Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
No meeting before 2027
95%
95¢
96¢
$1.04
$445K
US
1%
1¢
2¢
$62.50
$506K
China
1%
▲ 1
1¢
1¢
$135K
Qatar / UAE
1%
1¢
1¢
$504K
Switzerland
1%
0¢
1¢
$245K
Russia
<1%
0¢
0¢
$25K
Turkey
<1%
0¢
0¢
$239K
Italy / Vatican
<1%
0¢
0¢
$136K
Ukraine
<1%
0¢
0¢
$243K
Saudi Arabia
<1%
0¢
0¢
$186K
Belarus
<1%
0¢
0¢
$337K
Kazakhstan
<1%
0¢
0¢
$157K
Hungary
<1%
0¢
$146K
India
<1%
0¢
$251K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.
