie say during his rally in Duluth?
100%AI / Artificial Intelligence
- AI / Artificial Intelligence100%▲ 7
- Billionaire (5+ times)100%▲ 26
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline100%▲ 21
18 more
- Housing / Rent100%▲ 14
- Iran / Iranian100%▲ 17
- Corrupt / Corruption100%▲ 17
- Trump (5+ times)100%▲ 26
- Israel / Netanyahu100%▲ 32
- Climate100%▲ 24
- Robot / Robotic / Robotics100%▲ 41
- China / Chinese100%▲ 63
- Immigrant / Immigration100%▲ 77
- Trillionaire100%▲ 53
- Social Security1%▼ 63
- Data Center1%▼ 67
- Midterm1%▼ 61
- Socialist / Socialism1%▼ 18
- Student Loan / Student Debt1%▼ 15
- Zohran / Mamdani1%▼ 19
- ChatGPT / OpenAI1%▼ 5
- Event does not qualify1%▼ 8
What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?
93%Save America Act
- Save America Act93%▼ 2
- Cheat / Cheater / Cheating93%▲ 4
- Barack Hussein Obama88%▲ 1
32 more
- Sleepy Joe88%
- Nuclear (3+ times)87%▲ 3
- ICE84%▼ 2
- Supreme Court84%
- Tariff (3+ times)82%▲ 2
- France82%▲ 6
- Sanctuary82%▲ 1
- China / Chinese81%▼ 3
- Iran (5+ times)81%▲ 7
- America First77%▲ 16
- Russia / Ukraine74%▼ 1
- Kamala72%▼ 2
- Gulf of America70%▼ 4
- Made in America / American Made67%▲ 8
- Hormuz66%▲ 7
- Drill Baby Drill65%▼ 3
- Electricity59%▲ 17
- Blockade56%▼ 4
- Data Center47%▲ 18
- Israel / Israeli34%▼ 2
- AI / Artificial Intelligence30%▼ 4
- Deport / Deported / Deportation28%▼ 1
- Trump Account26%▼ 5
- Social Security (5+ times)25%▼ 1
- Fraud (3+ times)22%▲ 5
- Windmill18%▼ 1
- Fentanyl14%▼ 6
- Ceasefire12%▼ 2
- Palestine / Palestinian8%
- Event does not qualify4%
- Peace in the Middle East2%
- Crypto / Bitcoin2%
What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?
80%Marjorie Traitor Greene
- Marjorie Traitor Greene80%▲ 4
- Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck75%▲ 22
- Slopadopolous / Slopadopolus69%
10 more
- Piggy50%▼ 2
- Fat Slob35%▲ 10
- Low Energy26%▲ 1
- Crazy Nancy24%
- Crazy Bernie19%
- Fake Tapper14%▼ 4
- Little Communist13%▼ 1
- Biden Crime Family13%▲ 2
- Rocket Man11%
- Comrade Kamala10%▼ 2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions