Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Polymarket Culture › Movies & box office Closes Jan 7, 2027 · $9K today · $17.8M traded · $377K at stake · prices read 4 min ago

The odds

93%Spider-Man: Brand New Day
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day93%▲ 1
  • Avengers: Doomsday6%
  • Wicked: For Good<1%
  • Wuthering Heights<1%
  • Scream 7<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu<1%
  • Toy Story 5<1%
  • The Odyssey<1%
  • The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping<1%
  • Dune: Messiah<1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
2 more
  • The Super Mario Galaxy Movie<1%
  • Jumanji 3<1%

How the odds have moved

Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 95% on Oct 20, 93% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 93% ▲ 1 93¢ 95¢ $1.05 $72K
Avengers: Doomsday 6% 6¢ 6¢ $15.87 $1.2M
Wicked: For Good <1% 0¢ $2.2M
Wuthering Heights <1% 0¢ $2.3M
Scream 7 <1% 0¢ $2.5M
Michael <1% 0¢ $1.3M
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu <1% 0¢ $821K
Toy Story 5 <1% 0¢ $619K
The Odyssey <1% 0¢ $956K
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1% 0¢ $1.2M
Dune: Messiah <1% 0¢ $732K
Project Hail Mary <1% 0¢ $1.4M
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie <1% 0¢ $628K
Jumanji 3 <1% 0¢ $1.2M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All movies & box office ›

Next James Bond actor?

36%Jack Lowden
  • Jack Lowden36%▲ 5
  • Callum Turner22%▲ 4
  • No Bond chosen21%▼ 9
21 more
  • Josh O'Connor6%▲ 1
  • James Norton4%
  • Jack Barton4%▲ 2
  • Jacob Elordi3%▼ 2
  • Tom Francis2%
  • Henry Cavill<1%
  • Harris Dickinson<1%
  • Richard Madden<1%
  • Paul Mescal<1%
  • Jack O'Connell<1%
  • Theo James<1%
  • Tom Blyth<1%
  • Aaron Taylor-Johnson<1%
  • Tom Hardy<1%
  • Pierce Brosnan<1%
  • Tom Holland<1%
  • Robert James-Collier<1%
  • Timothee Chalamet<1%
  • Michael B Jordan<1%
  • Nicholas Galitzine<1%
  • Jonathan Bailey<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions