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Next James Bond actor?
The odds
- No Bond chosen32%▼ 3
- Jack Lowden26%
- Callum Turner17%▼ 1
- Josh O'Connor6%▲ 1
- Jack Barton4%▼ 1
- Jacob Elordi4%
- Tom Francis3%
- Jack O'Connell2%
- Paul Mescal1%
- Tom Hardy1%
- Harris Dickinson1%
- Henry Cavill<1%
12 more
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson<1%
- Richard Madden<1%
- James Norton<1%
- Theo James<1%
- Tom Holland<1%
- Timothee Chalamet<1%
- Pierce Brosnan<1%
- Robert James-Collier<1%
- Michael B Jordan<1%
- Nicholas Galitzine<1%
- Jonathan Bailey<1%
- Tom Blyth<1%
How the odds have moved
No Bond chosen: 36% on Oct 20, 32% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Bond chosen | 32% | ▼ 3 | 32¢ | 33¢ | $3.06 | $586K |
| Jack Lowden | 26% | 26¢ | 27¢ | $3.75 | $27K | |
| Callum Turner | 17% | ▼ 1 | 17¢ | 18¢ | $5.68 | $11K |
| Josh O'Connor | 6% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 7¢ | $15.15 | $25.2K |
| Jack Barton | 4% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 5¢ | $19.23 | $67.8K |
| Jacob Elordi | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $15.87 | $28K | |
| Tom Francis | 3% | 3¢ | 3¢ | $38.46 | $26.6K | |
| Jack O'Connell | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $38.46 | $39.2K | |
| Paul Mescal | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $45.45 | $22K | |
| Tom Hardy | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $23.5K | ||
| Harris Dickinson | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $31.1K | ||
| Henry Cavill | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $21.5K | ||
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $33.9K | ||
| Richard Madden | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $23.1K | ||
| James Norton | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $25.1K | ||
| Theo James | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $40.4K | ||
| Tom Holland | <1% | 0¢ | $18.3K | |||
| Timothee Chalamet | <1% | 0¢ | $18.3K | |||
| Pierce Brosnan | <1% | 0¢ | $15.9K | |||
| Robert James-Collier | <1% | 0¢ | $8.7K | |||
| Michael B Jordan | <1% | 0¢ | $12.5K | |||
| Nicholas Galitzine | <1% | 0¢ | $13.4K | |||
| Jonathan Bailey | <1% | 0¢ | $13.8K | |||
| Tom Blyth | <1% | 0¢ | $14.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: James Bond, Jack Lowden, Callum Turner
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.