Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
March 31
29%
▲ 2
60¢
61¢
$1.64
$171K
July 14
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$43.4K
July 24
<1%
▼ 2
0¢
$352K
July 31
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$1.1M
August 7
<1%
▼ 13
0¢
$3M
August 8
<1%
▼ 10
0¢
$417K
August 9
<1%
▼ 5
0¢
$697K
August 10
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$543K
August 11
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$608K
August 12
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$49K
August 13
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$404K
August 14
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$496K
August 15
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$3.3M
August 22
<1%
0¢
$1.5M
August 31
<1%
0¢
$4.9M
September 7
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$1.8M
September 14
<1%
0¢
$1.8M
September 21
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$1.5M
September 30
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$5.6M
October 15
<1%
0¢
$3.7M
October 31
29%
▼ 2
3¢
4¢
$27.78
$6.3M
November 30
29%
▲ 2
22¢
24¢
$4.17
$369K
December 31
37%
▲ 2
37¢
37¢
$2.72
$4.2M
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
