Congress odds

Every Congress market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.

783 open markets · $759K traded today

Trending congress markets

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

10%Thom Tillis
  • Thom Tillis10%▼ 1
  • Raphael Warnock8%
  • Andy Kim7%
  • Jerry Moran7%
11 more
  • Kirsten Gillibrand7%
  • John Fetterman7%
  • Jacky Rosen7%
  • Alex Padilla7%
  • Ruben Gallego7%
  • Mike Lee6%▼ 3
  • Catherine Cortez Masto6%▲ 2
  • Rand Paul6%▲ 2
  • Mark Warner6%▲ 1
  • Josh Hawley6%
  • Lisa Blunt Rochester5%▼ 1

Will the Clarity Act become law? (Before Jan 1, 2028)

21%Before Jan 1, 2028
  • Before Nov 1, 20261%
  • Before Dec 1, 20262%
  • Before Jan 1, 20276%
  • Before Apr 1, 202712%▼ 1
3 more
  • Before Jul 1, 202717%
  • Before Oct 1, 202719%▼ 1
  • Before Jan 1, 202821%▼ 4
KalshiCloses Jan 1, 2028 · $93 today · $27K traded

Which bills will become law in 2026?

33%Export-control chip security
  • Export-control chip security33%▲ 1
  • Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions24%▼ 1
  • Protect College Sports Act21%▼ 13
  • Data center utility cost protection18%
26 more
  • AI-chip export licensing17%▲ 1
  • Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act15%▼ 1
  • Insulin cost cap15%▼ 1
  • FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)14%▲ 1
  • ADS-B revenue-use restriction12%▼ 6
  • Credit-card routing competition11%▲ 1
  • Railway safety bill10%▼ 2
  • NO FAKES Act9%
  • Critical-minerals stockpile9%
  • Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty9%▼ 1
  • Film/TV production expensing8%▲ 1
  • White House ballroom funding8%
  • E15 year-round sales8%▲ 1
  • Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee8%
  • Surface transportation reauthorization7%▼ 1
  • $2.50 Coin7%
  • Jewish American security6%
  • JAWBONE Act6%▲ 1
  • Dignity Act6%▲ 1
  • SHOWER Act4%
  • DEFIANCE Act4%▲ 1
  • ROTOR Act4%
  • Smithsonian Women’s History Museum4%
  • Trump Airport3%
  • SELF DRIVE Act3%
  • Trump's Birthday as a federal holiday2%
KalshiCloses Jan 1, 2027 · $401 today · $70.9K traded

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

19%Before Jan 1, 2028
  • Before Nov 1, 20261%
  • Before Dec 1, 20263%
  • Before Jan 1, 20274%
  • Before Jul 1, 20277%▲ 1
1 more
  • Before Jan 1, 202819%▲ 5
KalshiCloses Jan 1, 2028 · $70 today · $58.3K traded

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.