How many launches will SpaceX have in October? (Oct 2026)
10.5median
517
Median 10.5Middle half 10.2 – 10.8
Install
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
The odds
143.1median
100220
Median 143.1Middle half 140.6 – 146.7
How the odds have moved
Median: 143.1 on Oct 20, 143.1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 120 | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 41.9K | |
| Above 140 | 81% | ▲ 1 | 79¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 92.0K |
| Above 145 | 32% | ▲ 2 | 30¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 25.6K |
| Above 150 | 11% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 49.2K |
| Above 160 | 6% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 183.6K |
| Above 170 | 4% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 89.7K |
| Above 180 | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 133.8K | |
| Above 190 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 45.4K |
| Above 200 | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 32.9K | |
| Above 210 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 52.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: SpaceX
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.