The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
October 1
<1%
▼ 30
1¢
$100.00
$1.7K
October 2
14%
▼ 3
11¢
16¢
$6.25
$2.8K
✓ October 3
>99%
▲ 27
72¢
99¢
$1.01
$2.3K
October 4
32%
▼ 5
85¢
89¢
$1.12
$3.2K
October 5
32%
▲ 1
93¢
96¢
$1.04
$2.5K
✓ October 6
>99%
▲ 45
100¢
100¢
$1.2K
✓ October 7
>99%
▲ 15
100¢
100¢
$1.3K
October 8
32%
▲ 3
100¢
100¢
$2.1K
October 9
32%
▼ 6
0¢
$3.1K
✓ October 10
>99%
100¢
100¢
$1.1K
✓ October 11
>99%
▲ 1
100¢
100¢
$613
October 12
<1%
▼ 16
0¢
$2.4K
✓ October 13
>99%
▲ 26
100¢
100¢
$48.5K
October 14
32%
▲ 1
8¢
12¢
$8.33
$2.1K
October 15
32%
▲ 11
7¢
29¢
$3.45
$48.5K
October 16
32%
▼ 16
1¢
$1.5K
October 17
32%
▼ 20
0¢
0¢
$1.2K
October 18
32%
▼ 15
48¢
52¢
$1.92
$1.1K
October 19
32%
0¢
5¢
$20.83
$1.6K
October 20
32%
▼ 5
0¢
$1.8K
October 21
32%
▲ 22
99¢
100¢
$2K
October 22
32%
▼ 19
5¢
10¢
$10.00
$2K
October 23
32%
▼ 6
0¢
1¢
$90.91
$2K
October 24
32%
▲ 24
10¢
54¢
$1.85
$276
October 25
32%
▼ 5
5¢
31¢
$3.23
$1.4K
October 26
32%
▼ 9
7¢
33¢
$3.03
$472
October 27
52%
▲ 21
31¢
92¢
$1.09
$547
October 28
52%
▼ 2
43¢
44¢
$2.27
$374
October 29
52%
▼ 6
46¢
61¢
$1.64
$568
October 30
52%
▼ 4
28¢
74¢
$1.35
$110
October 31
53%
▼ 4
34¢
72¢
$1.39
$287
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Saudi Arabia says it intercepted missiles and drones from Iran-backed HouthisCNBC · 2 days agoSaudi Arabia intercepted drones and missiles headed for several cities, including the capital Riyadh, fired by Iran-aligned Houthis on Sunday, the Saudi-led coalition in Yemen said. The ongoing fighting between Saudi Arabia and the…
Dakar Cancels Saudi Arabia Rally, But Says The Event is Still OnYahoo Sports · 2 days agoThe Dakar Rally will not run in Saudi Arabia in 2027, with organizers moving the event to an as-yet-unnamed territory while keeping the January schedule intact. Amaury Sport Organisation (A.S.O.) and Saudi Motorsport Company (SMC)…
Dakar Rally in Saudi Arabia next year cancelled due to Houthi attacksYahoo Sports · 2 days agoThe 2027 Dakar Rally has been cancelled in Saudi Arabia amid the tense situation caused by ongoing attacks by Houthi rebels, but it is set to held elsewhere. Organizers said in a statement on Sunday that the endurance race, originally…
Brent Slips 2% To $114 Amid Continuing Saudi Arabia-Houthi TensionsFree Press Journal · 33 h agoGlobal crude oil prices declined on Monday, retreating from nearly six-month highs as investors assessed supply risks amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures dropped 2.2% to…
Saudi Arabia: Houthi ballistic missile fired at Riyadh interceptedIsrael National News · 37 h agoThe Saudi-led military coalition announced early this morning that it intercepted a ballistic missile launched by Houthi rebels in Yemen toward the Saudi capital, Riyadh. Saudi Arabia: Houthi ballistic missile fired at Riyadh intercepted…
Saudi Arabia Reopens Riyadh Airport Amid Renewed Houthi ThreatsMorocco World News · 39 h agoHome » International » Saudi Arabia Reopens Riyadh Airport Amid Renewed Houthi Threats General view of the highway leading to the King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, October 12, 2026. Credit: REUTERS Rabat – Saudi…
Yemen's Houthis say they will keep attacking Saudi Arabia's King Khalid airportFXStreet · 39 h agoYemen's Houthis said on Sunday that they will keep attacking Saudi Arabia's King Khalid Airport in Riyadh, Reuters reported. This move came hours after the kingdom announced that flights had resumed despite repeated attacks by Houthis…
US Orders Non-Emergency Staff to Leave Saudi Arabia as Houthi Threats Escalatearabtimes · 41 h agoThe US has ordered non-emergency government staff and families to leave Saudi Arabia amid escalating Houthi threats as Riyadh airport partially reopens followin... US Orders Non-Emergency Staff to Leave Saudi Arabia as Houthi Threats…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
