Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
No Hormuz Agreement
>99%
▲ 1
100¢
100¢
$1.1M
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$895K
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$525K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Sanders could soon get a Senate bully pulpitPOLITICO · 26 h agoYour first read on Capitol Hill politics and policy. 10/26/2026 04:50 AM EDT IN TODAY’S EDITION:— Trump-spurned Republicans snub successors— Dems plan Trump target in Epstein probe— Blanche defends Alaska election suit Bernie Sanders is…
Republicans Could Still Keep the Senate. Here’s HowNewsweek · 23 h agoOct 26, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Certain preelection forecasts have Democrats riding a blue wave to majorities in both the House and the Senate, but there are a few ways for the GOP to keep its grasp on the upper chamber for the remainder of…
Trump administration faces record vacancies in Senate-confirmed postsThe Washington Post · 26 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. As the GOP faces a…
Mississippi Senate race heats up amid Trump's Southern midterm campaignFox News · 25 h agoFmr RNC Deputy Comms Director Cassie Smedile discusses Trump's Southern midterm campaign, analyzing the Mississippi Senate matchup between Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith and Democratic candidate Scott Colom. Mississippi Senate race…
Senate Control May Come Down to Fishing Concerns in AlaskaNewsweek · 23 h agoOct 26, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT While some midterms voters elsewhere are focused on familiar key issues, from immigration to inflation, Alaskans are debating salmon runs, bycatch limits, and the future of the state's fishing industry, issues…
9 US Senate races could determine control of the chamberFox News · 33 h agoThe Ben Shapiro Show’ host Ben Shapiro joins ‘One Nation’ to discuss nine U.S. Senate races that could determine control of the Senate, Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed and the 2028 presidential election. 9 US Senate…
Voters’ rising ire at corruption plays central role in Texas Senate raceThe Washington Post · 26 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The race between Ken…
Iowa’s Senate rivals pitch independence from their partiesPOLITICO · 34 h agoAshley Hinson qualified her pledge to be Trump’s strongest ally, while Josh Turek praised the president’s border record. U.S. Senate candidate Josh Turek speaks during a debate with his Republican opponent, Ashley Hinson, on Oct. 7, 2026…
Democratic Senate Candidate: Trump Did ‘Better Job’ on Border Than BidenNewsweek · 34 h agoOct 25, 2026 at 05:52 PM EDT Josh Turek, the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Iowa, said President Donald Trump has done a “better job” on the border than former President Joe Biden, while identifying several areas where he could work…
Paxton and Talarico on the campaign trail in tight Senate raceCBS News · 36 h agoCBS News Chicago Sunday 5:30pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6:30pm CBS News Miami 6:30pm CBS News New York Weekend 6:30pm CBS Philadelphia at 6:30pm KDKA News Weekends 6:30pm CBS News Texas 5:30pm
Andrew Harding analyzes European protests and Trump's strategy on IranFox News · 26 h agoNational security policy analyst Andrew Harding joins 'Fox & Friends First' to discuss massive protests sweeping across Europe and Trump weighing his next steps regarding the Iran deal. Andrew Harding analyzes European protests and Trump's…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
