Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
<1%chance
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Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
The odds
7%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 5% on Oct 20, 7% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | $28.1M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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