Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.

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Hurricanes & storms odds

Trending hurricanes & storms markets

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

Hurricane Lala category?

Hurricane Nolo category?

Hurricane Rachel category?

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year? (Atlantic in 2026)

Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?

Atlantic Tropical Storms (Dec 2026)

How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year? (Eastern Pacific in 2026)

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year? (Central Pacific in 2026)

How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year? (Eastern Pacific in 2026)

How many Central Pacific named storms will there be this year? (Central Pacific in 2026)

Hurricane Simon category?

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year? (Eastern Pacific in 2026)

Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?

How many Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year? (Central Pacific in 2026)

How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year? (Eastern Pacific in 2026)

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How many major Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year? (Central Pacific in 2026)

How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

Florida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?

When will the next Category 5 hurricane form? (2026)

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Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina this year? (2026)

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