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Ohio Governor margin of victory
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 3.08 on Oct 20, 5.05 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acton, 1+ pts | 78% | ▼ 3 | 76¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 14.8K |
| Acton, 2+ pts | 72% | ▼ 3 | 70¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 972 |
| Acton, 3+ pts | 69% | 68¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 37.3K | |
| Acton, 4+ pts | 59% | ▲ 1 | 57¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 285 |
| Acton, 5+ pts | 51% | ▲ 1 | 50¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 3.4K |
| Acton, 6+ pts | 41% | ▼ 4 | 40¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | 32.1K |
| Acton, 7+ pts | 38% | ▼ 1 | 37¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 447 |
| Acton, 8+ pts | 30% | ▼ 3 | 29¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 598 |
| Acton, 9+ pts | 23% | ▼ 3 | 22¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 11.0K |
| Acton, 12+ pts | 13% | ▼ 4 | 12¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 6.4K |
| Acton, 15+ pts | 7% | 5¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 426 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ohio Governor
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Ohio Governor Urges Ramaswamy to Remove Amy Acton Attack Ad: ‘Just Wrong’Oct 22, 2026 at 11:28 AM EDT Ohio Governor Mike DeWine called on Republican gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy to take down advertisements featuring the mother of Democratic candidate Amy Acton. DeWine, a Republican, told reporters it… -
Ohio Governor Race Shifts in Amy Acton’s Favor Following Attack AdOct 22, 2026 at 10:26 AM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 10:30 AM EDT The race for Ohio governor has shifted in Democrat Amy Acton’s favor, with Sabato’s Crystal Ball moving the contest from Toss-up to Leans Democratic after Republican Vivek… -
MK Pritzker donates $500K to Amy Acton's Ohio governor campaign after Ramaswamy attack adsCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. MK Pritzker donates $500K… - Cook Political moves Ohio governor’s race after Ramaswamy attack adAmid backlash to GOP gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy’s explosive campaign ad featuring his opponent’s mother, handicappers say the race could be shifting toward Democrat Amy Acton. The influential Cook Political Report, which had…
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Obama Calls Indian-American Vivek Ramaswamy 'Thirsty' for Attention in Ohio Governor RaceFormer US President Barack Obama criticized Indian-American Republican Vivek Ramaswamy, labeling him as "thirsty" for attention during a rally ... - Latest News. Find Breaking Headlines, Current and Latest international news at… -
Ramaswamy follows Trump's playbook in tight Ohio governor's raceAmid a bipartisan backlash roiling his bid to become Ohio's next governor, Republican Vivek Ramaswamy has taken a page out of President Donald Trump's book: He's doubling down. After members of his own party said he should stop airing a… -
Political strategists on how Ramaswamy attack ad could affect Ohio governor's raceBacklash is continuing to grow after Ohio GOP gubernatorial nominee Vivek Ramaswamy's campaign posted an ad featuring his Democratic opponent's estranged mother, with President Trump defending the move and some Republicans condemning it… -
Trump attacks Ohio governor over call for Ramaswamy to drop ‘deeply troubling’ adRepublican Mike DeWine says Ramaswamy ‘wrong’ to run controversial ad, drawing swift rebuke from president Ohio’s Republican governor Mike DeWine on Thursday said gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy was “wrong” to release an ad… -
Ohio's Governor Race Tilts Blue as Ramaswamy's Attack Ad Triggers Bipartisan RevoltWith Election Day on November 3 now ten days out, Ramaswamy's calculated retreat into Ohio's most celebrated rural tradition lays bare the precarious ground beneath a campaign that once looked comfortably red. ActiVote's tracker, released… -
Ohio Governor’s Race Moves to Lean DemocratCook Political Report: “The trajectory of Vivek Ramaswamy’s odds in the Ohio governor’s race has been clear to us for the last few weeks. But the campaign’s decision this week to air a deeply personal attack ad against opponent Amy Acton… -
Obama endorses Amy Acton in 2026 Ohio governor raceEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Cook Shifts Ohio Governor’s Race to Lean Democrat After Ramaswamy Ad BacklashThe Cook Political Report on Friday moved Ohio’s governor’s race from Toss Up to Lean Democrat, citing fallout from a Vivek Ramaswamy campaign ad featuring Democrat Amy Acton’s estranged mother. “The trajectory of Vivek Ramaswamy’s odds in…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions