Predictions › News Topics › Elections Governors The races for governor in the states that vote this cycle.
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Xavier Becerra 96% Steve Hilton 3% Tom Steyer <1% 20 more Rick Caruso <1% Alex Padilla <1% Katie Porter <1% Antonio Villaraigosa <1% Stephen Cloobeck <1% Butch Ware <1% Betty Yee <1% Toni Atkins <1% Kyle Langford <1% Chad Bianco <1% Eleni Kounalakis <1% Daniel Mercuri <1% Tony Thurmond <1% Michael Younger <1% Leo Zacky <1% Nicole Shanahan <1% Eric Swalwell <1% Kamala Harris <1% Matt Mahan <1% Elaine Culotti <1% Xavier Becerra 96% Steve Hilton 4% Byron Donalds 80% ▼ 1 David Jolly 20% Greg Abbott 77% ▲ 3 Gina Hinojosa 24% ▼ 1 Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 78% Bernadette Wilson 21% David Bronson <1% 19 more Treg Taylor <1% Click Bishop <1% Adam Crum <1% Nancy Dahlstrom <1% Edna DeVries <1% Matt Heilala <1% Shelley Hughes <1% James Parkin <1% Lisa Murkowski <1% Tom Begich <1% Mary Peltola <1% Hank Kroll <1% Bruce Walden <1% Matt Claman <1% Lesil McGuire <1% Gregg Brelsford <1% Jessica Faircloth <1% Destry J. Payne Sr. <1% Bill Walker <1% Amy Acton 70% Vivek Ramaswamy 30% Kathy Hochul 94% Bruce Blakeman 7% Rick Jackson 51% Keisha Lance Bottoms 49% ▲ 1 A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .