Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
✓ ↑ 65,000
>99%
▲ 3
100¢
100¢
$15.2K
✓ ↑ 65,000
>99%
▲ 7
100¢
100¢
$41.7K
✓ ↑ 70,000
>99%
▲ 29
100¢
100¢
$274K
✓ ↑ 70,000
>99%
100¢
100¢
$44.1K
✓ ↑ 75,000
>99%
▲ 30
100¢
100¢
$258K
✓ ↑ 75,000
>99%
▼ 2
100¢
100¢
✓ ↑ 80,000
>99%
▲ 12
100¢
100¢
$68K
✓ ↑ 80,000
>99%
▲ 5
100¢
100¢
$776K
✓ ↑ 85,000
>99%
▲ 21
100¢
100¢
$921K
✓ ↑ 90,000
>99%
100¢
100¢
$23.2K
↑ 90,000
38%
▼ 7
37¢
38¢
$2.63
$2.5M
↑ 95,000
24%
▼ 2
23¢
24¢
$4.17
$1M
↑ 100,000
18%
17¢
18¢
$5.56
$4M
↑ 110,000
9%
▲ 1
8¢
9¢
$11.11
$2.1M
↑ 120,000
6%
▲ 1
5¢
6¢
$16.67
$2.3M
↑ 130,000
4%
4¢
4¢
$27.78
$2.1M
↑ 140,000
3%
3¢
3¢
$37.04
$1.4M
↑ 150,000
2%
1¢
2¢
$66.67
$1.3M
↑ 160,000
2%
2¢
2¢
$62.50
$739K
↑ 170,000
1%
1¢
1¢
$83.33
$483K
↑ 180,000
1%
1¢
1¢
$76.92
$583K
↑ 190,000
1%
1¢
1¢
$100.00
$821K
↑ 200,000
1%
1¢
1¢
$2.1M
↑ 250,000
<1%
0¢
1¢
$5.6M
↑ 500,000
<1%
0¢
0¢
$1.7M
↑ 1,000,000
<1%
0¢
0¢
$3.1M
↓ 5,000
<1%
0¢
1¢
$853K
↓ 10,000
1%
1¢
1¢
$948K
↓ 15,000
1%
1¢
1¢
$5.1M
↓ 20,000
1%
1¢
1¢
$90.91
$652K
↓ 25,000
1%
1¢
1¢
$76.92
$1.5M
↓ 30,000
2%
2¢
2¢
$55.56
$943K
↓ 35,000
3%
3¢
3¢
$37.04
$3.7M
↓ 40,000
3%
3¢
3¢
$31.25
$2.7M
↓ 45,000
6%
6¢
6¢
$16.95
$8.8M
↓ 50,000
8%
7¢
8¢
$12.50
$5.1M
↓ 55,000
12%
11¢
12¢
$8.33
$6.9M
✓ ↓ 60,000
>99%
▲ 10
100¢
100¢
$137K
↓ 60,000
18%
▲ 2
17¢
18¢
$5.56
$1.4M
✓ ↓ 60,000
>99%
▼ 17
100¢
100¢
$43.9K
↓ 65,000
25%
▼ 1
24¢
25¢
$4.00
$692K
✓ ↓ 65,000
>99%
▲ 18
100¢
100¢
$1.5M
↓ 70,000
40%
▼ 2
39¢
40¢
$2.50
$1.3M
✓ ↓ 75,000
>99%
▲ 21
100¢
100¢
$279K
✓ ↓ 75,000
>99%
▲ 12
100¢
100¢
$1.1M
✓ ↓ 85,000
>99%
▲ 11
100¢
100¢
$12.4K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Strategy Pauses Bitcoin Buying, Spends $205M Buying Back STRCDecrypt · 12 h agoStrategy did not buy any BitcoinBitcoin last week, breaking a run of weekly purchases that began in mid-September, as it spent $204.9 million buying back its STRC preferred stock instead, the company said on Monday. The Bitcoin treasury…
Bitcoin Dips Below $80,000 Ahead of Fed Decision, MidtermsDecrypt · 12 h agoBitcoin slipped below $80,000 over the past 24 hours, as a sell-off in technology stocks and nervousness ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision weighed on risk assets. The leading cryptocurrency fell as low as $79,332 before…
Bitcoin Wallet Fixes Critical Flaw That Redirected Funds to AttackersDecrypt · 7 h agoBitcoin wallet Electrum patched a high-severity vulnerability this weekend that allowed rogue servers to manipulate pending Bitcoin transactions and redirect funds to attacker-controlled addresses. The flaw affects all versions before…
Bitcoin holds near $80,000 as oil retreats and the Fed decision looms@coindesk · 18 h agoBitcoin was little changed near $80,400 since midnight UTC while the DeFi index was the only CoinDesk index to gain, with the Fed due to decide on Wednesday. S&P 500 index futures rose around 0.3% after Friday’s selloff in U.S. stocks…
Morning Minute: Bitcoin Breaks Below $80,000 as Iran Fears Hit the WeekendDecrypt · 13 h agoBTC currently sits at $80,160, down 2.4% on the week. Ethereum fell 3.8% to $2,322, Solana 3.2% to $101 and the broader CMC20 index is off 2.3%. Over 30 days, Bitcoin is down 4.8%. The majors around it average down 16.5%, more than three…
Bitcoin ETFs Snap Two-Week Losing Streak Despite Late-Week SlideDecrypt · 35 h agoBitcoin ETFs ended a choppy week in the green, but only just. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs shed $137.9 million on Friday, according to Decrypt’s ETF tracker, their second straight day of outflows. The two-day slide totaled about $773.5 million…
Bitcoin slips under $80,000 as traders de-risk ahead of Fed meeting@coindesk · 32 h agoBitcoin fell nearly 2% to about $79,800 as of Monday Asian morning hours as traders cut risk ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve meeting and another leg down in the AI trade weighed on tech stocks across the region. Selling hit almost…
Bitcoin wallet bug let rogue servers steal funds when users tried to speed up payments@coindesk · 31 h agoA bitcoin wallet security flaw allowed malicious servers to trick users into signing payments to attackers when they tried to speed up transactions, with developers confirming at least one case in which money was stolen. Electrum, one of…
Bitcoin price news: BTC falls below $80,000 on renewed Middle East worries@coindesk · 3 days agoThe U.S. is quickly evacuating personnel from embassies and military bases throughout the Middle East as intelligence suggests Iran is prepping attacks against Americans, the WSJ reported Saturday morning. “Iran has substantially increased…
Bitcoin’s wealthy holders are moving from trading to private banking, Xapo CEO says@coindesk · 3 days agoWealthy bitcoin BTC$84,459.46 holders are increasingly treating their cryptocurrency as an asset to borrow against and generate income from, marking a shift from speculation toward private banking, according to Xapo Bank CEO Seamus Rocca…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
