Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
Jun 20, 2027even chance by
- December 31, 202613%
- January 31, 202725%▲ 1
- February 28, 202728%
2 more
- June 30, 202752%▼ 5
- December 31, 202761%▼ 3
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Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
The odds
$933.76Bmedian
$600B$1.3T
Median $933.76BMiddle half $861.99B – $981.72B
How the odds have moved
Median: $918B on Oct 20, $933.76B now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$700B | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $100.00 | $1.9K | |
| $700-$800B | 12% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 20¢ | $5.08 | $2.8K |
| $800-$900B | 19% | ▼ 1 | 19¢ | 21¢ | $4.81 | $9K |
| $900B-$1.00T | 52% | ▼ 1 | 45¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | $13.4K |
| $1.00-$1.10T | 12% | 10¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | $9.6K | |
| $1.10-$1.20T | 3% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 5¢ | $20.83 | $4.3K |
| $1.20T+ | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $1.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Elon Musk, Musk, Elon Musk Net Worth
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Elon Musk REVEALS why Starlink was disrupted in UkraineSpaceX CEO Elon Musk explained in an X post why Starlink access was disrupted in Ukraine, saying that the country's military violated the terms of service. Elon Musk REVEALS why Starlink was disrupted in Ukraine -
Elon Musk details why Ukraine’s Starlink service was disruptedFox News chief foreign correspondent Trey Yingst reports on the latest Russia attacks on Ukraine and breaks down concerns about Starlink access. The ‘Fox News Sunday’ panel provides analysis. Elon Musk details why Ukraine’s Starlink… -
Elon Musk’s Grok Finally Delivers First Installment of ‘Historically Accurate’ ‘The Odyssey’Three months after Elon Musk promised to make a “historically accurate” version of The Odyssey using AI, Grok shared the first installment of its response to Christopher Nolan’s cinematic epic. When Nolan’s take on Homer’s epic poem… -
US military gives Elon Musk’s SpaceX access to sensitive tracking dataThis gives the company an advantage in tracking objects in orbit, raising national security concerns and fears of greater control over the space industry The US military has given Elon Musk’s SpaceX access to restricted space tracking… -
Ukraine disputes Elon Musk’s claim that its military violated Starlink terms during drone operationsSerhii Beskrestnov, a defense technology advisor to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, wrote an online post on Sunday contesting Musk's reason for temporarily throttling Ukraine's access to high-speed service from SpaceX's Starlink… -
Elon Musk says SpaceX closed Ukraine Starlink ‘loophole’ after limits hit drone operationsElon Musk has said his company imposed limits on the use of its Starlink satellite system in Ukraine last week, after curbs led to disruption to Ukrainian military operations. Ukraine said Saturday that both Starlink, run by Musk’s SpaceX… -
Elon Musk Says Ukraine Violated Starlink TermsOct 24, 2026 at 05:30 PM EDT Amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, Elon Musk said Kyiv violated the terms of SpaceX’s commercial Starlink service by using it for offensive drone strikes, as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said… - Elon Musk’s Grok Releases First AI-Generated ‘Odyssey’ Episode, Months After Promising ‘Historically Accurate’ Full-Length FilmMonths after Elon Musk promised that his AI tool Grok Imagine would create an entirely AI-generated, feature-length version of “The Odyssey,” the tech mogul has partially followed through on the claim. On Friday, the company shared the…
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Dining across the divide: ‘I’m willing to cut Elon Musk some slack for his playful vibes’A manager in the UK on a skilled worker visa and a refugee rights worker disagreed over the tech billionaire, but would they concur on immigration? Voting record Originally from India, Eshwar came to the UK in 2022 on a skilled worker… -
Ukraine's Starlink restored as Elon Musk claims Kyiv violated terms of service 'to kill people'Fox News chief national security correspondent Jennifer Griffin reports on the fallout over Starlink satellite system restrictions in Ukraine on ‘Special Report.’ He explained that Starshield is a different system controlled by the U.S… -
Talarico Leans Into Growing Rivalry with Elon Musk“A rivalry between the world’s richest person and one of the most prominent Democratic candidates is intensifying during the final stage of this year’s midterm elections,” the New York Times reports. “On the campaign trail in Texas, James… -
Did Elon Musk Just Admit to Slowing Starlink in Ukraine?SpaceX CEO Elon Musk had some thoughts about the Ukraine war that he posted on X this weekend. Oops, something went wrong Did Elon Musk Just Admit to Slowing Starlink in Ukraine? Market Chatter: Musk Ordered Starlink Slowdown for Ukraine…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions