Predictions › Crypto Bitcoin odds Every Bitcoin market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
% US Dec
227 open markets · $2.4M traded today
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $91,375 .
Reaches $90,000 56% Reaches $95,000 36% Reaches $100,000 22% Falls to $70,000 37% Falls to $65,000 24% Falls to $60,000 16% Already reached: ↓ 60,000, ↑ 85,000, ↑ 80,000, ↑ 75,000, ↑ 70,000, ↑ 65,000
by December 31, 2026 3% by March 31, 2027 7% ▲ 2 by June 30, 2027 13% by September 30, 2027 17% 1 more by December 31, 2027 24% ▲ 3
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $85,283 and as low as $78,517 .
Reaches $82,500 90% Reaches $85,000 53% Reaches $87,500 27% Falls to $80,000 68% Falls to $77,500 38% Falls to $75,000 20% Already reached: ↑ 85,000, ↓ 82,500, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 85,000, ↑ 85,000, ↓ 85,000
$15,000 $155,000
Median $83,160 Middle half $73,988 – $93,159
$72,000 $96,000
Median $81,781 Middle half $80,784 – $82,975
Reaches $84,000 2% Reaches $85,000 1% Reaches $86,000 <1% Falls to $81,000 21% Falls to $80,000 5% Falls to $79,000 2% Already reached: ↑ 83,000, ↓ 82,000
October 31 28% ▲ 7 November 30 74% ▲ 17 December 31 77% ▲ 5
August 86% December 7% ▲ 1 November 5% October 3%
$70,000 $94,000
Median $81,973 Middle half $80,622 – $83,324
Reaches $100,000 23% Reaches $110,000 9% Reaches $120,000 6%
Falls to $55,000 12% Falls to $50,000 7% Falls to $45,000 6%
$70,000 $94,000
Median $81,848 Middle half $80,333 – $83,452
Before November 2026 2% Before December 2026 13% Before January 2027 21% ▼ 4
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $84,034 and as low as $79,522 .
Reaches $84,000 51% Reaches $86,000 22% Reaches $88,000 8% Falls to $80,000 58% Falls to $78,000 25% Falls to $76,000 11% Already reached: ↓ 82,000
$70,000 $94,000
Median $81,965 Middle half $80,211 – $83,750
Reaches $87,500 32% Reaches $90,000 17% Reaches $92,500 9% Already reached: Above $85,000.00
$72,000 $94,000
Median $81,781 Middle half $80,771 – $83,009
$70,000 $94,000
Median $81,765 Middle half $79,667 – $83,913
by December 31, 2026 22% ▲ 2 by March 31, 2027 43% ▲ 2 by June 30, 2027 53% ▲ 2 by September 30, 2027 63% ▲ 2 1 more Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prices these markets are about All › Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .