Around the world

Elections abroad: presidents, parliaments and referendums.

The latest

Both gubernatorial candidates are in South Florida campaigning for the midterm electionsCBS News · 2 days agoCBS News Both gubernatorial candidates are in South Florida campaigning for the midterm elections Lauderhill police officer accused of impersonating a dead man to occupy home Alberto Sierra recommended the death penalty for the murders of…
EXCLUSIVE: November deal on tobacco taxation 'impossible'Rapporteur · 42 h agoMy name is Magdalena Kensy and I am a health policy reporter at Rapporteur, where I cover medical devices, AI, digital health and the Biotech Act. Previously, I completed my MA in International Relations, after which I joined Euractiv in…
Election 2026: Crook County’s Guide to the November ElectionCentral Oregonian · 42 h agoPublished 5:00 am Wednesday, October 21, 2026 With the November midterm elections rapidly approaching, it’s not just national news that’s on the minds of voters in Crook County. The community will gain a new county commissioner as a…
Alabama Constitutional Amendments 2026: A Plain-Language Voter GuideWEIS | Local & Area News · 43 h agoMONTGOMERY– Alabama voters will decide four statewide constitutional amendments in the Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026, general election. The proposals cover four different subjects. They address a lieutenant governor vacancy, possible county…
Drop the early election rumoursNew Statesman · 43 h agoW ill the Budget “rabbit out of a hat” surprise this year be a big move on defence? Will the banks be the ones paying for it? Have some of them, acknowledging their huge recent profits, already quietl W ill the Budget “rabbit out of a hat”…
Independent Candidate for State Senate is on State Election Ballotwatertownmanews.com · 44 h agoThe following announcement was provided by the Brandon Charles Wood Campaign: Brandon Charles Wood, independent candidate for State Senate in the Suffolk and Middlesex District, called on young voters in Allston-Brighton, Watertown…
Turkey, Pakistan, Qatar and Indonesia sign 'Badr' defence deal amid Iran warMoneycontrol · 46 h agoTurkey, Qatar, Pakistan, and Indonesia signed an agreement on Wednesday to boost defence cooperation and strengthen defensive capabilities, the Turkish Defence Ministry said. In a statement, the ministry said the countries signed the "Badr…
UNF poll shows Donalds, Moody holding narrow leads in governor, senate racesAction News Jax · 46 h agoAction News Jax UNF poll shows Donalds, Moody holding narrow leads in governor, senate races JACKSONVILLE, Fla. â A new poll of likely voters in Florida shows tight races for governor and U.S. Senate, with Republican candidate Byron…
Three candidates vie to represent Norfolk at Grand Erie School BoardNorfolkToday.ca · 46 h agoNorfolk voters have three choices in the race for Grand Erie District School Board trustee representing Wards 1, 2, 4, 5 and 6. Eva Dixon, John Harris and incumbent Elizabeth Whiton are each looking to represent local families at the board…
Gregg County Appraisal District board seats on ballot: What to knowLongview News-Journal · 47 h agoPublished 5:42 am Wednesday, October 21, 2026 Gregg County voters are finding something new on their ballots for the November general election: the selection of three people to serve on the county’s appraisal district board of directors…
November General Election: County council candidatesConnersville News-Examiner · 48 h agoWith the November General Election closing in, candidates for Fayette County Council answered questions asked by the News-Examiner. Republican – Gary Keener Jr. Early voting began Tuesday, Oct. 6, for the Nov. 3 General Election. Those…
Tobacco control: We shouldn't just look at the economic benefits.vietnam.vn · 2 days agoContributing to the refinement of the draft Law amending and supplementing a number of articles of the Law on Prevention and Control of Tobacco Harm, National Assembly Chairman Tran Thanh Man said that one should not only look at economic…
WSGW OnLine Poll for YOU: Michigan’s New Governor (results)WSGW 790 AM & 100.5 FM · 2 days ago(October 14 – 20, 2026) Election day is getting close, Tuesday, November 3. Unless you’ve already voted absentee. We revisit our poll from August regarding your vote for the next governor of Michigan. Has your vote changed or is it the…
Bulgaria’s 2026 presidential elections: Yotova 47.3%, Gyurov 30.6% – Market Links pollThe Sofia Globe · 2 days agoThe presidential election ticket of incumbent head of state Iliana Yotova and vice-presidential candidate Kiril Vulchev has 47.3 per cent support among those who intend to vote, with former caretaker prime minister Andrei Gyurov and his…
Poll: Yotova at 47.3%, Gyurov at 30.6%, Kostadinov with 10.3% in Presidential RaceNovinite.com · 2 days agoA survey by Market Links conducted for bTV shows President Iliaana Yotova leading Andrey Gyurov by 16.7 percentage points in the presidential race, while support for the Progressive Bulgaria (PB) party has fallen to 32% in a hypothetical…
MEET THE CANDIDATE: 11th Congressional District democratic candidate James PericolaWest Orange Times & Observer · 2 days agoCity/town of residence: Winter Garden Family: Wife, Mathilde, Children, Luca (17), Leo (15), Linnea (6) Education: B.A. Political Science, The Catholic University of America, J.D., The Catholic University of America Qualifications: Small…
Election 2022 ResultsChristian Forums · 40 h agoExciting times! Starting today August 7th, 2024, in order to post in the Married Couples, Courting Couples, or Singles forums, you will not be allowed to post if you have your Marital status designated as private. Announcements will be…
Republican incumbent eagerly anticipates second term as Flathead County commissionerHagadone News Network · 2 days agoFlathead County Commissioner Brad Abell, 67, is fired up at the possibility of a second six-year term in office. A Republican who lives near Columbia Falls, Abell was elected to represent District 1 in November 2020. He spent his first…
Edgewater, NSB and Oak Hill candidates seek electionHometown News Volusia · 2 days agoEdgewater, New Smyrna Beach and Oak Hill municipal races will be decided on Nov. 3. Hometown News Volusia compiled the information of local candidates appearing on the general election ballot. Biographical information and statements were…
Meet the Arroyo Grande mayor and city council candidatesKSBY News · 2 days agoIn November, Arroyo Grande voters will decide on two measures: two seats on the city council and who will be the next mayor of the city. Two candidates are vying to be the next mayor of Arroyo Grande. Both Sean Schuur and Glenn Martin have…

