The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Meta
43%
▼ 1
43¢
45¢
$2.22
$9.2K
Anthropic
18%
18¢
20¢
$5.03
$4.2K
OpenAI
15%
15¢
17¢
$5.88
$6.5K
DeepSeek
14%
▲ 16
0¢
36¢
$2.80
$804
Google
11%
▲ 1
10¢
19¢
$5.41
$7.8K
Moonshot
2%
2¢
4¢
$23.26
$985
SpaceXAI
2%
1¢
4¢
$25.64
$813
Meituan
2%
1¢
4¢
$25.64
$1.3K
Alibaba
2%
1¢
3¢
$33.33
$1.6K
Z.ai
2%
1¢
3¢
$31.25
$747
Xiaomi
1%
0¢
3¢
$33.33
$956
Tencent
1%
0¢
3¢
$37.04
$1.5K
Mistral
<1%
0¢
1¢
$804
Amazon
<1%
1¢
$100.00
$733
Baidu
<1%
0¢
0¢
$591
ByteDance
<1%
0¢
0¢
$591
MiniMax
<1%
0¢
0¢
$534
Thinky
<1%
0¢
0¢
$800
StepFun
<1%
0¢
0¢
$537
Microsoft
<1%
0¢
$392
Nvidia
<1%
0¢
$425
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Anthropic files SEC prospectus, bringing AI lab a step closer to historic offeringCNBC · 20 h agoAnthropic is officially headed for the public market. Got a confidential news tip? We want to hear from you. Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inbox Get this delivered ... Anthropic files SEC prospectus…
Synopsys reportedly eyes Chinese AI labs to speed up chip designCrypto Briefing · 31 h agoA post on X says the chip-design software maker plans to work with Chinese AI labs, but the company has confirmed no such deals Synopsys, the electronic design automation company, reportedly plans to collaborate with Chinese AI labs to…
University of Texas athletics to use AI lab to help decision-making — with a catchNew York Post · 3 days agoThe Texas Longhorns are dipping their toe into the world of AI. Bevo Lab is a new sports intelligence platform and laboratory designed to help elevate athletic performance and expand learning opportunities for students, per UT Athletics…
Chip sector perks up after Anthropic becomes first AI lab to officially file for IPOSeeking Alpha · 37 h agoMost chip stocks were solidly in the green by afternoon trading on Monday after Anthropic ( ANT) became the first frontier AI lab to officially file for an initial public offering. Most chip stocks were solidly in the green by afternoon…
Osceola's New Tech Library Opens Near NeoCity With AI Labs, Telehealth PodsHoodline · 25 h agoOsceola County opened a first-of-its-kind Tech Library on Friday, a facility built around coding labs, robotics, esports and even private rooms where residents can log into telehealth appointments ... Explore Our Cities & Metro Areas (A-Z)…
Goldman Sachs puts $500M into small-business AI with four AI labsTNW | Artificial-intelligence · 21 h agoGoldman Sachs chief executive David Solomon said there is very little that needs frontier models. Most AI-using owners in Goldman’s survey spend under $100 a month on it. The Goldman Sachs Tower in Jersey City, New Jersey, in 2006 Goldman…
One-man AI lab: IIM alumnus builds 5 open AI models in just 13 daysIndia Today · 2 days agoThere are individuals who enter technology by front door, with capital behind them and a company already waiting. Jitesh Prasad appears to have taken another road. He studied physics at the University of North Bengal and later went to IIM…
As AI Labs Burn Cash, the Real Question Is Which Suppliers Get PaidThe Motley Fool · 2 days agoMicrosoft confirmed this week that it was pulling out of a planned artificial intelligence (AI) data center project in the United Kingdom. The facility, being developed by Nscale, was supposed to provide computing power for Microsoft's…
Hardware for local AI LabsTechBullion · 4 days agoAI is insatiably thirsty for air, cooling, and power. Labs crave maximum computing power like a marathoner craves water. The heart of every AI lab is its hardware. Without the right machines humming away in the background, all the genius…
Intel and FIT launch AI for Future training programme and dedicated AI LabTechCentral.ie · 4 days agoIntel and Fastrack into Information Technology (FIT) have launched the AI for Future Workforce Programme in Ireland, including the development of a dedicated AI Lab where learners can undertake practical artificial intelligence training…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
