Predictions › News Topics › Tech and Science Big tech Apple, Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta and Tesla: launches and fights.
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Denver, CO 96% Las Vegas, NV 91% ▲ 2 Sacramento, CA 18% ▲ 2 16 more Detroit, MI 11% ▼ 3 Charlotte, NC 8% New Orleans, LA 7% ▼ 1 London, UK 6% Portland, OR 6% ▼ 1 Baltimore, MD 6% Chicago, IL 6% Philadelphia, PA 6% ▼ 3 New York, NY 5% ▼ 1 Washington, DC 4% Seattle, WA 4% ▼ 4 Boston, MA 4% ▼ 2 Minneapolis, MN 4% ▲ 1 Pittsburgh, PA 4% ▼ 2 St. Louis, MO 4% Tokyo, Japan 4% ▼ 2 Dolly Parton 53% ▼ 2 Hayden Panettiere 27% ▼ 1 Oliver Tree 7% ▼ 1 22 more Chuck Norris 6% Renée Good 4% Alex Pretti 1% Ali Khamenei 1% Lindsey Graham 1% James Van Der Beek <1% Jesse Jackson <1% Nicholas Brendon <1% Kyle Busch <1% Catherine O'Hara <1% Robert Duvall <1% Eric Dane <1% Ted Turner <1% Bob Weir <1% Valentino Garavani <1% Clive Davis <1% Sam Neill <1% Bonnie Tyler <1% David Hockney <1% Alan Greenspan <1% Scott Adams <1% Victor Willis <1%
3-6 hours 62% ▲ 1 6-12 hours 24% 12+ hours 12% ▼ 2
Nevada 69% ▲ 1 Arizona 49% Georgia 21% 1 more
20 125
Median 35.4 Middle half 28.8 – 48.9
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
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