How many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?

Kalshi Tech › Space Closes Jan 8, 2027 · $5.4K traded · $3K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

10.4median
514
Median 10.4Middle half 10.0 – 10.8

How the odds have moved

Median: 11.1 on Oct 20, 10.4 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ Above 1 99% $1.01 139
✓ Above 2 —
✓ Above 3 98% $1.02 713
✓ Above 4 98% $1.02 505
✓ Above 5 98% $1.02 982
Above 6 98% 96¢ $1.02 719
Above 7 96% 92¢ 99¢ $1.01 890
Above 8 91% 90¢ 92¢ $1.09 615
Above 9 75% 73¢ 74¢ $1.35 431
Above 10 75% 62¢ 90¢ $1.11 471
Above 11 16% 11¢ 75¢ $1.33 1.1K
Above 12 16% 13¢ 21¢ $4.76 710
Above 13 9% ▲ 1 5¢ 12¢ $8.33 213

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Rocket Lab

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  • Rocket Lab launches 3 'Hawk' satellites to orbit to gather signals intelligenceSpace · 2 days agoIt was Rocket Lab's 19th mission of the year. Rocket Lab launched a trio of private signals-intelligence satellites to orbit today (Oct. 23). The mission lifted off aboard an Electron rocket from Rocket Lab’s New Zealand launch site today…
  • Rocket Lab Launches Hawk Satellitesraksha-anirveda.com · 32 h agoRocket Lab launched three Hawk satellites for HawkEye 360 on October 23, deploying a new cluster designed to map radio-frequency signals for defence and maritime awareness from low Earth orbit The Electron rocket lifted off at 3:11 a.m…
  • Rocket Lab Just Postponed Its Neutron Launch. Again.The Motley Fool · 20 h agoIn case you hadn't heard, Rocket Lab (RKLB +2.69%) had some horrible news to tell investors last week (except it's not really so horrible). Once again, the company has decided to postpone the inaugural launch of its new Neutron reusable…
  • Reviewing Rocket Lab (NASDAQ:RKLB) and General Dynamics (NYSE:GD)Defense World · 15 h agoPosted by Defense World Staff on Oct 25th, 2026 Rocket Lab (NASDAQ:RKLB – Get Free Report) and General Dynamics (NYSE:GD – Get Free Report) are both large-cap industrials companies, but which is the superior business? We will contrast the…
  • Could Redwire Be the Next Rocket Lab?The Motley Fool · 29 h agoRocket Lab (RKLB +2.69%) just pushed the first launch of its Neutron rocket to 2027, and the stock has dropped more than 20%. But the company has grown beyond rocket launches to become a broader space technology company. Could Redwire (RDW…
  • Should You Ignore the SpaceX Hype and Buy Rocket Lab Instead?The Motley Fool · 21 h agoSpace stocks blasted off earlier this year, fueled by Space Exploration Technologies' (SPCX +1.89%) blockbuster June initial public offering. The excitement lifted companies across the space economy, sending many stocks soaring ahead of…
  • Rocket Lab Is Buying Iridium, and Guess What? Iridium Just Beat Earnings!The Motley Fool · 34 h agoIridium Communications (IRDM +1.39%) announced its Q3 2026 earnings Tuesday morning, Oct. 20. Shares of the satellite communications company are basically flat since -- they cost $44.18 Monday evening before earnings, and they cost $44.25…
  • Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Deploys Three HawkEye 360 Satellites In Latest Electron Missionforeignpolicyjournal.com · 31 h agoBy Ewan Scott | Oct 24, 2026 | Economy & Business, Featured, News & Analysis Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) successfully launched three satellites into orbit on October 23, 2026, as part of a dedicated Electron mission for HawkEye 360. The…
  • Rocket Lab vs SpaceX: $30B vs $2.2T Cap [2026]Shattered · 20 h agoA Mitrade article dated October 25, 2026 asks a blunt question: should investors skip the SpaceX excitement and buy Rocket Lab instead? The piece reports a market capitalization of $2.2 trillion for SpaceX and $30 billion for Rocket Lab…
  • Rocket Lab launches 98th Electron missionSeeking Alpha · 3 days agoRocket Lab launched three HawkEye 360 satellites on Electron, boosting RF intelligence and maritime tracking. karelnoppe/iStock via Getty Images Rocket Lab (RKLB) launched its Electron rocket from Launch Complex 1 in New Zealand, carrying…
  • Rocket Lab (NASDAQ:RKLB) Stock Price Up 5.5% – Should You Buy?Markets Daily · 2 days agoPosted by Danessa Lincoln on Oct 23rd, 2026 Rocket Lab Corporation (NASDAQ:RKLB – Get Free Report) shot up 5.5% during mid-day trading on Wednesday. The stock traded as high as $53.90 and last traded at $53.6890. 17,430,986 shares traded…
  • MISSION SUCCESS: Rocket Lab Launches 98th Electron MissionSeeking Alpha · 3 days ago--Rocket Lab Corporation, a global leader in launch services and space systems, today launched its Electron rocket to deliver a dedicated mission to space for HawkEye 360, a signals intelligence data and analytics company. The‘ We're Not…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions