Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
May 30, 2027even chance by
- December 31, 202613%▼ 4
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- February 28, 202728%▼ 2
2 more
- June 30, 202757%▼ 1
- December 31, 202763%▼ 3
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Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (Before 2031)
The odds
57%United States
- United States57%
- China31%
- Russia2%
- India1%
- European Space Agency1%
How the odds have moved
United States: 57% on Oct 20, 57% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | 57% | 57¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 86.8K | |
| China | 31% | 31¢ | 31¢ | $3.26 | 50.5K | |
| Russia | 2% | 2¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 14.9K | |
| India | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $76.92 | 18.5K | |
| European Space Agency | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $76.92 | 14.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Moon
Search ›-
Saturn's Moons and Rings May Be Younger Than the DinosaursSome of Saturn's icy moons may have been formed after many dinosaurs roamed the Earth. New computer modeling of the Saturnian system suggests the rings and moons may be no more than 100 million years old. "Saturn has dozens of moons that… -
NASA announces plan for 2028 moon landingFormer NASA astronaut Barry 'Butch' Wilmore reacts to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman announcing plans to send astronauts to the moon in 2028 on 'America Reports.' ... NASA announces plan for 2028 moon landing Former NASA astronaut Barry… -
How to catch the hunter’s moon this weekend — and maybe Saturn, tooOctober’s full moon will grace the sky this weekend — and those with a keen eye may also catch a glimpse of Saturn. Just a month after the fall equinox, the full moon will rise particularly early, becoming visible at sunset and reaching… -
October's 'Hunter's Moon' stalks into the autumn sky tonight: Here's what you need to knowOctober's full moon takes to the autumn sky tonight. Here's when and where to look, and how it earned its nickname of the "Hunter's Moon." The October full moon rises tonight! Here's everything you need to know about the "Hunter's Moon,"… -
Puzzling Saturn Moon Iapetus Shows Two-Tone Face in NASA PhotoIapetus, a Saturn moon with jumbled colors, shows its strange surface shapes in a new view from the Cassini mission, which is currently exploring the gas giant. The picture shows Cassini Regio, a dark, dusty region on the moon that is… -
NASA says Artemis program adjustments improve shot at 2028 moon landingUpdated on: October 23, 2026 / 8:05 PM EDT / CBS News NASA is pressing ahead with Artemis moon program revisions to give the agency its best shot at a lunar landing in 2028 using a lander built by either Elon Musk's SpaceX or Jeff Bezos'… -
On this day in space! Oct. 25, 1671: Astronomer Giovanni Cassini discovers Iapetus, Saturn's 'yin-yang' moonHanneke Weitering is a multimedia journalist in the Pacific Northwest reporting on the future of aviation at FutureFlight.aero and Aviation International News and was previously the Editor for Spaceflight and Astronomy news here at… -
The goal is to have 'long-duration stays' on the moon: NASA administratorNASA Administrator Jared Isaacman discusses NASA's latest announcements on plans to send astronauts to the moon in 2028 on 'The Will Cain Show.' ... The goal is to have 'long-duration stays' on the moon: NASA administrator NASA… -
NASA updates lander plans for Moon landings, finally solves long-festering Orion issue“We have the mandate, we have the resources, and the support from our stakeholders.” During a lengthy news conference NASA on Friday provided a detailed overview of how it plans to return astronauts to the lunar surface, as soon as 2028… -
WATCH LIVE: NASA details major push to return American astronauts to MoonNASA officials hold a news conference to provide an update on the agency's Artemis program and plans to return American astronauts to the surface of the Moon by 2028. WATCH LIVE: NASA details major push to return American astronauts to… -
Moon magic: Van Cleef & Arpels channels the cosmos for its new watchIt takes a certain kind of mystique to make the passage of time an otherworldly experience. Cue Van Cleef & Arpels, and its affinity for the cosmos, to dial said experience up with its latest celestial-themed offering, the Midnight Jour… -
October's full Hunter's Moon to light up night sky this weekendOctober's full Moon, nicknamed the Hunter's Moon, is set to light up the night sky this weekend. It will be visible in the UK from Sunday 25 October into the morning of Monday 26 October. Marking the 11th full Moon of 13 in 2026, it is the…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions