Predictions › Tech & Science odds Every Space market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
% US Dec
273 open markets · $834K traded today
December 31, 2026 18% ▼ 2 January 31, 2027 32% ▼ 2 February 28, 2027 36% June 30, 2027 53% ▲ 3 1 more
Before Jan 20, 2029 20% ▲ 1 Before Jan 1, 2028 14% Before Jan 1, 2027 4% Before Dec 1, 2026 3% 1 more
5 17
Median 10.5 Middle half 10.2 – 10.8
December 31, 2026 5% ▲ 3 June 30, 2027 27% ▲ 1 December 31, 2027 45%
100 220
Median 142.8 Middle half 138.4 – 146.6
December 31, 2026 3% December 31, 2027 61% ▼ 2
United States 56% China 31% Russia 2% India 1% 1 more
$600B $1.3T
Median $918.87B Middle half $851.78B – $975.57B
November 30, 2026 67% ▼ 11 Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster? 61% ▼ 1 Super Heavy booster explodes? 46% ▲ 2 Chopsticks catch Starship? 46% ▲ 4 3 more Successful splash down? 31% ▼ 3 November 15, 2026 15% ▲ 10 October 31, 2026 1%
Before 2030 42% Before 2029 24% Before 2028 3% Before 2027 1%
June 30, 2027 9% December 31, 2027 25% ▲ 1
Before Oct 30, 2026 1% Before Nov 13, 2026 17% ▲ 1 Before Nov 27, 2026 76% Before Dec 11, 2026 92% ▲ 1
0.50 10.5
Median 4.59 Middle half 3.96 – 5.11
3% 19%
Median 8.73% Middle half 7.03% – 10.44%
Before Apr 2027 60% ▼ 9 Before Mar 2027 43% Before Feb 2027 26% ▼ 6 Before 2027 9% ▼ 1 2 more Before December 2% ▼ 1 Before November 1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...? 
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...? 
5kt meteor strike in 2026? 
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…? 
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31? 
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15? 
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by ___?