Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by October 31?
$1.47Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $1.47T.
- Reaches $1.4T>99%
- Reaches $1.43T>99%
- Falls to $1.3T4%
- Falls to $1.2T4%
Install
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
The odds
$2.26Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.26T.
- Reaches $1.5T96%
- Reaches $1.75T84%
- Reaches $2T71%
- Reaches $2.5T32%
- Reaches $3T18%
- Reaches $4T5%
- Reaches $5T4%
- Falls to $800B4%
- Falls to $700B4%
- Falls to $600B3%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
How the odds have moved
Reaches $1.75T: 69% on Oct 20, 84% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ ↑$1.0T | >99% | ▲ 2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $112K | |
| ✓ ↑$1.1T | >99% | ▲ 4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $125K | |
| ✓ ↑$1.25T | >99% | ▲ 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $265K | |
| ↑$1.5T | 96% | ▲ 10 | 96¢ | 97¢ | $1.04 | $326K |
| ↑$1.75T | 84% | ▲ 6 | 83¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | $744K |
| ↑$2.0T | 71% | ▲ 11 | 70¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | $878K |
| ↑$2.5T | 32% | ▲ 4 | 31¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | $512K |
| ↑$3.0T | 18% | 17¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | $1.6M | |
| ↑$4.0T | 5% | 5¢ | 5¢ | $18.87 | $918K | |
| ↑$5.0T | 4% | 4¢ | 4¢ | $22.73 | $448K | |
| ↓$600B | 3% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $29.41 | $52.4K |
| ↓$700B | 4% | 4¢ | 4¢ | $26.32 | $78.6K | |
| ↓$800B | 4% | ▼ 4 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $26.32 | $166K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Anthropic, Claude
Search ›-
Anthropic’s Claude AI model accessed Georgia voter data in USAnthropic sued for allegedly using 274 Elvis songs to train AI models Anthropic’s Claude model accessed voter data in the US state of Georgia, the AI company has confirmed, in the latest example of unauthorised behaviour by the technology… -
Claude AI accessed publicly available Georgia voter data, Anthropic confirmsAnthropic's Claude AI model accessed publicly available voter data through Georgia's data hub, state officials and the company confirmed to FOX Business on Sunday. The Georgia Secretary of State's office stressed that the bot did not… -
Anthropic says its AI model Claude accessed public voter data with promptingCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Anthropic says its AI… -
Court rejects DOJ bid to block some California votes; Anthropic admits Claude accessed voter dataAnthropic admitted that its Claude chatbot accessed voter statistics in Georgia without being instructed to do so. Also on Monday, an appeals court ruled against the Trump administration's bid to block certain votes in California. CBS News… -
Anthropic’s Claude AI Hacks into Georgia Voter DataAxios reports that Anthropic says Claude reached publicly available data that’s normally accessible only after a fee is paid, pulling aggregate vote counts for an internal Anthropic statistics project. The AI found a loophole in an old… -
Anthropic’s Claude AI Model Accessed US Voter Data“Claude did not access the state’s voter registration system, change any voting records, or pull any individual voter records,” Anthropic states. The AI instead accessed aggregate vote counts through a loophole in an older version of the… -
Anthropic Relies On Claude To Build Claude. That’s An Advantage And A Risk.More than 90 percent of Anthropic’s code was written by its own AI tool Claude in September, the company disclosed in its S-1 filing on Monday. The AI giant is increasingly using its own AI models to research, design and develop subsequent… -
Anthropic debuts Claude Duet personal AI agent. Here's what to know.October 23, 2026 / 10:52 AM EDT / CBS News Anthropic has joined the race to develop AI agents that work autonomously on behalf of humans with Claude Duet, a new app it previewed this week. The agent competes with Meta's Muse and OpenAI's… -
Anthropic bans scientists after detecting covert bioweapon research on ClaudeThey attempted to create a new version of a dangerous virus Anthropic has just revealed a number of case studies where they detected concerning uses of Claude, and one involved a group of international scientists that were seemingly using… -
Claude Duet is here: Anthropic's 24/7 AI agent, testedAnthropic just launched Claude Duet, a 24/7 personal agent that works on its own computer in the cloud and comes to you with what needs your attention. Host Ejaaz Ahamadeen tests it for 48 hours, compares it to Meta Muse, OpenAI Dots and… -
Tech stocks rise as Anthropic advances towards IPOAI developer Anthropic has publicly filed a registration statement in its latest step towards a stock market offering, which experts believe could be at least part of why tech stocks are surging as US markets open this week. Watch adaptive… -
The Anthropic IPO Is Also a Doomsday Primer“Sufficiently advanced AI systems could, if not developed, deployed, and operated with appropriate safeguards, oversight and security measures, pose catastrophic or existential risks to humanity,” the prospectus reads, citing concerns both…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions