The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Google
75%
▼ 2
71¢
80¢
$1.26
$17.2K
Anthropic
14%
▼ 8
2¢
27¢
$3.70
$35K
OpenAI
2%
1¢
3¢
$34.48
$10.6K
Moonshot
<1%
0¢
1¢
$3.1K
Meta
<1%
0¢
0¢
$4.2K
Alibaba
<1%
0¢
$2.5K
Xiaomi
<1%
0¢
$2K
ByteDance
<1%
0¢
$1.4K
Mistral
<1%
0¢
$1.6K
SpaceXAI
<1%
0¢
$1.3K
Baidu
<1%
0¢
$694
Z.ai
<1%
0¢
$1.1K
Nvidia
<1%
0¢
$833
DeepSeek
<1%
0¢
$765
MiniMax
<1%
0¢
$653
Meituan
<1%
0¢
$799
Amazon
<1%
0¢
$783
Tencent
<1%
0¢
$1.1K
StepFun
<1%
0¢
$662
Microsoft
<1%
0¢
$593
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AI model, artificial intelligence, Text Arena Math AI
OpenAI Launches GPT-6.1 Terra, Its Half-Good AI Model at Half the PriceDecrypt · 14 h agoOpenAI released GPT-6.1 Terra on Monday, an upgrade to the middle model in its lineup that it says costs developers 50% less than GPT-5.6 Terra and handles computer tasks faster and more accurately. Terra is the everyday model, built for…
Anthropic says its AI model Claude accessed public voter data with promptingCBS News · 18 h agoCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Anthropic says its AI…
Anthropic’s Claude AI model accessed Georgia voter data in USthe Guardian · 28 h agoAnthropic sued for allegedly using 274 Elvis songs to train AI models Anthropic’s Claude model accessed voter data in the US state of Georgia, the AI company has confirmed, in the latest example of unauthorised behaviour by the technology…
Best Artificial Intelligence Stocks To Follow Today – October 25thDefense World · 10 h agoSentinelOne, Tempus AI, and Hut 8 are the three Artificial Intelligence stocks to watch today, according to MarketBeat’s stock screener tool. Artificial intelligence stocks are shares of publicly traded companies that develop, provide, or…
What does it take to train an AI model?CHCH · 13 h agoKeanin Loomis has been elected mayor of Hamilton Lori Lococo elected mayor of Niagara Falls Mat Siscoe re-elected mayor of St. Catharines Marianne Meed Ward re-elected as mayor of Burlington How Star Wars changed Hollywood forever What…
Cadence Design Systems Introduces Maestro AI Model PortfolioMarketScreener · 20 h agoCadence Design Systems said Monday it introduced Maestro, a domain-specialized artificial intelligence model portfolio for agentic chip and system design. The portfolio spans multiple model sizes... Cadence Design Systems, Inc. Cadence…
OpenAI Unveils Half-Price AI Model to Target Enterprise AutomationPYMNTS.com · 17 h agoOpenAI is rolling out GPT-6.1 Terra, a new artificial intelligence (AI) model that costs half as much as two of its other models and is practical for automating high-volume work such as reading invoices and entering their information into…
Bradshaw: The scoreboard does not need artificial intelligenceChicago Tribune · 22 h agoThe high school football team loses 42–7, but the coach tells the newspaper his players showed a 100% improvement on offense as they were shut out last week. Parents are encouraged until somebody points out that going from zero to seven…
Detected: How artificial intelligence is changing breast cancer detection@wcjb20 · 22 h agoGARDEN CITY, Kan. (InvestigateTV) — As a young mom, Ashley Hurd’s breast cancer diagnosis left a trail of uncertainty. “I didn’t know what my future would look like, and I was worried about my family and my kid’s future,” Hurd said. As a…
Virginia orders plans to address artificial intelligence cyber threatsThe Center Square · 25 h ago(The Center Square) – Virginia will develop plans to prevent and respond to artificial intelligence-related cyberattacks and deploy an independent team to review security weaknesses across connected state data systems. First-year…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
