Predictions › World Middle East odds Every Middle East market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
% US Dec
271 open markets · $6.7M traded today Trending middle east markets
Mojtaba Khamenei 86% ▼ 1 No Head of State 4% Reza Pahlavi 3% Alireza Arafi 2% 26 more Hassan Khomeini <1% Hassan Rouhani <1% Abbas Araghchi <1% Ahmad Vahidi <1% Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf <1% Masoud Pezeshkian <1% Muhammad Mirbaqiri <1% Sadegh Larijani <1% Mahmoud Ahmadinejad <1% Maryam Rajavi <1% Mohammad Khatami <1% Hassan Shariatmadari <1% Massoud Rajavi <1% Seyed Hossein Mousavian <1% Reza Pirzadeh <1% Navid Shomali <1% Mustafa Hijri <1% Ali Motahari <1% Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel <1% Mostafa Pourmohammadi <1% Sadegh Mahsouli <1% Saeed Jalili <1% Mohsen Araki <1% Nasir Hosseini <1% Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani <1% Ali Asghar Hejazi <1%
June 30, 2027 11% October 31 11% ▼ 1 November 30 11% ▼ 1 December 31 14% ▲ 1
October 31 1% December 31 9%
October 31 2% ▲ 1 November 30 7% ▼ 1 December 31 14% ▼ 1
October 31 1% ▼ 1 December 31 6%
October 22 63% ▲ 2 October 24 63% ▲ 5 October 28 63% ▲ 2 October 31 63% ▲ 4 5 more November 8 63% ▼ 1 November 15 63% ▼ 2 November 22 63% ▼ 1 November 30 63% ▼ 2 December 31 63% ▼ 2
Gadi Eizenkot 49% ▲ 1 Benjamin Netanyahu 30% ▼ 1 Naftali Bennett 16% Avigdor Lieberman 2% 15 more Moshe Feiglin <1% Israel Katz <1% Yossi Cohen <1% Yair Golan <1% Itamar Ben Gvir <1% Nir Barkat <1% Amir Ohana <1% Yair Lapid <1% Benny Gantz <1% Gideon Sa’ar <1% Yariv Levin <1% Ayelet Shaked <1% Yoaz Hendel <1% Gilad Erdan <1% Ofer Winter <1%
March 31, 2027 12% June 30, 2027 12% ▼ 1 December 31 12% December 31, 2027 33% ▼ 1
October 21 68% ▲ 1 October 31 68% ▲ 4 November 15 68% ▼ 1 November 30 68% ▲ 4 1 more
October 31 3% December 31 14% ▼ 3
October 31 2% ▲ 1 November 30 11% ▲ 1 December 31 16%
October 31 8% December 31 16% ▲ 3
October 31 8% November 30 22% ▼ 1 December 31 31% ▲ 1
December 31, 2026 8% ▼ 3 December 31, 2027 28% ▲ 2
No Hormuz Agreement 99% ▲ 3 Hormuz Agreement; D Senate 1% ▼ 1 Hormuz Agreement; R Senate 1% ▼ 1 Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .