Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
May 27, 2027even chance by
- December 31, 202619%▼ 2
- January 31, 202731%▲ 3
- February 28, 202736%
2 more
- June 30, 202756%▲ 1
- December 31, 202767%▼ 6
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Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
The odds
55%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 54% on Oct 20, 55% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55% | 54¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 146.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Earth, Large
Search ›-
Lions 2026 Playoff Standings Update: Divisional Showdowns Loom LargeThe Detroit Lions are exiting their bye week and entering into what could be a season-defining set of games. Through the first six weeks of the NFL season, the NFC North is looking like one of the toughest divisions in football yet again… -
Utilities flag large load influxDelivered every Monday by 10 a.m., New York & New Jersey Energy is your guide to the week’s top energy news and policy in Albany and Trenton. You will now start receiving email updates By MARIE J. FRENCH and MONA ZHANG 10/19/2026 10:00 AM… -
Did a giant object collide with Earth to form the moon?The popularity of the giant-impact hypothesis can be attributed to the multiple lines of evidence supporting the impact scenario. For as long as humans have watched the night sky, we have wondered about the moon, pondering everything from… -
My son has disappeared off the face of the earth fighting for RussiaValerie Stobbart, from Newcastle, says her son Nathan was given no choice but to join the Russian army to avoid deportation from the country British man Nathan Stobbart has been declared missing in action while fighting for Russia in… -
Wayfair announces opening dates for large store in DenverOctober 19, 2026 / 3:52 PM MDT / CBS Colorado The popular furniture retailer Wayfair is preparing to open a new store in Denver and says the grand opening is scheduled for next month. This will be the company's fourth large-format store… -
Japan launches ambitious robotic mission to land on Martian moon Phobos, return samples to EarthOctober 19, 2026 / 5:42 PM EDT / CBS News Japan launched an ambitious $350 million mission to Mars on Monday to study the red planet's two moons in unprecedented detail, dropping a small rover on the largest — Phobos — before the… -
Wayfair announces grand opening dates for large store in DenverCBS News Wayfair announces grand opening dates for large store in Denver Colorado woman wins community leader award for work with immigrants at Gunnison Valley Hospital Sportscaster Mark Schlereth shares what he hopes to see from the… -
'It smells like charred earth': BBC at Indonesia fire epicentre causing Singapore and Malaysia haze crisisBBC Reports from Kalimantan Fires in Indonesia The BBC is on the ground in Indonesia's Central Kalimantan where burning peatlands continue to blanket large parts of South East Asia in toxic smog A pungent charred earth smell wafts through… -
CMU’s Matt Drinkall goes scorched earth on college football’s leaders: ‘Prostitute the sport for financial gain’College football's power brokers appear intent on expanding the College Football Playoff to 24 teams as early as next season. This move, the latest in a long series of changes, expansions, and breaks with tradition, has naturally drawn… -
Eric Adams looms large over criminal bribery trial of former city officialDefense attorneys for Eric Ulrich sought to portray Adams’ former buildings commissioner as an honest public servant with money problems. Former New York City's Buildings Commissioner Eric Ulrich is escorted into Supreme Court on… -
Large investigation underway after crash involving motorcycle in Miami LakesCBS News Baltimore 7am CBS News Bay Area Evening Edition 11pm CBS News Boston 7am CBS News Chicago 6am CBS News Colorado This Morning 5am CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 11pm CBS News Miami 7am CBS News New York 7am KDKA Morning News 7am CBS… -
The rioting across France is a symptom of a much larger public and political crisis“We have a mess on our hands, to put it bluntly,” French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu said Monday. If anything, he might be guilty of understatement. After widespread rioting at the weekend – estimated to have cost several hundred…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.