How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
142.4median
100220
Median 142.4Middle half 140 – 144.8
Install
How many launches will SpaceX have in October? (Oct 2026)
The odds
10.4median
517
Median 10.4Middle half 10.1 – 10.7
How the odds have moved
Median: 10.5 on Oct 20, 10.4 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 6 | 100% | 99¢ | 6.1K | |||
| Above 7 | 100% | 99¢ | 8.1K | |||
| Above 8 | 100% | ▲ 1 | 99¢ | 25.7K | ||
| Above 9 | 98% | ▲ 1 | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 32.6K |
| Above 10 | 86% | ▲ 4 | 84¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 121.1K |
| Above 11 | 2% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 108.1K |
| Above 12 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 58.8K | ||
| Above 13 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 26.7K | ||
| Above 14 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 14.1K | ||
| Above 15 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 2.4K | ||
| Above 16 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 4.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: SpaceX
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SpaceX launches Starlink satellites from California as Falcon 9 cadence slows (photos)Soon, it'll be all Starship, all the time. SpaceX launched its newest batch of Starlink broadband internet satellites today (Oct. 23) from the California coast. The spacecraft, Starlink Group 15-15, were stacked 27 high inside the payload… -
Options Action: SpaceX volatility simmers downCNBCâs Oliver Renick joins âClosing Bellâ to discuss the latest Options Action. Options Action: SpaceX volatility simmers down -
Calls of the Day: SpaceX and ServiceNowThe Investment Committee debates the latest Calls of the Day. Got a confidential news tip? We want to hear from you. Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inbox Get this ... Calls of the Day: SpaceX and ServiceNow -
Top Ukrainian diplomat says SpaceX satellite access is still restrictedUkrainian officials say their access to the SpaceX satellite service remains restricted, despite President Trump's claim that Elon Musk has fully restored access. Denys Sienik, Chargé d'Affaires at the Embassy of Ukraine in the U.S., joins… -
SpaceX Filing Gives Elon Musk the Final Word on Tesla Merger He Says He’s Staying Out OfElon Musk recused himself from the SpaceX-Tesla merger talks. His company’s SEC filing suggests that doesn’t mean much. SpaceX’s October 22 10-Q disclosed that any potential combination with Tesla “would be subject to further approval by… -
SpaceX’s mobile carrier push reportedly involves tapping into 80,000 cell sitesSpaceX is planning to secure access to at least 80,000 cell sites in the US as part of efforts to become a “major” mobile carrier in the US. The Elon Musk-owned company is in talks with one of the largest cell tower owners in the US… -
Musk's SpaceX is still restricting Starlink in Ukraine and the toll is risingSpaceX's Starlink internet system continues to be throttled in Ukraine as the stakes rise for the war-torn country, Ukrainian officials and a national security expert said Friday. "Every day matters for Ukraine, because every Ukrainian… -
SpaceX eyes 80,000 cell sitesSharing shapes 6G: 6G spectrum sharing is gaining importance as large exclusive bands become harder to find, while new sharing mechanisms and radio capabilities could significantly increase device testing complexity. Mission-first ISAC: US… -
SpaceX's "Super Intelligence" Segment Just Made the Stock a Must-OwnThis week, Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX +1.89%) delivered one of the most impressive quarterly reports I've seen in a while. In particular, the company's "super intelligence" (SI) segment -- what it previously called its AI… - What SpaceX Just Revealed About Starship Is Incredible!This video, hosted by Marcus House, covers a packed week of space news with a primary focus on SpaceX's Starship program and other aerospace developments. Starship and SpaceX Updates: Flight 14 Recap: The video highlights Flight 14, noting…
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SpaceX $SPCX Stock: Brookstone Capital Management Increases HoldingsShares of SPCX stock opened at $147.49 on Friday. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29, a current ratio of 5.12 and a quick ratio of 4.99. SpaceX has a 12-month low of $104.83 and a 12-month high of $225.64. The business has a 50… -
Americans aren't sold on Musk's proposal to gift SpaceX shares to kids: 'Believe it when I see it'SpaceX CEO Elon Musk announced plans to give every U.S. child one of his SpaceX shares next year, possibly through Trump Accounts, drawing skepticism from Americans that Fox News Digital spoke with. (Credit: Nicholas Ballasy for Fox News…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.