The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
July 15
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$569K
July 31
<1%
0¢
$244K
August 31
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$1.3M
September 30
<1%
▼ 5
0¢
1¢
$90.91
$5K
October 31
4%
▲ 2
4¢
5¢
$21.74
$7K
December 31
13%
▼ 4
12¢
14¢
$7.14
$32K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
US blockade in Strait of Hormuz traps $4.5B in Iranian oilFox News · 3 days agoTreasury Secretary Scott Bessent details how a U.S. blockade in the Strait of Hormuz has trapped vessels carrying $4.5 billion in Iranian oil. US blockade in Strait of Hormuz traps $4.5B in Iranian oil Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent…
Europe's E3 weighs two-stage Iran plan, Hormuz firstintellinews.com · 24 h agoGermany, France and Britain are weighing a two-stage proposal for Tehran and Washington that would trade a deal on the Strait of Hormuz for talks on ...
CENTCOM chief declares: Strait of Hormuz is free from Iranian minesIsrael National News · 17 h agoCENTCOM chief Adm. Brad Cooper visits the Strait of Hormuz as US forces report helping more than 3,000 ships transit the waterway and keeping shipping lanes clear of Iranian mines. CENTCOM chief declares: Strait of Hormuz is free from…
Armed Forces bravery in upholding Hormuz symbol of Iran powerMehr News Agency · 34 h agoTEHRAN, Oct. 25 (MNA) â The commander of Iran's Army Navy has said that the valor and braveries of the naval personnel of the Armed Forces in safeguarding the strategic Strait of Hormuz is a symbol of Iranâs power on the international…
Iran Rejects Reports of Hormuz Deal with US, Pakistan MediatorLOKMAT · 38 h agoLokmat Times Iran has firmly denied reports of a new proposal to Pakistani mediators and a reported offer to the US regarding the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for lifting the US naval blockade The IRGC-affiliated Tasnim…
US military says 95% of Hormuz ships safe despite Iran 'aggression'Yeni Şafak English · 15 h agoUS Central Command announced Sunday that commercial shipping across the Strait of Hormuz maintained a safety rate exceeding 95% in recent months despite hostilities with Tehran, citing American assistance to Gulf partners safeguarding…
Iran DOUBLING DOWN on nuclear ambitions: ReportFox News · 28 h agoFox News senior strategic analyst Jack Keane discusses reports that Iran is rebuilding its nuclear program during 'Sunday Morning Futures.' ... Iran DOUBLING DOWN on nuclear ambitions: Report Fox News senior strategic analyst Jack Keane…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
