Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
PolymarketTech › AICloses Sat 12:00 PM ET · $1.8K today · $87.8K traded · $7.1K at stake · prices read 12 min ago
The odds
87%Google
Google87%▲ 3
Anthropic5%▼ 1
OpenAI3%
Meta3%▼ 1
Moonshot1%
Alibaba<1%
Z.ai<1%
SpaceXAI<1%
Baidu<1%
Xiaomi<1%
DeepSeek<1%
ByteDance<1%
9 more
MiniMax<1%
Thinky<1%
Meituan<1%
Mistral<1%
Amazon<1%
Nvidia<1%
Tencent<1%
StepFun<1%
Microsoft<1%
How the odds have moved
Google: 74% on Oct 20, 87% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Google
87%
▲ 3
86¢
90¢
$1.11
$15.1K
Anthropic
5%
▼ 1
2¢
9¢
$11.63
$40K
OpenAI
3%
0¢
7¢
$14.49
$6K
Meta
3%
▼ 1
1¢
6¢
$18.18
$6.1K
Moonshot
1%
0¢
1¢
$3K
Alibaba
<1%
0¢
0¢
$2.3K
Z.ai
<1%
0¢
0¢
$2.5K
SpaceXAI
<1%
0¢
$1.9K
Baidu
<1%
0¢
$667
Xiaomi
<1%
0¢
$1.7K
DeepSeek
<1%
0¢
$1.7K
ByteDance
<1%
0¢
$699
MiniMax
<1%
0¢
$726
Thinky
<1%
0¢
$692
Meituan
<1%
0¢
$671
Mistral
<1%
0¢
$625
Amazon
<1%
0¢
$537
Nvidia
<1%
0¢
$773
Tencent
<1%
0¢
$683
StepFun
<1%
0¢
$735
Microsoft
<1%
0¢
$681
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Meta Deepens NVIDIA Partnership on Muse AI Models and InfrastructureUnite.AI · 8 h agoNVIDIA and Meta will expand their collaboration on Meta’s Muse family of AI models and broaden planned deployments of NVIDIA computing and networking infrastructure at Meta, the companies said in an NVIDIA Newsroom release dated October…
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Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.26T.
Reaches $1.5T96%
Reaches $1.75T84%
Falls to $800B4%
Falls to $700B4%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