The odds

Elections › Around the world

Brazil Presidential Election

77%Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro77%▼ 2
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva23%▲ 2

Elections › Around the world

Next French Presidential Election

46%Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen46%
Édouard Philippe17%▼ 1
David Lisnard13%

42 more

Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%
Raphaël Glucksmann5%
François Hollande2%
Gabriel Attal1%
Jordan Bardella1%
Sarah Knafo1%
Éric Zemmour1%
Bruno Retailleau1%
Christine Lagarde1%
Dominique de Villepin1%
Sébastien Lecornu<1%
Natacha Polony<1%
Xavier Bertrand<1%
François Ruffin<1%
Marine Tondelier<1%
Ségolène Royal<1%
François Asselineau<1%
Jean Castex<1%
Karim Bouamrane<1%
Laurent Wauquiez<1%
Fabien Roussel<1%
Olivier Faure<1%
Clémentine Autain<1%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
Michel Barnier<1%
Valérie Pécresse<1%
François Bayrou<1%
Élisabeth Borne<1%
Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
Gérald Darmanin<1%
Carole Delga<1%
Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
Manuel Bompard<1%
Mathilde Panot<1%
Juan Branco<1%
Clémence Guetté<1%
Lucie Castets<1%
Yannick Jadot<1%
François Baroin<1%
Marion Maréchal<1%
Anasse Kazib<1%
Sylvain Durif<1%

Elections › Around the world

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

77%Magdalena Andersson

Magdalena Andersson77%
Ulf Kristersson18%
Ebba Busch4%▲ 2

7 more

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist1%
Jimmie Åkesson<1%
Anna-Karin Hatt<1%
Nooshi Dadgostar<1%
Simona Mohamsson<1%
Amanda Lind<1%
Daniel Helldén<1%

Elections › Around the world

Brazil Presidential election winner?

76%Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro76%▼ 3
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva24%▲ 2

Elections › Around the world

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

42%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%

Flávio Bolsonaro <4%42%▲ 1
Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%28%▼ 7
Lula da Silva <4%21%▲ 3

5 more

Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%7%▲ 1
Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+2%▲ 1
Lula da Silva 4-8%1%
Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
Lula da Silva 12%+<1%

Elections › Around the world

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

70%Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia70%▲ 3
Student List – Students Win30%▼ 3
Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%

7 more

Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%
Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%
Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić<1%
Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović<1%
European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš<1%
SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak<1%

Elections › Around the world

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

71%Aleksandar Vučić

Aleksandar Vučić71%▲ 5
Ilija Srdanović14%▼ 12
Vladan Đokić3%▼ 1

7 more

Ana Brnabić1%▲ 1
Stefan Krkobabić<1%
Ivica Dačić<1%
Dragan Đilas<1%
Miloš Vučević<1%
Đuro Macut<1%
Branimir Jovanović<1%

Elections › Around the world

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

80%Nicolás Maduro

Nicolás Maduro80%▲ 2
Delcy Rodríguez18%▲ 1
Edmundo González5%

15 more

María Corina Machado4%
Donald Trump1%
Jorge Rodríguez1%
Vladimir Padrino López1%
Juan Guaidó1%
Dinorah Figuera1%
Marco Rubio1%
Pete Hegseth1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón1%
Frank Donovan<1%
Miguel Rodríguez Torres<1%
Richard Grenell<1%
Evan Pettus<1%
Dan Caine<1%
Stephen Miller<1%

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.