GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
Nov 20, 2026even chance by
- October 3118%▼ 2
- November 1544%▲ 8
- November 3065%▲ 14
2 more
- December 1580%▲ 5
- December 3180%▼ 5
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Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?
The odds
Nov 30, 2026even chance by
- October 3116%▼ 1
- December 3188%▲ 5
How the odds have moved
October 31: 25% on Oct 20, 16% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 31 | <1% | 0¢ | $3.7K | |||
| September 15 | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $417 | ||
| September 30 | <1% | 0¢ | $2.8K | |||
| October 7 | <1% | ▲ 4 | 13¢ | $8.00 | $1.3K | |
| October 15 | <1% | ▼ 8 | 0¢ | $1.9K | ||
| October 31 | 16% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | $602 |
| December 31 | 88% | ▲ 5 | 81¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | $1.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Alibaba Qwen Plus
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.27Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.27T.
- Reaches $1.5T96%
- Reaches $1.75T84%
- Falls to $800B4%
- Falls to $700B4%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
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- No release by October 3173%
- October 2717%▲ 4
- October 294%▼ 1
11 more
- October 314%▲ 4
- October 283%▼ 1
- October 302%
- October 201%▼ 12
- October 19<1%▼ 2
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions