Predictions › World odds Every Russia & Ukraine market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
% US Dec
271 open markets · $7.3M traded today Trending russia & ukraine markets
January 31, 2027 23% ▲ 4 February 28, 2027 27% ▲ 2 March 31, 2027 31% April 30, 2027 39% ▲ 2 11 more May 31, 2027 41% ▼ 1 June 30, 2027 41% July 31, 2027 41% ▲ 1 August 31, 2027 41% ▲ 1 September 30, 2027 41% ▲ 2 October 31 41% ▲ 1 October 31, 2027 41% ▲ 2 November 30, 2027 41% ▲ 1 November 30 41% ▲ 3 December 31 41% ▲ 4 December 31, 2027 69% ▲ 1
December 31, 2026 2% ▼ 1 June 30, 2027 10% ▲ 1
June 30, 2027 6% December 31 6%
No meeting before 2027 95% US 2% China 1% ▲ 1 Qatar / UAE 1% 10 more Switzerland 1% Russia <1% Turkey <1% Italy / Vatican <1% Ukraine <1% Saudi Arabia <1% Belarus <1% Kazakhstan <1% Hungary <1% India <1%
October 31 2% ▲ 1 December 31 12% ▲ 2
March 31, 2027 22% ▼ 3 June 30, 2027 22% ▲ 2 October 31 22% ▼ 1 November 30 22% ▼ 1 1 more
October 31 9% ▲ 1 December 31 24% ▼ 2
China 81% ▲ 6 No meeting by December 31 13% ▼ 5 United States 3% Russia 1% 11 more Other 1% Turkey <1% Gulf country <1% Switzerland <1% Belarus <1% Finland <1% South Korea <1% Japan <1% Australia <1% Other EU country <1% Ukraine <1%
October 31 9% ▲ 1 November 30 30% ▲ 11 December 31 40% ▲ 7
Druzkhivka 31% ▲ 1 Kramatorsk 11% Sloviansk 9% ▲ 1 Sumy 4% 3 more Zaporizhia 3% Kherson 3% ▼ 2 Kharkiv 2%
October 17 15% ▲ 7 October 20 84% ▲ 3 October 21 84% ▲ 10 October 22 84% 9 more October 23 84% October 24 84% ▲ 5 October 25 84% ▲ 2 October 26 86% ▲ 3 October 27 86% ▲ 3 October 28 86% ▲ 3 October 29 86% ▲ 7 October 30 86% ▲ 4 October 31 86% ▲ 2
Ursula von der Leyen 63% ▲ 16 Mark Rutte 34% ▼ 8 Emmanuel Macron 12% ▼ 1 António Guterres 12% ▼ 1 3 more Mark Carney 10% ▼ 2 JD Vance 7% Donald Trump 4%
March 31, 2027 36% ▲ 5 June 30, 2027 36% ▲ 2 December 31 36% ▼ 2
October 31 18% ▲ 5 November 30 50% ▼ 5 December 31 72% ▼ 2
December 31, 2026 6% ▼ 2 December 31, 2027 20% ▲ 1
October 31 2% December 31 11%
October 19 2% ▼ 88 October 20 74% ▲ 9 October 21 74% ▼ 4 October 22 74% ▲ 7 9 more October 23 74% ▲ 3 October 24 74% ▲ 1 October 25 74% ▲ 4 October 26 74% ▲ 5 October 27 74% ▲ 5 October 28 74% ▲ 5 October 29 74% ▲ 5 October 30 74% ▲ 5 October 31 74% ▲ 5 Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? 
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...? 
Putin out as President of Russia by...? 
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? 
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? 
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? 
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Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? 
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NATO x Russia military clash by...? 
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Ukraine election called by...? 
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? 
US x Russia military clash by...? 
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Will Russia target Kyiv on...? 
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31? 
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...? 
Will Russia invade another country by...? 
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Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?