Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?
$81,811median
$70,000$94,000
Median $81,811Middle half $79,875 – $83,800
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Bitcoin above ___ on October 25?
The odds
$81,608median
Bitcoin now 81,597.63 −1.23% $70,000$94,000
Median $81,608Middle half $79,419 – $83,778Above today's price 50%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72,000 | 99% | ▲ 1 | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1.5K | |
| 74,000 | 98% | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | $4.5K | |
| 76,000 | 95% | 94¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | $10.5K | |
| 78,000 | 86% | ▼ 3 | 85¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | $42 |
| 80,000 | 71% | ▼ 5 | 70¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | $2.4K |
| 82,000 | 45% | ▼ 10 | 44¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | $2.4K |
| 84,000 | 23% | ▼ 10 | 21¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | $263 |
| 86,000 | 10% | ▼ 7 | 8¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | |
| 88,000 | 4% | ▼ 2 | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.95 | $260 |
| 90,000 | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 3¢ | $32.26 | $516 |
| 92,000 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $41.67 | $1.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Bitcoin
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All bitcoin ›Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?
$81,793median
$70,000$94,000
Median $81,793Middle half $80,069 – $83,660
Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?
$81,623median
$70,000$94,000
Median $81,623Middle half $80,174 – $83,276
Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?
$81,628median
$70,000$94,000
Median $81,628Middle half $80,465 – $83,015
Bitcoin above ___ on October 20?
$81,493median
$72,000$96,000
Median $81,493Middle half $80,619 – $82,643
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
$85,052high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $85,052 and as low as $78,427.
- Reaches $82,50087%
- Reaches $85,00051%
- Falls to $80,00070%
- Falls to $77,50039%
Already reached: ↑ 85,000, ↓ 82,500, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 85,000, ↑ 85,000, ↓ 85,000
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.