Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26th (Nov 2, 2026)
74%Xiaomi
- Xiaomi74%▲ 17
- Moonshot7%▼ 14
- Alibaba6%▼ 1
7 more
- Z.ai4%
- MiniMax3%
- DeepSeek2%
- Tencent2%
- Baidu1%
- Meituan1%
- ByteDance<1%
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Top Chinese AI company this month (Oct 31, 2026)
The odds
67%Xiaomi
- Xiaomi67%▲ 5
- Moonshot22%▲ 2
- Alibaba5%▼ 1
- Tencent2%
- Baidu1%
- MiniMax1%
- Z.ai1%
- DeepSeek1%▼ 1
- ByteDance1%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Xiaomi: 66% on Oct 20, 67% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 5 PM ETXiaomi: 60% → 65%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xiaomi | 67% | ▲ 5 | 67¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 4.6K |
| Moonshot | 22% | ▲ 2 | 20¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 8.0K |
| Alibaba | 5% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 3.1K |
| Tencent | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 351 | |
| Baidu | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 390 | |
| MiniMax | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 444 | |
| Z.ai | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 956 | |
| DeepSeek | 1% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | $50.00 | 430 | |
| ByteDance | 1% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | $50.00 | 198 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Chinese AI
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Synopsys reportedly eyes Chinese AI labs to speed up chip designA post on X says the chip-design software maker plans to work with Chinese AI labs, but the company has confirmed no such deals Synopsys, the electronic design automation company, reportedly plans to collaborate with Chinese AI labs to… -
China's AI chipmakers raise prices as high-bandwidth memory shortage bitesChinese AI chipmakers including Huawei Technologies and Cambricon have sharply raised prices for current and next-generation AI processors, three people familiar with the matter said, as soaring costs for high-bandwidth memory squeeze… -
Nvidia (NVDA) Has Lost Its China AI Accelerator MarketNvidia (NasdaqGS:NVDA) has effectively lost its China AI accelerator market after U.S. export controls restricted advanced GPU shipments. Specialist financiers are structuring large facilities backed by Nvidia GPU inventory, treating… - Huawei's Xu says Chinese AI not powerful enough yet to see frontier risksHuawei's Eric Xu Zhijun said Chinese artificial intelligence developers may not yet be advanced enough to experience the safety risks reported by leading US firms, arguing they should continue developing more powerful models while…
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Washington’s DeepSeek ban may deter US firms from adopting Chinese AI models: expertsThe US government’s latest ban on Chinese artificial intelligence start-up DeepSeek could have a chilling effect on the wider American business community and deter companies from adopting low-cost Chinese AI models, industry experts say… -
Chinese AI Company Deliberately Limits Its Capabilities1) Pre-deployment validation: run independent adversarial evaluations tailored to your codebase and threat model to detect residual exploit generation or leakage. 3) Access governance: restrict models with powerful long-context windows to… -
From "potato capital" to China's AI hub.The city of Ulanqab, located in the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region in northern China, has long been known as a potato-growing region. Now, this city on the steppe is becoming a "factory" for generating tokens (units of data processed by… -
U.S.-China AI rivalry forces countries to navigate competing technology blocsWashington has warned that countries participating in initiatives that advance competing AI systems may jeopardize their standing as trusted U.S. partners. Beijing, meanwhile, is promoting ... Antonio Bordunovi/iStock Editorial via Getty… - Moonshot AI Scales Back Cyberattack Capabilities in New Chinese AI ModelThe Beijing-based company announced the safeguards on Saturday while unveiling Kimi K3.1 Pro, which it describes as its most capable model in the three-trillion-parameter class of open-weight artificial intelligence systems. Moonshot plans…
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US Treasury proposes expanding investment curbs on Chinese AI, biotech firmsThe proposal, announced on October 22, seeks to prevent American capital, business expertise and commercial connections from supporting the development of technologies that could strengthen the military, intelligence and surveillance… - Moonshot resets subscriber quotas after Kimi K3.1 Pro launch issuesBEIJING, Oct 26 (Reuters) – Chinese artificial intelligence startup Moonshot AI apologised on Monday for rate limiting and unnecessary quota consumption after its Kimi K3.1 Pro launch. • Moonshot said it also adjusted parameters to…
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America’s Companies Keep Flirting With Security Nightmare That’s ‘100 Times’ Worse Than TikTokA rising San Francisco human resources startup’s use of a blacklisted Chinese AI lab’s model is setting off alarm bells as Beijing continues to reel in American companies. Rippling touts itself as a one-stop-shop AI platform for human…
Related markets
All ai ›Which company has the best AI model end of October?
84%Google
- Google84%▼ 6
- Anthropic8%
- OpenAI1%▲ 1
18 more
- Meta1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
55%No release by October 31
- No release by October 3155%▼ 14
- October 2729%▲ 17
- October 287%▲ 4
11 more
- October 294%
- October 263%
- October 302%▼ 1
- October 201%▼ 12
- October 31<1%▼ 1
- October 19<1%▼ 2
- October 21<1%▼ 5
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 23<1%▼ 4
- October 24<1%
- October 25<1%▼ 1
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
Nov 7, 2026even chance by
- October 21<1%▼ 12
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 24<1%▼ 1
2 more
- October 3144%▲ 14
- December 3197%▲ 4
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.26Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.26T.
- Reaches $1.5T95%
- Reaches $1.75T82%
- Falls to $800B3%
- Falls to $700B3%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1,410median
1,3801,480
Median 1,410Middle half 1,405 – 1,415
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions