Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
May 29, 2027even chance by
- December 31, 202611%▼ 6
- January 31, 202722%▼ 1
- February 28, 202730%▼ 1
2 more
- June 30, 202757%▼ 1
- December 31, 202763%▼ 3
Install
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
The odds
27%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 28% on Oct 20, 27% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 27% | 25¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 28.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Mars
Search ›-
The ‘Exotic Physics’ Behind a Mysterious 1,000-Mile Cloud on MarsEvery morning during the Martian spring and summer, a thin and extremely long cloud emerges, only to disappear again. The wispy formation appears near the volcano Arsia Mons and gradually elongates until it reaches over 1,000 miles—about… -
Is there time on Mars?Catch up on your favourite BBC radio show from your favourite DJ right here, whenever you like. Listen without limits with BBC Sounds. Use BBC.com or the new BBC App to listen to BBC podcasts, Radio 4 and the World Service outside the UK… -
Mars Hill vs Rogers HighRogers High vs Mars Hill - Girls Middle School Basketball 10/26/2026 | Watch Live & On Demand NFHS Network Mars Hill vs Rogers High Unlock this matchup, plus every game from your favorite teams all season. Don't Miss a Moment of This… -
Perseverance Rover Sets New Mars Exploration Record, Surpassing OpportunityAt SSBCrack News, our dedicated editorial team brings you the latest and most reliable updates on Defence, Geopolitics, Military Affairs, Science, and Technology. Driven by a passion for national security and strategic awareness, the… -
Sour Patch Kids Were Originally Called Mars MenIt’s Sourest Day, which means it’s time for a sensation overload that will make your mouth explode this October 25. We’re not just talking sucking on a lemon or boatloads of over-sugared gummies. Today is a day for all things sour — from… -
2026, November 2: Jupiter, Mars, and Moon Gather Near RegulusNovember 2, 2026: Watch Jupiter, Mars, Moon, gather near Regulus before sunrise. This grouping is part of a rare series of gatherings of the three solar system bodies with Regulus. Chicago, Illinois: Sunrise, 6:24 a.m. CDT; Sunset, 4:44… -
Even small Mars dust storms dry out the Red Planet, scientists findAs dust spreads through the Martian atmosphere, it pushes water vapor high into the reddish sky, where ultraviolet rays break its molecules apart. Thanks to data from three different Mars orbiters, scientists have determined that small… -
Astronauts’ hearts may be ready for the long journey to MarsA study of 13 astronauts suggests that daily exercise may help protect heart function during long space missions, allowing crews to work on Mars after months in space. After months on the International Space Station, astronauts have often… -
2026, November 1: Daylight Saving Time Ends: Moon, Jupiter, Mars, and the PlanetsNovember 1, 2026: Daylight Saving Time ends as the Last Quarter moon approaches Jupiter and Mars. Find Venus, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune in the November sky. Chicago, Illinois: Sunrise, 6:23 a.m. CDT; Sunset, 4:45 p.m. CST. Times are… -
NASA spacecraft speeds toward metal-rich asteroid after Mars flybyNASA’s Psyche spacecraft has begun an extended period of electric propulsion as it travels toward a metal-rich asteroid in the main asteroid belt. The maneuver follows a successful Mars flyby that helped place the spacecraft on its planned… -
Mars has a mysterious cloud that stretches 1,100 miles across the skyA giant cloud on Mars may form ice directly from water vapor without dust, revealing an atmospheric process never confirmed on another planet. Clouds on Earth need something to grow on, and water vapor settles onto specks of dust, salt, or… -
Japan launches spacecraft on mission to explore mysterious moons of MarsA Japanese spacecraft rocketed toward Mars on Tuesday on a quest to explore its mysterious moons and bring back samples. Five of the world’s space agencies joined forces for the five-year mission that will attempt to land a robotic…
Related markets
All space ›How many launches will SpaceX have in October? (Oct 2026)
10.4median
517
Median 10.4Middle half 10.1 – 10.7
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
75%November 30, 2026
- November 30, 202675%▲ 8
- Chopsticks catch Starship?68%▼ 1
- Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?66%▼ 2
4 more
- Super Heavy booster explodes?50%▲ 11
- Successful splash down?25%
- November 15, 202619%▲ 8
- October 31, 20261%▼ 1
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? (Before 2027)
23%Before Jan 20, 2029
- Before Jan 20, 202923%
- Before Jan 1, 202814%▼ 1
- Before Jan 1, 20275%
2 more
- Before Dec 1, 20263%
- Before Nov 1, 20261%
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
$928.09Bmedian
$600B$1.3T
Median $928.09BMiddle half $860.13B – $977.82B
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by ___?
36%December 31, 2027
- June 30, 202715%▼ 4
- December 31, 202736%▼ 2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions