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Spider-Man: Brand New Day 95% Avengers: Doomsday 4% Dune: Messiah <1% 11 more Wicked: For Good <1% Wuthering Heights <1% Scream 7 <1% Michael <1% Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu <1% Toy Story 5 <1% The Odyssey <1% The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1% Project Hail Mary <1% The Super Mario Galaxy Movie <1% Jumanji 3 <1% Avengers: Doomsday 56% ▼ 1 Spider-Man: Brand New Day 41% ▼ 3 The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1% 1 more Before January 2028 99% Before July 2027 98% ▼ 1 Before 2027 97% 2 more Before December 2026 94% ▼ 1 Before November 2026 1%
The Odyssey 46% ▲ 1 The Black Ball 18% You Can See Everything 15% ▼ 7 38 more Dune: Part Three 9% Wild Horse Nine 2% Digger 1% Artificial 1% Project Hail Mary <1% Disclosure Day <1% Fjord <1% The Social Reckoning <1% Michael <1% The Entertainment System Is Down <1% Narnia: The Magician's Nephew <1% Werwulf <1% Behemoth <1% Josephine <1% Sense and Sensibility <1% I Love Boosters <1% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth <1% Avengers: Doomsday <1% The Death of Robin Hood <1% The Drama <1% Ink <1% All of a Sudden <1% Cry to Heaven <1% Tie <1% 1949 / Fatherland <1% Paper Tiger <1% Hope <1% Minotaur <1% Parallel Tales <1% Jack of Spades <1% Obsession <1% The Debut <1% Elsinore <1% The Invite <1% Club Kid <1% Being Heumann <1% Primetime <1% Tender Loving Care <1%
20.00M 160.00M
Median 55.22M Middle half 47.60M – 65.54M
No Bond chosen 36% ▼ 1 Jack Lowden 25% ▼ 2 Callum Turner 17% ▼ 1 21 more Jack Barton 6% Josh O'Connor 5% ▲ 2 Jacob Elordi 4% Tom Francis 3% ▲ 2 Jack O'Connell 2% Paul Mescal 2% ▲ 1 Tom Hardy 1% Harris Dickinson 1% Henry Cavill <1% Aaron Taylor-Johnson <1% Richard Madden <1% James Norton <1% Theo James <1% Tom Holland <1% Timothee Chalamet <1% Pierce Brosnan <1% Robert James-Collier <1% Michael B Jordan <1% Nicholas Galitzine <1% Jonathan Bailey <1% Tom Blyth <1% A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .