Predictions › Politics Supreme Court & courts odds Every Supreme Court & courts market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
% US Dec
780 open markets · $705K traded today Trending supreme court & courts markets
June 30, 2027 28% ▲ 3 December 31 28% ▲ 3
Ilhan Omar 47% ▲ 2 Cassidy Hutchinson 33% ▲ 2 John Brennan 22% ▼ 1 Dan J. Sullivan 17% ▲ 4 39 more Anthony Fauci 14% Fani Willis 14% Jack Smith 12% ▼ 2 Gustavo Petro 12% Letitia James 11% Lisa Cook 10% ▼ 3 Tim Walz 10% James Clapper 10% Andrew Weissmann 10% ▼ 1 Gavin Newsom 10% Peter Strzok 9% ▼ 1 Hunter Biden 9% Keith Ellison 9% Adam Schiff 9% Chris Krebs 8% ▼ 1 Lisa Monaco 7% ▼ 1 Kimberly Guilfoyle 7% Miles Taylor 6% ▲ 1 Liz Cheney 6% Mark Milley 6% ▲ 1 Mark Kelly 6% Leon Black 6% Jacob Frey 6% E. Jean Carroll 6% ▼ 1 Jennifer Siebel Newsom 6% ▼ 1 Elissa Slotkin 5% Joe Kent 5% Christopher Wray 5% Tucker Carlson 5% George Soros 5% Chris Christie 4% ▲ 1 Hillary Clinton 4% Reid Hoffman 4% ▼ 1 Alvin Bragg 4% Pam Bondi 4% Bill Clinton 4% Barack Obama 3% ▼ 1 Jerome Powell 3% ▲ 1 Joe Biden 3%
December 31, 2026 4% ▲ 1 December 31, 2027 23%
Ilhan Omar 41% ▲ 4 John Brennan 23% ▲ 2 Mahmoud Khalil 14% ▲ 2 James Clapper 9% 21 more Anthony Fauci 9% Letitia James 8% Adam Schiff 7% Lee Jae Myung 7% Candace Owens 6% Susan Rice 6% ▼ 2 Lisa Cook 6% ▼ 1 Tom Homan 5% Benjamin Netanyahu 5% Lee Jun-seok 5% Loretta Lynch 5% José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero 5% Hillary Clinton 4% Gavin Newsom 4% Bill Clinton 4% Brandon Johnson 4% John Kerry 3% Pam Bondi 3% Barack Obama 3% Joe Biden 3% Kash Patel 3%
Before Jan 1, 2027 10% Before Jul 1, 2027 36% ▲ 1
Samuel Alito 67% ▲ 1 Clarence Thomas 46% John Roberts 19% Sonia Sotomayor 9% 5 more Elena Kagan 5% Amy Coney Barrett 5% Ketanji Brown Jackson 4% Brett Kavanaugh 3% Neil Gorsuch 2%
Before Jan 21, 2029 57% Before 2028 41% ▼ 1 Before June 2027 19% Before 2027 18% ▲ 1
Andrew Oldham 13% D. John Sauer 12% Ted Cruz 9% James Ho 9% 37 more Aileen Cannon 7% Emil Bove 4% Michael Park 4% Neomi Rao 2% Mike Lee 2% Barbara Lagoa 2% Amul Thapar 2% Steven Menashi 2% Patrick Bumatay 1% Lawrence VanDyke 1% Allison Jones Rushing 1% Kathryn Mizelle 1% David Stras 1% Eric Tung 1% Kenneth Lee 1% Kevin Newsom 1% Gregory G. Katsas 1% Ron DeSantis 1% Yaakov Roth 1% Anna St. John 1% Matthew Schwartz 1% Stuart Kyle Duncan <1% Matthew Kacsmaryk <1% Trevor McFadden <1% Stephanos Bibas <1% Britt Grant <1% Mark Martin <1% Evan Young <1% Clint Bolick <1% Kevin Brobson <1% Joan Larsen <1% Kate Comerford Todd <1% Patrick Wyrick <1% Kristen Waggoner <1% Tom Cotton <1% Morse Tan <1% Allison Eid <1%
Roybal v. Griffith 59% ▲ 1 Republican National Committee v. Eakin 14% ▼ 1 Moylan v. Guam Society of Obstetrician and Gynecologists 7% Duncan v. Bonta 6% ▲ 1 5 more Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche 5% Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory 4% Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day 3% ▼ 2 Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice 1% Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States 1%
Before Jan 1, 2027 18% ▲ 1 Before Apr 1, 2027 27% Before Jul 1, 2027 42% ▼ 3 Before Oct 1, 2027 48% ▼ 1 1 more
6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals 75% 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals 11% Not nine justices 8% 8 Conservatives and 1 Liberals 1% 1 more 9 Conservatives and 0 Liberals 1%
Before Dec 1, 2026 31% ▲ 1 Before Jan 1, 2027 35% ▼ 1 Before Apr 1, 2027 55%
Before Jan 1, 2027 9% ▲ 1 Before Jul 1, 2027 14% Before Jan 1, 2028 49% ▲ 3
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .