Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Polymarket World › Middle East Closes Dec 31 · $77K today · $76.3M traded · $1M at stake · prices read 14 min ago

The odds

8%December 31
  • October 311%
  • December 318%

How the odds have moved

October 31: 1% on Oct 20, 1% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
March 31 <1% 0¢ $7.8M
April 15 <1% 0¢ $8.4M
April 30 <1% 0¢ $17.4M
May 31 <1% 0¢ $11.2M
June 24 <1% 0¢ $1.1M
June 30 <1% 0¢ $13.5M
July 31 <1% 0¢ $6.3M
August 31 <1% 0¢ $5.9M
September 30 <1% 0¢ $3M
October 31 1% 1¢ 1¢ $899K
December 31 8% 7¢ 8¢ $12.50 $906K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Kharg Island

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.