Bitcoin above ___ on October 25?
$81,000median
$70,000$94,000
Median $81,000Middle half $80,499 – $81,501
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Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?
The last odds before it closed
$79,000median
$70,000$94,000
Median $79,000Middle half $78,499 – $79,501
How the odds have moved
Median: $82,000 on Oct 20, $79,000 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72,000 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $30.4K | ||
| 74,000 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $67.8K | ||
| 76,000 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $97.6K | ||
| 78,000 | >99% | ▲ 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $212K | |
| 80,000 | <1% | ▼ 97 | 0¢ | $295K | ||
| 82,000 | <1% | ▼ 34 | 0¢ | $168K | ||
| 84,000 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $67.9K | ||
| 86,000 | <1% | 0¢ | $31.3K | |||
| 88,000 | <1% | 0¢ | $5.1K | |||
| 90,000 | <1% | 0¢ | $20.8K | |||
| 92,000 | <1% | 0¢ | $20.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Bitcoin
Search ›-
Strategy Pauses Bitcoin Buying, Spends $205M Buying Back STRCStrategy did not buy any BitcoinBitcoin last week, breaking a run of weekly purchases that began in mid-September, as it spent $204.9 million buying back its STRC preferred stock instead, the company said on Monday. The Bitcoin treasury… -
Bitcoin Dips Below $80,000 Ahead of Fed Decision, MidtermsBitcoin slipped below $80,000 over the past 24 hours, as a sell-off in technology stocks and nervousness ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision weighed on risk assets. The leading cryptocurrency fell as low as $79,332 before… -
Bitcoin Wallet Fixes Critical Flaw That Redirected Funds to AttackersBitcoin wallet Electrum patched a high-severity vulnerability this weekend that allowed rogue servers to manipulate pending Bitcoin transactions and redirect funds to attacker-controlled addresses. The flaw affects all versions before… -
Morning Minute: Bitcoin Breaks Below $80,000 as Iran Fears Hit the WeekendBTC currently sits at $80,160, down 2.4% on the week. Ethereum fell 3.8% to $2,322, Solana 3.2% to $101 and the broader CMC20 index is off 2.3%. Over 30 days, Bitcoin is down 4.8%. The majors around it average down 16.5%, more than three… -
Bitcoin holds near $80,000 as oil retreats and the Fed decision loomsBitcoin was little changed near $80,400 since midnight UTC while the DeFi index was the only CoinDesk index to gain, with the Fed due to decide on Wednesday. S&P 500 index futures rose around 0.3% after Friday’s selloff in U.S. stocks… -
Strive is 1,001 Bitcoin away from surpassing Metaplanet as second-largest Bitcoin treasuryThe Matt Cole-led firm sits at 43,000 BTC, close behind Metaplanet's 44,000 BTC in the race for runner-up to Strategy Strive is a single Bitcoin purchase away from a podium finish. The company needs 1,001 more BTC to pass Metaplanet and… -
Bitcoin slips under $80,000 as traders de-risk ahead of Fed meetingBitcoin fell nearly 2% to about $79,800 as of Monday Asian morning hours as traders cut risk ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve meeting and another leg down in the AI trade weighed on tech stocks across the region. Selling hit almost… -
Bitcoin wallet bug let rogue servers steal funds when users tried to speed up paymentsA bitcoin wallet security flaw allowed malicious servers to trick users into signing payments to attackers when they tried to speed up transactions, with developers confirming at least one case in which money was stolen. Electrum, one of… -
Bitcoin ETFs Snap Two-Week Losing Streak Despite Late-Week SlideBitcoin ETFs ended a choppy week in the green, but only just. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs shed $137.9 million on Friday, according to Decrypt’s ETF tracker, their second straight day of outflows. The two-day slide totaled about $773.5 million… -
The Bitcoin Bull Market Is Finally Here, According to Strategy's Michael Saylor. Could Bitcoin Hit a Price of $100,000 in 2027?According to Michael Saylor, founder and executive chairman of Bitcoin treasury company Strategy (MSTR -3.18%), the next Bitcoin (BTC -0.55%) bull market cycle has already started. That's music to the ears of patient crypto investors, who… -
How Bitcoin's Lightning Network Works Under the HoodWalkthroughs, tutorials, guides, and tips. This story will teach you how to do something new or how to do something better. So the question became: how do you keep everything that makes Bitcoin what it is, while making it actually usable… -
Vanguard Gains Indirect Bitcoin Exposure via MetaplanetVanguard funds held Metaplanet well before this filing, with the Total International Stock Index Fund (VGTSX) building a position of 15.64 million shares and the FTSE Japan ETF (VJPN) reporting its first 704,500 shares in October 2025…
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All bitcoin ›What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
$83,867high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $83,867 and as low as $77,707.
- Reaches $82,50091%
- Reaches $85,00016%
- Falls to $80,000>99%
- Falls to $77,50046%
Already reached: ↑ 85,000, ↓ 82,500, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 85,000, ↑ 85,000, ↓ 85,000
What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?
<1%↑ 96,000
- Reaches $82,000<1%
- Reaches $84,000<1%
- Falls to $78,000<1%
- Falls to $76,000<1%
Already reached: ↑ 84,000, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 82,000, ↓ 82,000, ↓ 84,000, ↑ 82,000
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 25?
<1%↑ 88,000
- Reaches $81,000<1%
- Reaches $82,000<1%
- Falls to $79,000<1%
- Falls to $78,000<1%
Already reached: ↓ 80,000
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
42%↑ 90,000
- Reaches $90,00042%
- Reaches $95,00026%
- Falls to $70,00041%
- Falls to $65,00024%
Already reached: ↓ 60,000, ↑ 85,000, ↑ 80,000, ↑ 75,000, ↑ 70,000, ↑ 65,000
Bitcoin price on October 25?
$81,000median
$70,000$92,000
Median $81,000Middle half $80,497 – $81,503
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions