Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?

Polymarket World › Middle East Closes Nov 30 · $144K today · $423K traded · $42.7K at stake · prices read 3 min ago

The odds

Nov 28, 2026even chance by

October 3113%▼ 8
November 3054%▼ 5

How the odds have moved

October 31: 24% on Oct 20, 13% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

Oct 27, 11 AM ETOctober 31: 23% → 13%

No headline about it in the hours around this move.
Oct 20, 11 PM ETOctober 31: 24% → 16%
- Saudi Oil Pipelines and Egypt's Energy Links Protect Regimes, Not Just TradeMiddle East Forum · 7 days ago
- East West Bancorp : Third Quarter 2026 Press ReleaseMarketScreener · 7 days ago
- East West Bancorp, Inc. Stock (EWBC) - Quote NasdaqMarketScreener · 7 days ago

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
October 15	<1%	▼ 1	0¢	1¢	$100.00	$38.2K
October 31	13%	▼ 8	11¢	14¢	$7.14	$183K
November 30	54%	▼ 5	52¢	55¢	$1.82	$201K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Saudi Oil Pipeline, Military, East-West

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Houthis Announce Massive Missile Attack On Saudi Territory, Including East-West PipelineZeroHedge · 3 days agoYeman's Ansar Allah movement (Houthis) have announced a major new Saturday operation against Saudi territory, claiming to have struck over a half-dozen targets deep inside the kingdom, including against energy infrastructure and airports…
Turkiye suggests Libya east-west reunification may be close@arabnews · 4 days agoISTANBUL: Turkiye’s top diplomat said Friday the time had come to reunify Libya’s rival eastern and western administrations, hinting at an announcement on the issue in the near future. Turkiye strongly backed the UN-recognized government…
Saudi Oil Pipelines and Egypt's Energy Links Protect Regimes, Not Just TradeMiddle East Forum · 7 days agoSaudi Oil Pipelines and Egypt’s Energy Links Protect Regimes, Not Just Trade Middle East Forum
Turkey says 'you will hear very good news' on Libya east-west reunificationMiddle East Eye · 4 days agoTurkey's Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan has said the time had come to reunify Libya's rival eastern and western administrations, hinting at an announcement on the issue in the near future. Turkey strongly backed the UN-recognised government…
Turkey suggests Libya east-west reunification may be closeMacau Business · 3 days agoTurkey’s top diplomat said Friday the time had come to reunify Libya’s rival eastern and western administrations, hinting at an announcement on the issue in the near future. Turkey strongly backed the UN-recognised government in Tripoli…
EAST WEST MANUFACTURING ACQUIRES EASTPRINT INCORPORATED@PRNewswire · 4 days agoATLANTA and NORTH ANDOVER, Mass., April 17, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- East West Manufacturing, LLC, ("East West" or "the Company") an integrated design, engineering, manufacturing, and distribution ... Delivers to East West Differentiated…
Pirates’ Martin earns East-West selectionRobesonian · 4 days agoLumberton’s 1st football selection since 2015 Lumberton’s Taylor Martin (73) blocks ahead of Christian Grimsley (1) during an Aug. 20 game against Fairmont in Lumberton. LUMBERTON — Being named to the North Carolina East-West All-Star…
Umahi: East-West Road Will Be Connected To Coastal Highway Through a Spur, Not Diversion@arisetv · 4 days agoWorks Minister Umahi says Tinubu’s directive adds an East-West Road connection without changing the coastal highway’s original route. Minister of Works, David Umahi, has clarified that the East-West Road will be connected to the…
Eight Area Players Tapped for 2026 East-West All-Star GameHeadlines Plus · 4 days agoEight local standouts have been selected for the 2026 East-West All-Star football game, a showcase that puts the region's top senior talent in front of college recruiters and scouts. The honor recognizes players who excelled across their…
Yakima's East-West Corridor project stuck in traffic jam of environmental, funding issuesYakima Herald-Republic · 4 days agoThe future path of the East-West Corridor is visible from the air on the west side of Interstate 82 Wednesday, May 14, 2025, in Yakima, Wash. The former Boise Cascade Mill site is pictured from the air Wednesday, May 14, 2025, in Yakima…
Eight area players selected for 2026 East-West All-Star football gameWinston-Salem Journal · 4 days agoReagan and Davie County have two players apiece selected to play in the 2026 N.C. Coaches Association East-West All-Star football game. Senior OL Kaleb Bales previews the 2026 football season for the Davie County War Eagles. East Forsyth…
Hambantota Port eyes growth spike as shipping lines shift back to primary East–West routeisland.lk · 4 days agoGirls’ rugby match between Sarasavi Uyana and Hemamali Girls’ School on 24 South Africa conjure comeback win despite losing two days to rain FIFA announces USA to host first Women’s Club World Cup in 2028 Sri Lanka batters chase down 430…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesNov 30, 2026 3:59 PM ET

Traded$423K

Today$144K

This week$255K

At stake$42.7K

In the news114 headlines today, 1,974 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the East-West oil pipeline is targeted by a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Riyadh Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The East-West oil pipeline refers to Saudi Arabia’s East-West crude oil pipeline (also known as Petroline), which carries crude oil from Saudi Arabia’s Eastern Province to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, including its pumping stations. A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike that impacts the East-West oil pipeline. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile str

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions