Bitcoin above ___ on October 25?
$81,000median
$70,000$94,000
Median $81,000Middle half $80,499 – $81,501
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Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?
The last odds before it closed
$81,000median
$70,000$94,000
Median $81,000Middle half $80,499 – $81,501
How the odds have moved
Median: $82,147 on Oct 20, $81,000 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72,000 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $14.7K | ||
| 74,000 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $61K | ||
| 76,000 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $115K | ||
| 78,000 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $175K | ||
| 80,000 | >99% | ▲ 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $246K | |
| 82,000 | <1% | ▼ 97 | 0¢ | $151K | ||
| 84,000 | <1% | ▼ 70 | 0¢ | $234K | ||
| 86,000 | <1% | ▼ 16 | 0¢ | $16K | ||
| 88,000 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $77.6K | ||
| 90,000 | <1% | 0¢ | $13.2K | |||
| 92,000 | <1% | 0¢ | $35.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Bitcoin
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Bitcoin holds near $80,000 as oil retreats and the Fed decision loomsBitcoin was little changed near $80,400 since midnight UTC while the DeFi index was the only CoinDesk index to gain, with the Fed due to decide on Wednesday. S&P 500 index futures rose around 0.3% after Friday’s selloff in U.S. stocks… -
Bitcoin slips under $80,000 as traders de-risk ahead of Fed meetingBitcoin fell nearly 2% to about $79,800 as of Monday Asian morning hours as traders cut risk ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve meeting and another leg down in the AI trade weighed on tech stocks across the region. Selling hit almost… -
Bitcoin ETFs Snap Two-Week Losing Streak Despite Late-Week SlideBitcoin ETFs ended a choppy week in the green, but only just. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs shed $137.9 million on Friday, according to Decrypt’s ETF tracker, their second straight day of outflows. The two-day slide totaled about $773.5 million… -
Bitcoin wallet bug let rogue servers steal funds when users tried to speed up paymentsA bitcoin wallet security flaw allowed malicious servers to trick users into signing payments to attackers when they tried to speed up transactions, with developers confirming at least one case in which money was stolen. Electrum, one of… -
Franklin Templeton Files 2 ETFs With a Bitcoin TwistFranklin Templeton registered two Nasdaq exchange-traded funds that combine US stocks with Bitcoin exposure. The funds would direct stock dividends toward Bitcoin instead of buying more shares. Securities filings dated October 22 outline… -
Bitcoin Wallet Bug Turned Fee Increases Into TheftA Bitcoin wallet bug in Electrum allowed rogue servers to redirect payments when users tried to increase transaction fees. Developers confirmed one reported theft and released a security update on October 24, 2026. Electrum disclosed the… -
Why Bitcoin price may soon crash below $76,000Key Risk: BTC reclaims and holds above the 50-day EMA (~$80,787), flipping momentum and forcing shorts to cover. Sell Ethereum (ETHUSD perpetuals or short ETH ETF). The article says ETH is following BTC lower and that the broader crypto… -
Bitcoin ETFs break 2-week outflow streak with $301M comebackUS spot Bitcoin ETFs finished the week with $301 million in net inflows after a strong three-day start gave way to heavy withdrawals. US-listed spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) attracted around $301 million in net inflows last… -
Bitcoin Set to Rally as Stocks Shape Up for a Bounce?The U.S. stock market fell into the second half of last week with investors becoming more jittery. The Iran conflict, and the approaching U.S. midterm elections are taking centre stage. Extreme fear pervades the market. With oil, bond… -
Crypto Slides: Bitcoin Nears $80K as Altcoins Hit August LowsThe crypto market is taking a hard hit as Bitcoin tests the $80,000 level and major altcoins slide back to their August lows. Ethereum, XRP, and Dogecoin are all trading under pressure, rattling investors who had hoped for a stronger fall… -
Bitcoin Price Rally After US Midterm Election: Historical Data ShowsBitcoin trades near $80,148 with nine days remaining until the November 3 U.S. midterm elections. Ash Crypto’s chart shows Bitcoin declines of 71% in 2010, 64% in 2014, 51% in 2018 and 27% in 2022. Bitcoin has historically rallied highe… -
Bitcoin Price Tests $80K With the Fed and Midterms AheadBitcoin sits on $80,000 as a packed week begins: the Fed on Wednesday, about $11 billion in options on Friday and the midterms a week from Tuesday. Bitcoin is trading near $80,100 on Monday, flat on the day, after slipping below its 50-day…
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All bitcoin ›What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
$83,934high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $83,934 and as low as $77,968.
- Reaches $82,50091%
- Reaches $85,00020%
- Falls to $80,000>99%
- Falls to $77,50039%
Already reached: ↑ 85,000, ↓ 82,500, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 85,000, ↑ 85,000, ↓ 85,000
What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?
<1%↑ 96,000
- Reaches $82,000<1%
- Reaches $84,000<1%
- Falls to $78,000<1%
- Falls to $76,000<1%
Already reached: ↑ 84,000, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 82,000, ↓ 82,000, ↓ 84,000, ↑ 82,000
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 25?
<1%↑ 88,000
- Reaches $81,000<1%
- Reaches $82,000<1%
- Falls to $79,000<1%
- Falls to $78,000<1%
Already reached: ↓ 80,000
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
43%↑ 90,000
- Reaches $90,00043%
- Reaches $95,00027%
- Falls to $70,00041%
- Falls to $65,00024%
Already reached: ↓ 60,000, ↑ 85,000, ↑ 80,000, ↑ 75,000, ↑ 70,000, ↑ 65,000
Bitcoin price on October 25?
$81,000median
$70,000$92,000
Median $81,000Middle half $80,497 – $81,503
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions